Strategy Playbook: Who to sit/start in Round 20?

If you’re lucky enough to have start/sit decisions this week your team’s in good shape! Hopefully the stats below might also help a few trade decisions.



First off, thanks to ‘3 Wise Draftmen’, nrlsupercoachstats.com and Quantium for their amazing stats, which I utilise weekly for this analysis.&nbsp;



So now onto the decisions. I’ve chosen players whose ownership is around 10% or higher in the top 20k, based on Quantium’s analysis. I’ve then ranked players who I consider as being borderline plays in SuperCoach 17’s this round. 



I’ve then analysed each player’s key stats (as explained below). Finally, I’ve included my personal rankings for start/sit options, with consideration to all the stats.&nbsp;



My rankings consider a combination of the key stats, matchups, and form. However, be sure to have a close look at the data, then back your gut to make your final calls. Good luck with your selections!



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td>Description</td><td>Statistics</td></tr><tr><td>“Estimated Points”</td><td>(Player’s season averaged + Opposition Points allowed to position) / 2</td></tr><tr><td>“Lower Floor”</td><td>Base (hit-ups &amp; tackles) – negatives (errors etc.)</td></tr><tr><td>“Mid Floor”</td><td>Base (as above) + power (tackle breaks &amp; offloads) – negatives&nbsp;</td></tr><tr><td>“Upper Floor”</td><td>Base (as above) + power (as above) + kicking (goals, forced dropouts, 40-20s) – negatives&nbsp;</td></tr><tr><td>“Ceiling”</td><td>The player’s highest score, in their last 3 seasons.&nbsp;</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td>Rank</td><td>Player</td><td>Lower Floor</td><td>Mid Floor</td><td>Upper Floor</td><td>Ceiling</td><td>Season Ave</td><td>Estimated Points</td><td>Estimated Minutes</td></tr><tr><td>1</td><td>Gutherson, Clint</td><td>27</td><td>39</td><td>44</td><td>166</td><td>82</td><td>73</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>2</td><td>Harawira-Naera, Corey</td><td>40</td><td>55</td><td>55</td><td>141</td><td>70</td><td>67</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>3</td><td>Matterson, Ryan</td><td>47</td><td>57</td><td>57</td><td>135</td><td>67</td><td>64</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>Cook, Damien</td><td>42</td><td>48</td><td>49</td><td>148</td><td>64</td><td>57</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>Garrick, Reuben</td><td>25</td><td>34</td><td>52</td><td>169</td><td>80</td><td>65</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>6</td><td>Barnett, Mitchell</td><td>47</td><td>54</td><td>57</td><td>125</td><td>64</td><td>63</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>7</td><td>Mahoney, Reed</td><td>43</td><td>48</td><td>50</td><td>134</td><td>72</td><td>66</td><td>73</td></tr><tr><td>8</td><td>Munster, Cameron</td><td>28</td><td>41</td><td>49</td><td>159</td><td>74</td><td>59</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>9</td><td>Smith, Brandon</td><td>35</td><td>43</td><td>43</td><td>110</td><td>71</td><td>63</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>Taumalolo, Jason</td><td>44</td><td>52</td><td>52</td><td>138</td><td>57</td><td>57</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>11</td><td>Curran, Joshua</td><td>42</td><td>47</td><td>47</td><td>77</td><td>59</td><td>65</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>12</td><td>Schuster, Josh</td><td>34</td><td>45</td><td>46</td><td>93</td><td>67</td><td>63</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>13</td><td>Watson, Connor</td><td>39</td><td>47</td><td>47</td><td>117</td><td>61</td><td>58</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>14</td><td>Laurie, Daine</td><td>24</td><td>32</td><td>33</td><td>119</td><td>60</td><td>67</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>Marzhew, Greg</td><td>28</td><td>41</td><td>41</td><td>82</td><td>66</td><td>68</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>Brailey, Jayden</td><td>49</td><td>51</td><td>53</td><td>102</td><td>62</td><td>64</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>Tupou, Daniel</td><td>30</td><td>41</td><td>41</td><td>138</td><td>60</td><td>62</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>Tupouniua, Sitili</td><td>34</td><td>42</td><td>42</td><td>124</td><td>63</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>Hughes, Jahrome</td><td>25</td><td>33</td><td>37</td><td>141</td><td>76</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>Taupau, Martin</td><td>46</td><td>56</td><td>56</td><td>96</td><td>61</td><td>59</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>21</td><td>Hunt, Ben</td><td>20</td><td>32</td><td>36</td><td>134</td><td>69</td><td>65</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>Kelly, Brian</td><td>26</td><td>34</td><td>34</td><td>109</td><td>55</td><td>58</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>23</td><td>Nofoaluma, David</td><td>23</td><td>39</td><td>39</td><td>134</td><td>58</td><td>57</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>Paulo, Junior</td><td>40</td><td>51</td><td>51</td><td>103</td><td>57</td><td>56</td><td>52</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>Ramien, Jesse</td><td>30</td><td>49</td><td>49</td><td>124</td><td>60</td><td>51</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>Utoikamanu, Stefano</td><td>34</td><td>40</td><td>40</td><td>71</td><td>47</td><td>56</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>Gamble, Tyson</td><td>23</td><td>28</td><td>30</td><td>60</td><td>44</td><td>65</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>Walker, Sam*</td><td>14</td><td>20</td><td>24</td><td>163</td><td>70</td><td>53</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>29</td><td>Saab, Jason</td><td>15</td><td>19</td><td>19</td><td>162</td><td>45</td><td>51</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>Burton, Matt</td><td>24</td><td>30</td><td>33</td><td>123</td><td>62</td><td>51</td><td>80</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



*Goalkicking points subtracted from average and upper floor



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="603" height="332" src="http://13.210.220.211/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-4.png" alt="" class="wp-image-1951960" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-4.png 603w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-4-300x165.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 603px" /></figure>



End notes



1 <a href="https://twitter.com/3WiseDraftmen">https://twitter.com/3WiseDraftmen</a>



2 <a href="https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com">https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com</a>&nbsp;



3 <a href="http://13.210.220.211/category/stat-analysis/">http://13.210.220.211/category/stat-analysis/</a>&nbsp;

Strategy Playbook: Who to sit/start in Round 20?

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