Niko's AFL Supercoach Watchlist: Buy, Hold, Sell round 4


<p>Another nice score of 1921 see’s me climb into rank 2,889.</p>



<p>However, I’m a little short on premiums this week with Sinclair, Whitfield, Callaghan and Flanders all out, plus the Xerri issue to resolve.</p>



<p>I’ll be trading, and potentially boosting, to try and keep the momentum going but also value hunting.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Buy</strong></h2>



<p><strong>Josh&nbsp;Lindsay ($122,500 West Coast DEF, B/E -59)</strong></p>



<p>The number one bubble buy this week.&nbsp; Back in the team and on some kick outs which is nice.&nbsp; Great user of the footy and the team had a great win so expect he holds his spot now.</p>



<p><strong>Tom&nbsp;Stewart ($528,100 Geelong DEF, B/E 59)</strong></p>



<p>Is premium Stew back?&nbsp; Will the tags come again?&nbsp; Will his body continue to hold up?&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>



<p>Too many questions for mine but he’s at a good enough price if you want to take the risk.</p>



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<p><strong>Colby&nbsp;McKercher ($445,400 North Melbourne DEF, B/E 67)</strong></p>



<p>I liked what I saw on the weekend.&nbsp; Back in the preferred role off half back, with kick ins, a spike in TOG and his teammates feeding him the ball with 19 handball receives.&nbsp; He now looks ready to deliver like what he did post bye last year, and that’s good enough for me to lock him into my defence as D6 at a cheap price.</p>



<p><strong>Luke&nbsp;Parker ($513,800 North Melbourne&nbsp;MID, B/E 75)</strong></p>



<p>The Shinboners love affair with veterans playing off half back continues.  The only issue I have is that Parker is so capable as an inside mid or forward so the role can change at any moment, especially if injuries hit.  Has nearly played 100% defence to date.</p>



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<p><strong>Bailey&nbsp;Smith ($629,500 Geelong MID, B/E 82)</strong></p>



<p>Back in a big way with 172 against the Crows.&nbsp; I can’t trust that he won’t be a late out multiple times this season, but no denying he’s a great POD at only 3% owned.</p>



<p><strong>Jordan&nbsp;Clark ($562,600 Fremantle&nbsp;DEF, B/E 84)</strong></p>



<p>The poor 75 score from round 1 will drop off now and he’s looking good. A great option for those looking to move a rookie defender to the bench come best 22 in round 5.  Next month looks elite for his scoring capability and fairly priced.</p>



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<p><strong>Max&nbsp;Holmes ($604,800 Geelong MID, B/E 95)</strong></p>



<p>I didn’t think he was particularly good last week but still scored 121 thanks to a big third quarter.&nbsp; He gets around the ground so well, teammates use him, and he kicks it more often than not making him a great and reliable Supercoach asset.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>



<p><strong>Nick&nbsp;Daicos ($638,200 Collingwood MID, B/E 101)</strong></p>



<p>The number one CBA mid with multiple scoring avenues and pedigree coming off a 150.  The 6-day break and a date with Berry are the only negatives.</p>



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<p><strong>Tim&nbsp;English ($606,100 Western Bulldogs RUC, B/E 117)</strong></p>



<p>Seems like the best Xerri replacement for non-owners.  The rules affect him the least being great around the ground and getting into transition and scoring chains, plus you should get a nice sugar hit this week against Essendon.  Round 16 bye helps and you save $80k for future trades choosing him over Gawn.  Luke Jackson and Brodie Grundy also serious options to consider.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Hold</strong></h2>



<p><strong>Jack&nbsp;Lukosius ($242,100 Port Adelaide&nbsp;FWD, B/E -62)</strong></p>



<p>Good scores against the Bombers and West Coast…&nbsp; Yes Richmond is next, but I don’t think the fixtures are there post that to make serious cash.&nbsp; It only takes one bad game to completely ruin everything like it did with Tanner Bruhn last week.</p>



<p><strong>Jake&nbsp;Rogers ($179,800 Gold Coast&nbsp;FWD, B/E -60)</strong></p>



<p>Our forward rookies are pretty stacked, so I don’t see the need to go sideways and trade into him.  He could easily drop a poor one like Lombard did.</p>



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<p><strong>Chayce&nbsp;Jones ($119,900 Adelaide&nbsp;MID, B/E -53)</strong></p>



<p>I’m not convinced that he’s in the best Crows team and coming off a 38 score I’m not interested.</p>



<p><strong>Zane&nbsp;Zakostelsky ($119,900 Brisbane&nbsp;DEF/RUC, B/E -47)</strong></p>



