EPL Supercoach Fixture Analysis | Trade Targets


<p>Currently ranked 1016, which I can&#8217;t be unhappy with, but it&#8217;s been a slide from 244 after week one. </p>



<p>Made some questionable moves that have cost me &#8211; went against my better logic to bring in Ballard in GW2, traded my boy Diouf before GW3 and his 20-pointer, and benched Dewsbury-Hall&#8217;s 21-pointer for Ødegaard&#8217;s 1.</p>



<p>Very happy with my team value of £112.72m despite holding Palmer and Ballard. </p>



<p>Team value is my focus this time of year &#8211; these fixture runs create the price rises that matter come the business end of the season.</p>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>The Fixture Goldmine: Teams to Target</strong></h3>



<p><strong>Leeds United</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Fulham (A) → Wolves (A) → Bournemouth (H) → Tottenham (H) → Burnley (A) → West Ham (H)</p>



<p>Great start to the season with two clean sheets against Everton and Newcastle. The promoted side tag shouldn&#8217;t put you off when the fixtures are this kind.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Rodon (£4.52m, 2 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Might have got lucky fielding him last week, but the value is undeniable at this price</li>



<li><strong>Stach (£5.43m, 0.83 xGI)</strong> &#8211; Strong attacking data without the goals or assists yet. Not an urgent buy, but I can see him doing well through this run</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Tottenham</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: West Ham (A) → Brighton (A) → Wolves (H) → Leeds (A) → Aston Villa (H) → Everton (A)</p>



<p>Going from beating City to losing to Bournemouth &#8211; classic Spurs (sorry, Arsenal bias showing). But these fixtures could mask their inconsistencies perfectly.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Richarlison (£6.52m, 6 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Wish I had him, but with Solanke back soon, wouldn&#8217;t trade in or out right now</li>



<li><strong>Porro (£9.35m, 11 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Been very happy despite no attacking returns. Fair shout for any of their defenders</li>



<li><strong>Xavi Simons (£6m)</strong> &#8211; Wait and see. Hasn&#8217;t played yet, but think he&#8217;ll be a baller once he gets minutes &#8211; give him a couple of appearances then jump on</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Wolves</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Newcastle (A) → Leeds (H) → Tottenham (A) → Brighton (H) → Sunderland (A) → Burnley (H)</p>



<p>Honestly? Skip this mess for now.</p>



<p>Maybe Consider:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Strand Larsen (£7.72m, 16 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Once he drops in price and returns from injury. Surely he&#8217;s their only chance of survival</li>



<li><strong>Agbadou (£6.11m, 7 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Disappointing so far, could turn it around with these fixtures, but I want to see it first</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Aston Villa</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Everton (A) → Sunderland (A) → Fulham (H) → Burnley (H) → Tottenham (A) → Manchester City (H)</p>



<p>Three games, zero goals? Huge surprise for me. Note that City fixture ruins the party at the end.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Watkins (£7.33m, 15 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Could be a shout if they turn it around, but wait a week for his price to drop</li>



<li><strong>Konsa (£5.49m, 15 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; My defensive pick from preseason still has potential, wait a week for his price to drop</li>



<li><strong>Harvey Elliott (£3.9m) </strong>&#8211; Only played one fixture so you have time. Great signing and could be huge for Villa &#8211; potential downgrade play next week</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Liverpool</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Burnley (A) → Everton (H) → Crystal Palace (A) → Chelsea (A) → Manchester United (H) → Brentford (A)</p>



<p>When the league champions pick up all these players, it&#8217;s scary for the league. But rotation is very real.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Salah (£13.71m, 31 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Disappointing so far, but has captainable fixtures coming. Eyeing the right time to buy</li>



<li><strong>Gakpo (£8.90m, 4 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Decent option for a couple of weeks before he loses minutes</li>



<li><strong>Ekitike (£7.67m, 10 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Same story as Gakpo</li>
</ul>



<p>Avoid: <strong>Isak (£11.61m</strong>) &#8211; Expect managed minutes despite the premium price.</p>



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<p><strong>Bournemouth</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Brighton (H) → Newcastle (H) → Leeds (A) → Fulham (H) → Crystal Palace (A) → Nottingham Forest (H)</p>



<p>The Cherries aren&#8217;t glamorous, but they&#8217;re offering genuine value in the right spots.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Senesi (£7.05m, -12 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Is he a lock? Even without attacking points, scoring enough from tackles, clearances and interceptions. Feels like he&#8217;s picking up Huijsen&#8217;s points from last year. I want to buy</li>



