Okay, we’ve all heard of POD’s but what about POI’s?
I know it doesn’t really
roll off the tongue quite as well. Nonetheless these Players of Intrigue
(POI’s) might just make the difference for this Supercoach season.
Maybe they’ve moved to a
new club, swapped positions, have a new coach or playing role. These are among
a plethora of factors that can affect a player’s output from year-to-year and
in turn affect their Supercoach points output.
Below I’m going to work my
way through the clubs and touch on the Supercoach players that intrigue me
leading into season 2020.
Here’s my take on the top 4 placed teams from last year.
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George Williams –
HFB/5-8 – $333,800
How will Williams’ Super League form translate to the
NRL? According to our full analysis on the UK import, Williams’ stats would
have converted to a SuperCoach average of 74.8PPG. Priced at an average of just
35.9PPG, there’s a suggestion he should make significant cash for owners with
serious point-scoring upside to boot.
Jack Wighton – 5-8
If you believe that Jack Wighton has improvement in him
in the five-eighth position then you have to believe he is capable of improving
his Supercoach scores in 2020.
Last year he averaged 53 points. The top 5-8’s were
Cameron Munster (69), Kalyn Ponga (68) and Cody Walker (64).
Whether Wighton can elevate his game to such a level that
would see a 10-15PPG improvement is questionable.
It will be interesting to see how the Raiders play this
though with George Williams likely to link up with fellow Englishman John
Bateman on the right hand side of the field.
A lot of the Raiders play already revolves around Josh
Hodgson to which was frustrating at times last year for SuperCoaches who owned
If he gets good early clean ball he is one of the most damaging runners in the game.
Wow, what an offseason. Latrell clearly wanted out of the
Roosters for whatever reason and finally the saga ended when he linked with the
South Sydney Rabbitohs.
The fact that Latrell linked with the Roosters’ arch
enemy for a reduced deal instead of taking the nearly $4 million dollars for 4
years offered by the Tigers is a pretty fair indication he wants to play
fullback for a top 4 team.
To be fair it’s a dream pick up for the Rabbitohs who’s
spine possibly now challenges for the best in the comp.
Latrell, Adam Reynolds, Cody Walker and Damien Cook.
That’s real quality there. SuperCoach wise it is very hard to get a read on how
Latrell is going to go.
Can he handle the significantly increased load that comes
with playing fullback?
He’s as explosive player we have seen in the centres and
he is renowned for his unique mix of low involvement and high-quality touches.
Has anyone ever scored 161 SC points and only had 20 base
points in a game? Latrell did in 2019 v the Tigers. I tend to believe if he can
get himself fit enough and that is a huge if, Latrell could be a SuperCoach
revelation playing fullback at the Rabbitohs.
I’m very tempted to try to fit him into my team because I
think he will have low ownership early, maybe even less than 10 percent. Only
if he gets the goal-kicking over Reynolds though.
In the past you’d have to be a masochist to want to have
a SuperCoach team with Latrell and Cody Walker in it. Experienced SuperCoaches
will know what I mean.
You’ll be watching a game and Latrell or Walker are on 5
or 6 SC points with 5 minutes to go in the half and then bang. Suddenly they
explode and they’re on 55.
But if you put aside how they score their points the
reality is Walker has been incredibly consistent overall for SuperCoach.
For the last four years he has been what SuperCoaches
refer to as a 60/60 player.
A 60/60 player is one that has averaged over 60 points
for the year and has had scores of 60+ in 60% or more of their games. The thing
about Walker is you have to ride the good with the bad, not unlike
Braidon Burns –
CTW – $454,400
I don’t think anyone would doubt how good Burns looks as
a SuperCoach player when he is on the field.
In 2019 for the seven games Burns played 80 minutes
uninjured he averaged just over 60. That is elite for any CTW.
But the fact he only played 9/24 games and has had a
horrid run with injury has got to make SuperCoaches wary. At his starting price
is Burns worth the risk in 2020?
Keep an eye out for PNG prodigy Edene Gebbie who comes in at the lowest price for a cheapie and
probably won’t start the season in the team.
Some of the numbers he put up in terms of carries and
tackle breaks and kick return metres in Queensland’s Intrust Super Cup last
year were phenomenal.
Brandon Smith –
HOK/2RF – $431,700
Some intrigue surrounds how Melbourne will play this year
in terms of the makeup of their spine. There has been some conjecture that Cam Smith
may play halfback with the Storm going into the season without a recognised
halfback on their books.
Waiting in the wings in the hooker position they have an
embarrassment of riches in Qld Cup Player of the Year Harry Grant and NZ hooker
How Bellamy decides to manage this situation could well
dictate the Storm’s fortunes in 2020 and also the SuperCoach fortunes of both
Cam and Brandon Smith.
Brandon Smith only needs minutes and he becomes Supercoach relevant. Last year he averaged just 42MPG in a lock role and his PPM average was 46. If his minutes get a bump to say 60MPG it is highly conceivable that puts him right in the mix to be a top 10 scoring 2RF.
The consistency of this man as an NRL player is unparalleled.
Equally that consistency has been also evident in Smith’s SuperCoach scoring.
In the last 12 years Cameron Smith has finished in the
top 5 SuperCoach players nine times. Out of those nine times he has finished 1st
on four occasions.
The three times he missed the top 5 overall scorers he
finished 11th (2010), 13th (2017) and 11th
(2018). Phenomenal. And then 2019 when he’s supposed to be in his decline he
comes out and scores 1768 supercoach points and finishes 1st overall
for points scored.
When will it end? Can he keep going at this prolific pace in 2020? It’d be a brave man to write him off.
Put simply – what role does Trent Robinson have in mind
for Angus Crichton?
If he can get a steady 2RF position on the right edge
you’d have to think he is under-priced in 2020. However Robinson is a massive
fan of Mitch Aubusson and there are some really talented back-rowers coming
through at the Roosters including Nat Butcher.
Luke Keary – 5-8 –
With Kyle Flanagan moving over from the sharks to take
over Cooper Cronk’s role it’s fair to assume that Keary finally gets the reins
as chief playmaker.
How dominant can he be and will it result in a more
consistent and high scoring Supercoach output? Keary is a close watch for sure.
Ryan Hall – CTW –
The injury to Billy Smith has opened the door for English veteran Ryan Hall.
It may now be that we see Brett Morris in the centres and Hall on the wing. Hall is a class player and one of the best finishers to ever play the game in my opinion.
I know he is 32 now but he is far better than reserve grade standard. If he can now jag a wing spot and start scoring some tries he will become SuperCoach relevant very quickly.
SUPERCOACH TERMINOLOGY KEY
MPG = Minutes per game
PPG = Points per game
PPM= Points per minute
BPG = Base per game (point accrued in tackles + runs + missed tackles)