<p>Handy DPP but if you didn’t start with him, I wouldn’t trade him in if named.&nbsp; Likely to lose his spot when Andrews returns from suspension in round 5.</p>



<p><strong>Ned&nbsp;Reeves ($242,400 Hawthorn RUC, B/E -46)</strong></p>



<p>Splitting the ruck time with Meek and only playing 50% TOG, big pass unless Meek is dropped or injured.</p>



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<p><strong>Christopher&nbsp;Scerri ($99,100 Fremantle&nbsp;MID/FWD, B/E -45)</strong></p>



<p>I don’t want to be trading into someone who was on 1SC at half time against Richmond.&nbsp; I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if he loses his spot.</p>



<p><strong>Hugh&nbsp;Bond ($167,800 Adelaide DEF, B/E – 35)</strong></p>



<p>Should still hold his spot even with Hinge likely back in but he’s a lockdown defender.</p>



<p><strong>Oscar&nbsp;Steene ($119,900 Collingwood RUC/FWD, B/E -34)</strong></p>



<p>The golden rule in Supercoach, don’t go early.&nbsp; Very impressive against the Giants and will likely hold his spot in the short-term but wait for next week.</p>



<p><strong>Willem&nbsp;Duursma ($270,000 West Coast&nbsp;MID, B/E -33)</strong></p>



<p>I think the ship has sailed here.</p>



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<p><strong>Mattaes&nbsp;Phillipou ($185,400 St Kilda&nbsp;FWD, B/E 6)</strong></p>



<p>On the bye and I see his name on the trade outs list.&nbsp; Low breakeven and an expectation of increased TOG after their bye makes him an easy hold IMO.</p>



<p><strong>Leonardo&nbsp;Lombard ($153,400 Gold Coast FWD, B/E 16)</strong></p>



<p>Provided he holds his spot I’ll be holding him.&nbsp; I don’t want to be too reactive with my rookies.</p>



<p><strong>Dyson&nbsp;Sharp ($149,500 Essendon MID, B/E 17)</strong></p>



<p>The Bombers fans need some hope for the future and playing this guy more and in the CBAs might bring that.&nbsp; I’m holding as he looks set to return from his ankle injury.</p>



<p><strong>Tanner&nbsp;Bruhn ($314,300 Geelong MID, B/E 29)</strong></p>



<p>I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt due to the hit, bloody nose and low TOG that resulted.  </p>



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<p><strong>Caleb&nbsp;Windsor ($283,300 Melbourne DEF, B/E 51)</strong></p>



<p>MID DPP will come in handy, and I’d lean to holding him for another two weeks (Gold Coast &amp; Essendon).&nbsp; If you don’t see a 85+ from him after that, move him on.</p>



<p><strong>Marcus&nbsp;Bontempelli ($709,800 Western Bulldogs MID, B/E 118)</strong></p>



<p>Can you buy into another $700k player after the Xerri play so epically failed last week?&nbsp; If you don’t have a reliable captain option maybe the answer is yes and you plonk the C on him against the Bombers and sleep easy.&nbsp; For me, I’m value hunting and there’s not much meat on the bone here, so I’ll wait for a poorish score to come and the subsequent price drops.</p>



<p><strong>Touk&nbsp;Miller ($586,600 Gold Coast&nbsp;MID, B/E 127)</strong></p>



<p>He will get FWD status but I don’t see the rush in getting him ahead of the pack, especially with the big breakeven and price.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Sell</strong></h2>



<p><strong>Tristan&nbsp;Xerri ($682,500 North Melbourne&nbsp;RUC, B/E 136)</strong></p>



<p>From masterclass to disaster class and a three-week suspension (lucky it wasn’t more).&nbsp; Too much money to hold, unless McAndrew is stuck at R3 and you’re a league player.</p>



<p><strong>Darcy&nbsp;Parish ($347,700 Essendon MID, B/E 71)</strong></p>



<p>I spoke of the fan hope for the future earlier with Sharp, this guy doesn’t bring that.  We started him with the hope of a high floor and the potential for a ceiling game early.  Neither has come, and the pace of the game seems to have gone past him.</p>



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<p><strong>Lachlan&nbsp;Blakiston ($301,100 Essendon DEF, B/E 53)</strong></p>



<p>Dropping 60’s as lead ruck and Nick Bryan is returning via the VFL this week.&nbsp; A failed experiment much like how Sam De Koning was last season.</p>


Niko’s AFL Supercoach Watchlist: Buy, Hold, Sell round 4

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