<li><strong>Semenyo (£9.73m, 17 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Couldn&#8217;t blame you for buying. Not sure he&#8217;s value, but these fixtures could prove me very wrong</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>West Ham</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Tottenham (H) → Crystal Palace (H) → Everton (A) → Arsenal (A) → Brentford (H) → Leeds (A)</p>



<p>So frustrating &#8211; worst team in the league for two weeks, then scoring three goals after the 84th minute against Forest.</p>



<p>Key Targets:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Diouf (£5.04m, -8 breakeven) </strong>&#8211; It&#8217;s my fault. Traded out my boy before his 20-pointer. Spoke about him non-stop in preseason and got scared after two performances. Don&#8217;t be me</li>



<li><strong>Paqueta (£7.64m, -16 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Worth a look. Won&#8217;t keep up the goals from last two weeks, but similar to Bruno, scores well across multiple categories</li>
</ul>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Fixture Nightmares: Steer Clear</strong></h3>



<p><strong>Manchester United</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Manchester City (A) → Chelsea (H) → Brentford (A) → Sunderland (H) → Liverpool (A) → Brighton (H)</p>



<p>City, Chelsea, and Liverpool in the next six? Even with their quality, these fixtures make United assets very difficult to justify.</p>



<p>Key Players:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Cunha (£9.72m, 20 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Unlucky with the early injury, probably a trade given the injury and will be bleeding cash</li>



<li><strong>Dorgu (£4.4m, 6 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; No minutes in GW3, maybe not as safe as people thought. Easy move to Senesi</li>



<li><strong>Bruno (£10.78m, 14 breakeven) </strong>&#8211; I&#8217;d hold. Hopefully still on pens and has good underlying data. Take the highs with the lows</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Brentford</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Chelsea (H) → Fulham (A) → Manchester United (H) → Manchester City (H) → West Ham (A) → Liverpool (H)</p>



<p>Brutal run for the Bees. That&#8217;s four massive fixtures in six games &#8211; even their defensive organisation won&#8217;t help here.</p>



<p>Key Players:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Thiago (£5.37m, -2 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Only player with significant ownership. I&#8217;m an owner and holding for the cash, but wouldn&#8217;t recommend trading him in</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Everton</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Aston Villa (H) → Liverpool (A) → West Ham (H) → Crystal Palace (H) → Manchester City (A) → Tottenham (H)</p>



<p>The Toffees face a nightmare sequence. Liverpool away and City away kill any appeal their defensive assets might have had.</p>



<p>Key Players:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Grealish (£6.49m, -21 breakeven)</strong> and <strong>Dewsbury-Hall (£5.4m, -7 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Pretty happy with the double up, but maybe don&#8217;t expect this level of scoring to continue. Laugh all the way to the bank though</li>



<li>Wouldn&#8217;t be considering any others with these fixtures</li>
</ul>



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<p><strong>Fulham</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Leeds (H) → Brentford (H) → Aston Villa (A) → Bournemouth (A) → Arsenal (H) → Newcastle (A)</p>



<p>Mixed bag for Fulham, but that Arsenal fixture is a season-killer for any attacking assets you might be considering.</p>



<p>Key Players: No one of high ownership, ignore them for now. I do like <strong>King (£3.87m, 3 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; got robbed of a goal, but hard to prioritise with these fixtures.</p>



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<p><strong>Burnley</strong></p>



<p>Fixtures: Liverpool (H) → Nottingham Forest (H) → Manchester City (A) → Aston Villa (A) → Leeds (H) → Wolves (A)</p>



<p>Opening with Liverpool at home then City away? The promoted side&#8217;s fixtures are absolutely brutal.</p>



<p>Key Players:</p>



<ul>
<li><strong>Anthony (£5.18m, -12 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; Fair play if you had him for his goals, not a buy for me but take the cash if you have him</li>



<li><strong>Walker (£3.87m, 2 breakeven)</strong> &#8211; If you&#8217;re one of the 17% with him, it&#8217;s time to move on. Not with these fixtures and the leaky Burnley defence</li>
</ul>



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<h3 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>My Current Trading Considerations</strong></h3>



<p>A few moves I&#8217;m weighing up this week:</p>



<ul>
<li>Considering Ødegaard out, but not fully convinced on Paqueta, so maybe hold the trade</li>



<li>Really want Senesi, but who to ditch out of Porro, Cucurella, Calafiori, Rodon, and Ballard&#8230;</li>



<li>Have used 4 transfers already, so maybe time to save one</li>
</ul>



<p>Sometimes the best trade is no trade &#8211; especially when you&#8217;re sitting on decent team value and the fixtures aren&#8217;t screaming urgent moves.</p>


EPL Supercoach Fixture Analysis | Trade Targets

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