Strategy Playbook: Who to sit/start in Round 19?


<p>I’m back again for a look at start/sit this week.&nbsp;</p>



<p>First off, thanks to ‘3 Wise Draftmen’, nrlsupercoachstats.com and Quantium for their amazing stats, which I utilise weekly for this analysis.&nbsp;</p>



<p>So now onto the decisions. I’ve chosen players whose ownership is around 10% or higher in the top 20k, based on Quantium’s analysis. I’ve then ranked players who I consider as being borderline plays in SuperCoach 17’s this round. </p>



<p>I’ve then analysed each player’s key stats (as explained below). Finally, I’ve included my personal rankings for start/sit options, with consideration to all the stats.&nbsp;</p>



<p>My rankings consider a combination of the key stats, matchups, and form. However, be sure to have a close look at the data, then back your gut to make your final calls. Good luck with your selections!</p>



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<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Description</strong></td><td><strong>Statistics</strong></td></tr><tr><td>“Estimated Points”</td><td>(Player’s season averaged + Opposition Points allowed to position) / 2</td></tr><tr><td>“Lower Floor”</td><td>Base (hit-ups &amp; tackles) – negatives (errors etc.)</td></tr><tr><td>“Mid Floor”</td><td>Base (as above) + power (tackle breaks &amp; offloads) – negatives&nbsp;</td></tr><tr><td>“Upper Floor”</td><td>Base (as above) + power (as above) + kicking (goals, forced dropouts, 40-20s) – negatives&nbsp;</td></tr><tr><td>“Ceiling”</td><td>The player’s highest score, in their last 3 seasons.&nbsp;</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Rank</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Lower Floor</strong></td><td><strong>Mid Floor</strong></td><td><strong>Upper Floor</strong></td><td><strong>Ceiling</strong></td><td><strong>Season Ave</strong></td><td><strong>Estimated Points</strong></td><td><strong>Estimated Minutes</strong></td></tr><tr><td>1</td><td>Matterson, Ryan</td><td>47</td><td>55</td><td>56</td><td>135</td><td>67</td><td>64</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>2</td><td>Walker, Sam</td><td>13</td><td>18</td><td>28</td><td>163</td><td>73</td><td>70</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>3</td><td>Hunt, Ben</td><td>20</td><td>33</td><td>36</td><td>134</td><td>69</td><td>70</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>Schuster, Josh</td><td>34</td><td>45</td><td>46</td><td>93</td><td>67</td><td>63</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>Smith, Brandon</td><td>34</td><td>42</td><td>42</td><td>110</td><td>71</td><td>63</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>6</td><td>Barnett, Mitchell</td><td>46</td><td>53</td><td>57</td><td>125</td><td>65</td><td>62</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>7</td><td>Harawira-Naera, Corey</td><td>40</td><td>54</td><td>54</td><td>141</td><td>68</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>8</td><td>Watson, Connor</td><td>39</td><td>46</td><td>46</td><td>117</td><td>61</td><td>59</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>9</td><td>Tupou, Daniel</td><td>29</td><td>40</td><td>40</td><td>138</td><td>58</td><td>66</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>Burton, Matt</td><td>24</td><td>31</td><td>33</td><td>123</td><td>65</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>11</td><td>Tupouniua, Sitili</td><td>34</td><td>42</td><td>42</td><td>124</td><td>58</td><td>58</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>12</td><td>Fonua-Blake, Addin</td><td>47</td><td>55</td><td>55</td><td>142</td><td>57</td><td>55</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>13</td><td>Cook, Damien</td><td>42</td><td>47</td><td>48</td><td>146</td><td>58</td><td>56</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>14</td><td>Thompson, Luke</td><td>53</td><td>59</td><td>59</td><td>92</td><td>63</td><td>60</td><td>56</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>Fisher-Harris, James</td><td>49</td><td>59</td><td>59</td><td>102</td><td>63</td><td>59</td><td>53</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>Taupau, Martin</td><td>46</td><td>56</td><td>56</td><td>94</td><td>62</td><td>59</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>Brailey, Jayden</td><td>49</td><td>51</td><td>52</td><td>102</td><td>63</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>Ramien, Jesse</td><td>30</td><td>49</td><td>49</td><td>124</td><td>61</td><td>54</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>Laurie, Daine</td><td>23</td><td>33</td><td>34</td><td>119</td><td>61</td><td>60</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>Curran, Josh</td><td>40</td><td>44</td><td>44</td><td>77</td><td>58</td><td>58</td><td>60</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>Bird, Jack</td><td>33</td><td>43</td><td>45</td><td>107</td><td>58</td><td>49</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>Johnson, Shaun</td><td>14</td><td>19</td><td>38</td><td>119</td><td>52</td><td>54</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>21</td><td>Taumalolo, Jason</td><td>45</td><td>54</td><td>54</td><td>138</td><td>59</td><td>51</td><td>58</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>Utoikamanu, Stefano</td><td>34</td><td>39</td><td>39</td><td>71</td><td>47</td><td>51</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>23</td><td>Capewell, Kurt</td><td>36</td><td>42</td><td>42</td><td>95</td><td>54</td><td>55</td><td>65</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>Kelly, Brian</td><td>26</td><td>36</td><td>36</td><td>109</td><td>57</td><td>54</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>Paulo, Junior</td><td>39</td><td>50</td><td>50</td><td>103</td><td>57</td><td>57</td><td>51</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>Marzhew, Greg</td><td>25</td><td>41</td><td>41</td><td>138</td><td>65</td><td>59</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>Nikorima, Kodi</td><td>19</td><td>24</td><td>38</td><td>134</td><td>62</td><td>61</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>Nofoaluma, David</td><td>23</td><td>38</td><td>38</td><td>134</td><td>57</td><td>48</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>29</td><td>Staines, Charlie</td><td>15</td><td>20</td><td>20</td><td>158</td><td>44</td><td>38</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>Saab, Jason</td><td>15</td><td>19</td><td>20</td><td>162</td><td>46</td><td>50</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>31</td><td>Gamble, Tyson</td><td>23</td><td>27</td><td>30</td><td>60</td><td>46</td><td>47</td><td>80</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="698" height="384" src="http://13.210.220.211/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-3.png" alt="" class="wp-image-1951821" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-3.png 698w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-3-300x165.png 300w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/image-3-640x352.png 640w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 698px" /></figure>



<p><strong>End notes</strong></p>



<p><sup>1</sup> <a href="https://twitter.com/3WiseDraftmen">https://twitter.com/3WiseDraftmen</a></p>



<p><sup>2</sup> <a href="https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com">https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com</a>&nbsp;</p>



<p><sup>3</sup> <a href="http://13.210.220.211/category/stat-analysis/">http://13.210.220.211/category/stat-analysis/</a>&nbsp;</p>


Strategy Playbook: Who to sit/start in Round 19?

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