Fixture rating: Each club's opening draw analysed

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While the degree of importance is varied from person-to-person, few can deny that a team or player’s upcoming fixtures have an impact on their likely SuperCoach output.



To help ease the stress in selecting
Round 1 teams, we’ve dissected the opening five fixtures of each team in the
competition.



We’ve created a formula based on last
year’s SuperCoach results and a team’s run of home and away games in the
opening five rounds of 2020, to come up with a degree of difficulty ranking in
their early season run.



While the system gives insight into the fixture difficulty, it’s based primarily on 2019 results and doesn’t take in the many potential variables looking towards the 2020 season.



Thus, it should only be used as a guide when making personal decisions, it shouldn’t be perceived as SuperCoach law, because it’s far from that.



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">THE SYSTEM</h2>



Using the calculations of the clever folk at <a href="https://www.nrlsupercoachstats.com/">nrlsupercoachstats.com</a>, we were able to create a ladder of where each team from 2019 ranked in terms of average SuperCoach points conceded per player, per game.



For example, the Titans topped the table
having conceded on average 50.88 points to each opposition player.



Melbourne were on the bottom of the
ladder having conceded a staggering low 39.76 points to each opposition payer.



The full 2019 table looks like this:



<ol><li>Titans (50.88) </li><li>Dragons (49.41)</li><li>Bulldogs (48.12)</li><li>Cowboys (47.76)</li><li>Warriors (47.41) </li><li>Broncos (46.35)</li><li>Eels (45.94)</li><li>Tigers (45.47)</li><li>Sea Eagles (45.35) </li><li>Panthers (45.35)</li><li>Knights (44.88)</li><li>Rabbitohs (43.65)</li><li>Roosters (43.41) </li><li>Raiders (43.18)</li><li>Sharks (43.12)</li><li>Storm (39.76)</li></ol>



From here, we assigned a difficulty
ranking in points for each team. 



1st-4th = 1 point



5th-8th = 2 points



9th-12th = 3 points



13th-16th = 4 points



Effectively, the lower the point value,
the easier the opposition.



We then applied this to the opening five
fixtures of each team in the 2020 season.



A team was then given 1 point for a home
game, and detracted 1 point for an away game.



Each team was then given an overall score to determine the difficulty of their opening five games of the 2020 season.



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">RANKINGS: FIXTURE DIFFICULTY (Rounds 1-5)</h2>



1. Titans &#8211; 17 points



Fixtures: Raiders (A), Eels, Broncos, Roosters (A), Storm (A) 



2. Sea Eagles – 16 points



Fixtures: Storm, Roosters (A), Warriors, Raiders (A), Knights



3. Roosters – 15 points



Fixtures: Panthers (A), Sea Eagles, Rabbitohs (A), Titans, Sharks (A)



4. Warriors – 14 points



Fixtures: Knights (A), Raiders, Sea Eagles (A), Tigers, Dragons (A)



5. Panthers – 14 points



Fixtures: Roosters, Dragons (A), Storm (A), Broncos, Raiders



6. Rabbitohs – 14 points



Fixtures: Sharks, Broncos (A), Roosters, Storm (A), Bulldogs



7. Sharks – 14 points



Fixtures: Rabbitohs (A), Storm, Knights, Bulldogs (A), Roosters



8. Bulldogs – 13 points



Fixtures: Eels (A), Cowboys, Tigers (A), Sharks, Rabbitohs (A)



9. Knights – 13 points



Fixtures: Warriors, Tigers (A), Sharks (A), Cowboys, Sea Eagles (A)



10. Storm – 13 points



Fixtures: Sea Eagles (A), Sharks (A), Panthers, Rabbitohs, Titans



11. Dragons – 12 points



Fixtures: Tigers, Panthers, Raiders (A), Eels (A), Warriors



12. Cowboys – 11 points



Fixtures: Broncos, Bulldogs (A), Eels, Knights (A), Broncos (A)



13. Broncos – 10 points



Fixtures: Cowboys (A), Rabbitohs, Titans (A), Panthers (A), Cowboys 



14. Raiders – 9 points



Fixtures: Titans, Warriors (A), Dragons, Sea Eagles, Panthers (A)



15. Tigers – 8 points



Fixtures: Dragons (A), Knights, Bulldogs, Warriors (A), Eels 



16. Eels – 5 points



Fixtures: Bulldogs, Titans (A), Cowboys
(A), Dragons, Tigers (*A &#8211; Bankwest)

Fixture rating: Each club’s opening draw analysed

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