Spy Talk: Key tactics, trades, skippers

<p>Happy to wait a week on Stoinis if it means getting Mujeeb! Although check the weather before first ball if you can before you make the trade..</p>


<p>Hi Spy, love ur work &#8211; can I ask your thoughts on Mujeeb or Stoinis this round?</p>



<p>G’day everyone,</p>



<p>How’s your team looking? It seems for every big score at the moment there are multiple single figure knocks.</p>



<p>Lots of quality batsmen seem to be getting out early but the ones who get a start are a chance at going large (see Stoinis and McDermott).</p>



<p>One thing that is important to remember in cricket is not to overreact to a bad round from a player.</p>



<p>Maxwell for example didn’t score overly well in Round 7, but you know that he is every chance to go absolutely mad anytime soon and the safety of having him is very good for the stress levels and general viewing enjoyment!</p>



<p>From a personal standpoint, my batsmen have generally failed over the last three rounds, but luckily the inclusion of Stoinis and keeping faith in McDermott paid off this round.</p>



<p>Now I’m just hoping that blokes like D’Arcy Short and Aaron Finch can produce a cracking score for me very soon and as I don’t want to sell them now that they have lost so much cash. They are stars for a reason and are surely due.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Tactics</strong></h2>



<p>My tactics chat this week revolves around exactly that – who to trade out and who to keep.</p>



<p>The way I see it you obviously need to be making trades each round to ensure you can maximise value for guys on the double game week or those guys who only play once but you think are must haves or a nice point of difference.</p>



<p>Maxwell is an example of a guy who is almost a must-have, whilst someone like Malan doesn’t have a DGW coming up but at low-ownership may be worth the punt.</p>



<p>Additionally, if you are happy with your team maybe you are in a position to sell someone with the aim of freeing up money.</p>



<p>Every squad will be different, you will find that squads who have had recent success in the rankings will also be flush with cash and value whilst if you have had a couple of rounds of low scores then you will also be in the tricky spot of having lost value and will find it hard to trade for the guys you want without giving up another gun.</p>



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<p>It’s a brutal game at times but it only takes one big week to get back on track!</p>



<p>Teams with lots of cash and value in their teams can probably pick and choose who they want to sell and keep, but if you are struggling for value then you need to be smart.</p>



<p>D’Arcy Short for example will have lost approximately $90k by the end of this round. Therefore I’d rather keep him knowing what he is capable of and instead sell someone at a similar price who simply doesn’t have the pedigree.</p>



<p>The one exception may be a star on the up or trading to another fallen gun. On the flipside, Jordan Silk (or someone coming off a big score recently) will have made money and be ripe for the selling this round or next and can be flipped easily.</p>



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<p>In fact, you could even go Silk to Short soon if you are a non-owner and it will cost you nothing! Madness.. But an example of an excellent value trade.</p>



<p>Essentially what I am saying is be careful in selling someone who has lost a bunch of cash as it may not be worth it and look to capitalise by selling guys who have made cash, but may not necessarily continue to perform at that level.</p>



<p>Below I will list a couple of examples of players who fit into the value or lost value category. At the end of the day you can still sell Short if you think his run of bad form will continue or you may keep someone like Silk if you think he will remain in form, but history suggests they are more than likely to revert back to their normal form.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Lost value</strong> &#8211; <strong>play smart</strong></h2>



<p><strong>D’Arcy Short –</strong> Lost approximately $90k, therefore there’s no real value in selling. Conversely if you don’t own he is a tremendous buy at a very cheap price if you think he will come good.</p>



<p><strong>Aaron Finch –</strong> Finch is struggling with the willow, but at around $100k at the conclusion of this round would you really sell for another cheapie with less upside? Surely you hold and see if he can get back to his best. Even if you bench him.</p>



<p><strong>Kane Richardson</strong> – He will be very, very cheap after this round. He may be one to hold onto or target at $130k if you don’t already own.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Inflated value &#8211; ripe for selling</strong></h2>



<p><strong>Chris Green –</strong> He will have risen by approximately $60k by the end of this round. He would be a perfect candidate if you own to hold him for the DGW in Round 8 and then sell him for a tidy profit.</p>



<p><strong>Max Bryant –</strong> Another perfect guy to hold for the double and then sell having made a bunch of cash. You could go directly from Max Bryant to someone like Short, Kane Richardson or Mitch Marsh (DGW coming up). This is an example of getting value in your trades to ensure your team is as good as possible for the run home.</p>



<p><strong>Jordan Silk –</strong> He will be a nice sell either this round or next. Whilst it could have been ever better before Stoinis blasted 97 runs you will still be able to go from Silk to Stoinis for around $20-25k. Yes please!</p>



<p>Please remember of course it’s not all about money for some squads who will already be set and won’t need to find value as much as others who will desperately need to.</p>



<p>Additionally you still need to back yourself and if you think someone will continue to fire or fail then you can back yourself in rather then simply taking the value trade that is on offer.</p>



<p>But generally speaking, a gun is a gun for a reason and if a cheapie happened to score a rare half century or take three wickets you have to ask yourself if it’s likely to happen again?</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Double Game Weeks</strong></h2>



<p>Round 8 sees the double for the <strong><u>Brisbane Heat and Sydney Thunder</u></strong>. Trade wisely!</p>



<p>Looking ahead to round 10 we see the <strong><u>Melbourne Stars and Perth Scorchers</u></strong> with the double. So be wary of trading away any guys from these teams unless you need too. Additional if you like someone from these squads they would be a nice target either this round or next.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Captains – Round 8</strong></h2>



<p>The <strong>Thunder </strong>have the first game so are perfect for a VC option (if you are in a position to loop).</p>



<p>My favourites are below in order:</p>



<p><strong>Alex Hales</strong> – Slight risk as he only bats, but he could do absolutely anything in his current form and both matches are at Optus Stadium in Perth which should be good for openers. He is a near perfect VC if you can do it.</p>



<p><strong>Daniel Sams</strong> (If cleared of concussion) – Bowling stud and in form with the willow in the latter overs.</p>



<p><strong>*UPDATE:</strong> Sams is expected to miss both games of the double round.</p>



<p><strong>Tanveer Sangha</strong> – Bowls brilliantly and I believe leads the wicket-taking tally at the time of writing!</p>



<p><strong>Usman Khawaja</strong> – He has looked better at times recently. He may be able to produce a big score in the first game to lock in as a skipper using the loophole. I’d only do this if you can VC and can’t go the above guys or if you are chasing points.</p>



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<p>The <strong>Heat </strong>are below in order:</p>



<p><strong>Mujeeb Ur Rahman</strong> – As long as he looks fine to play both games he is in rockstar form!</p>



<p><strong>Lewis Gregory</strong> – Batting and bowling so is a nice skipper option with two games.</p>



<p><strong>Chris Lynn</strong> – A risky choice, but could pay off big, much like Khawaja in fact. Lynn has more upside than Uzzy.</p>



<p>I am probably going to leave <strong>Wildermuth </strong>out of captaincy options personally as he isn’t guaranteed to bat anymore. Pending what happens in the double game week he may even become a sell. If he can get back to consistently batting however he could be anything.</p>



<p>Good luck going forward and remember we are only around the halfway mark so there’s plenty of time to go!</p>


Spy Talk: Key tactics, trades, skippers

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