Quantium data analysis: True player ownership stats, Round 3

For those new to this column, each week (work commitments permitting!) I will dive into the ownership stats around the top leading teams to help Supercoaches get a better feel for the true ownership of different players. 

Unfortunately, the player ownership stats on the Supercoach website aren’t particularly useful – but I guess that means that hopefully these stats can give you an edge on other players by truly understanding whether a certain player is a POD or not.

Let’s take a look at the true ownership data coming out of NRL Supercoach Round 3.

Fullback

The table below sets out the proportion of teams in the top 100, top 1,000, top 5,000, top 10,000, top 20,000 and top 100,000 that own each fullback. 

We can see the trade activity around Reece Walsh who backed up his opening score in Round 3.

Walsh’s ownership prior to Round 4 is at 29% of the top 100 ranked team.

Those who are running without James Tedesco in his underwhelming start to the season are rewarded in the rankings, at just 10% ownership in the top 100 ranked teams.

CTW

The big swing here was around Jacob Kiraz who jumped from 1% ownership in the top 100 in Round 2, to 28% in Round 3.

Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow was another big mover in Round 3, increasing from 36% ownership in top 100,000 ranked teams, up to 63%.

Five-eighth

We’ve seen those who started with Dylan Brown rewarded, owned by just 6% overall, but 17% in the top 100 ranked team.

I suspect we’ll see some big swings in the ownership at five-eighth with Adam Doueihi at 64% ownership in the top 20,000 as it stands.

Halfback

People jumped off Nathan Cleary for his bye last week, previously owned by 73% of the top 10,000, now down to 53%.

With a few more jumping ship this week, it’ll be a tough watch against the Eels.

Sam Walker decreased from 39% in the top 100, to 23% after Round 3.

2RF

Jacob Preston’s ownership almost doubled last week, he delivered on the faith with a strong score against the Tigers. Expect that ownership to grow again this week.

Those who started with Eli Katoa at a mid-range price have been rewarded, owned by 54% of the top 100, but just 29% of the top 100,000.

FRF

Payne Haas’ stocks have again risen after seeing his ownership shoot from 37% in the top 5,000 last week, to 52% after round 3.

That number rises to 74% of the top 100!

HOK

Wayde Egan was a big mover in Round 3, going from 4% ownership in the top 1,000, up to 31% this week. He’s now out with a concusion.

Unsurprisingly, 82% of the top 100 own Harry Grant after his hot start to the year, dropping all the way to 46% in the top 100,000.

Round 3 Captaincy Selection

Harry Grant was the most popular skipper, with 44% of the top 100 giving him the armband for his tonne.

J’maine Hopgood was the safe pick and a popular choice, he struggled, while anyone game enough to gamble on Tom Trbojevic’s injury history were rewarded.

BREAK AWAY FROM THE PACK with Quantium, Australia’s premier data science and artificial intelligence company. Create your own career power play and join the team today. Visit our website for more information. CEO Adam Druissi is a contributor to SC Playbook.