EPL Supercoach Final Word | Gameweek 4 trades, fixtures, captains


<p>94 points. Rank fell from 2,688 all the way to 3.9k. </p>



<p>Frimpong and Tzolis went, Dedic and Wissa came in, and neither made anywhere near the cash the Hull defenders were printing elsewhere. </p>



<p>Not the bounce-back week I wanted after two clean rounds, but that&#8217;s Supercoach sometimes! </p>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Fixtures</strong></h3>



<p>Here&#8217;s the full GW4 slate.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td>Kickoff</td><td>Team</td><td>xG</td><td>CS%</td><td></td><td>Team</td><td>xG</td><td>CS%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 12:00am</td><td>Crystal Palace</td><td>1.67</td><td>34%</td><td>vs</td><td>Ipswich</td><td>1.08</td><td>19%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 12:00am</td><td>Liverpool</td><td>2.35</td><td>36%</td><td>vs</td><td>Fulham</td><td>1.03</td><td>10%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 12:00am</td><td>Aston Villa</td><td>1.48</td><td>32%</td><td>vs</td><td>Nott&#8217;m Forest</td><td>1.15</td><td>23%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 12:00am</td><td>Bournemouth</td><td>1.55</td><td>22%</td><td>vs</td><td>Brentford</td><td>1.50</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 12:00am</td><td>Chelsea</td><td>2.75</td><td>47%</td><td>vs</td><td>Hull</td><td>0.74</td><td>6%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 2:30am</td><td>Tottenham</td><td>1.56</td><td>33%</td><td>vs</td><td>Everton</td><td>1.11</td><td>21%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 5:00am</td><td>Sunderland</td><td>0.70</td><td>16%</td><td>vs</td><td>Arsenal</td><td>1.86</td><td>50%</td></tr><tr><td>Sun 13/09, 11:00pm</td><td>Coventry</td><td>1.12</td><td>18%</td><td>vs</td><td>Brighton</td><td>1.72</td><td>33%</td></tr><tr><td>Mon 14/09, 1:30am</td><td>Man United</td><td>1.49</td><td>17%</td><td>vs</td><td>Man City</td><td>1.79</td><td>23%</td></tr><tr><td>Tue 15/09, 5:00am</td><td>Leeds</td><td>1.48</td><td>26%</td><td>vs</td><td>Newcastle</td><td>1.35</td><td>23%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<p>Liverpool and Fulham have both been playing genuinely attacking football, but Fulham&#8217;s defence has leaked goals all season. </p>



<p>This has the makings of a 3-1 type scoreline. Don&#8217;t be trading out any Liverpool attackers this week.</p>



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<p>Chelsea are sitting on 2.75 xG, the standout number on the whole slate. </p>



<p>Hull&#8217;s three clean sheets in a row have people second-guessing that, but don&#8217;t be fooled. </p>



<p>Hull have been fortunate rather than good, expected to concede five goals across those three games. Load up on Chelsea.</p>



<p>Arsenal at 50% clean sheet odds against Sunderland is a genuinely amazing fixture. Just be careful with your minutes-risk players. </p>



<p>Sunday into a midweek trip to Napoli into Saturday is a brutal turnaround. </p>



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<p>Thankfully Calafiori was already rested against Napoli, so this looks like a great fixture for him specifically. </p>



<p>Tread carefully with anyone else who might get rotated through that stretch.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Trade In Targets</strong></h3>



<p><strong>Lewis Hall (£7.89m):</strong> surprised more teams aren&#8217;t jumping on this. -7 breakeven off back-to-back double-digit hauls, and he tops the base stat rankings with 24 points across three games; that&#8217;s 8 a week plus appearance points before any clean sheets or attacking returns land. Still underpriced.</p>



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<p><strong>Jacquet (£4.80m):</strong> I don&#8217;t trust Liverpool&#8217;s defence, but he&#8217;s equal sixth on the base stat rankings with 18 points across three games. </p>



<p>Sub £5m with a -5 breakeven, this is exactly where you park the cash you just banked from the Hull defenders.</p>



<p><strong>Josh King (£6.05m):</strong> two tough fixtures up next, then the best run going, Ipswich, Hull, Coventry back-to-back to back from six through eight. </p>



<p>Strong buy if Fulham keep playing the way they have been.</p>



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<p><strong>Anan Khalaili (£5.53m)</strong>: 7 owners last week. Basically no one. A rogue pick; he&#8217;s classified as a forward but playing wing-back, and the returns have been quiet but consistent: 9 points in 35 minutes, then 8, then 9, all in base stats and appearance points alone. </p>



<p>Equal second on the base stat rankings. Not my move; I&#8217;d rather have Rogers or Pedro, but as safe cash generation it&#8217;s hard to ignore.</p>



<p><strong>Rogers/Pedro: </strong>whoever is trading Joao Pedro (£9.65m) out right now needs their head read; he&#8217;s a captaincy option this week. </p>



<p>Rogers (£8.87m) is right there with him, four assists in the League Cup on top of his league form. </p>



<p>Any team holding Rogers, Pedro and Palmer together right now should be thrilled with themselves.</p>



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<p><strong>Barnes (£6.22m):</strong> doesn&#8217;t have the guaranteed money-making case that King does, but I&#8217;m more confident he can continue his scoring run. </p>



<p>His goal last weekend was outstanding, and with Leeds, Hull, Coventry, Villa and Palace up next, he&#8217;s hard to ignore.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Trade Outs</strong></h3>



<p><strong>Hull City defenders:</strong> always a one-week play, and fair play, they printed serious cash. Take the money and run before Chelsea get stuck into them. </p>



<p>Tzolakis is the one exception; he has a negative breakeven and should pick up save points. </p>



<p>Bench him behind your nuff GK; he auto-subs on if the nuff doesn&#8217;t play, and if he scores negative, he will stay on the bench.</p>



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<p><strong>Foden/Cherki:</strong> I expect City to win this one comfortably, not necessarily either of them to return, and you might squeeze one more week out of them holding. </p>



<p>But City&#8217;s midfield is a benching minefield. Not a headache worth carrying every round.</p>



<p><strong>Sangare (£5.36m)</strong>: hold. Yes, he got subbed at half-time after a yellow, which is exactly why Tzolis got sold last week, and look how that ended up. </p>



<p>Everyone was calling him the best buy of the window after GW1. Give him longer; he isn&#8217;t the one costing you bulk cash.</p>



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<p><strong>Man United defenders:</strong> bin the lot. You wanted them for the opening three fixtures, and they repaid the faith with -2 points per game from goals conceded across all three. </p>



<p>Watch them somehow keep Haaland out now.</p>



<p><strong>Dedic (£5.66m):</strong> the hamstring news doesn&#8217;t sound serious, but Livramento being back sooner than hoped is the bigger worry. </p>



<p>50/50 on this one, and with Jacquet cheaper it&#8217;s tempting, but I&#8217;m leaning hold unless the injury news turns bad.</p>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>My planned moves</strong></h3>



<p>Buendia out, Barnes in</p>



<p>Never wanted Buendia in the first place, only held on hoping for a goal against Hull that never came. </p>



<p>Going with Barnes over King here, backing him to keep producing rather than banking on King&#8217;s guaranteed cash. </p>



<p>Dedic stays for now; I&#8217;m not pulling the trigger on Jacquet until there&#8217;s real injury news or Livramento is a confirmed starter.</p>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Captains</strong></h3>



<p>VC: Palmer (£10.19m)</p>



<p>C: Haaland (£13.01m)</p>



<p>Liverpool and Chelsea kick off at the exact same time this week, which kills my preferred loop of setting Isak early and deciding on Palmer once his score is in. </p>



<p>Can&#8217;t be done this round. With that sequencing gone, Palmer is the safer early pick given how soft Hull&#8217;s underlying numbers are. </p>



<p>Haaland just feels like the safest fallback option once Chelsea have played.</p>



<p>Other options:</p>



<p>Isak (£6.78m) vs Fulham</p>



<p>Pedro (£9.65m) or Rogers (£8.87m) vs Hull</p>


EPL Supercoach Final Word | Gameweek 4 trades, fixtures, captains

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