Sit v start: Who to play in your final 17, Rd 12?


<p>With Harry Grant a late out for this week, a lot of us will be looking for an extra reserve. Throw in a round of relatively close matchups and start/sit is looking relatively tricky. Here are my thoughts for the round, with plays listed in priority order.</p>



<p>Thanks as always to the legendary <a href="http://nrlsupercoachstats.com/">nrlsupercoachstats.com</a>, whose website I&#8217;ve utilised for position vs team analysis and various stats breakdowns.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>START</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td></tr><tr><td>1</td><td>Butcher</td><td>Sharks</td><td>12th</td><td>50</td><td>55</td><td>44</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>2</td><td>Pangai jr</td><td>Dragons</td><td>1st</td><td>59</td><td>57</td><td>52</td><td>64</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<p>It’s hard to go past Butcher, after he’s 67 in raw base stats last week. Similarly with TPJ, even though he’s coming off the bench, he still scored 71 in 56 minutes last week in the same role.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>CONSIDER</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td></tr><tr><td>3</td><td>Penisini</td><td>Raiders</td><td>3rd</td><td>55</td><td>64</td><td>44</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>May</td><td>Cowboys</td><td>16th</td><td>70</td><td>60</td><td>40</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>Tago</td><td>Cowboys</td><td>16th</td><td>61</td><td>65</td><td>37</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>6</td><td>Arrow</td><td>Tigers</td><td>12th</td><td>53</td><td>46</td><td>52</td><td>65</td></tr><tr><td>7</td><td>Drinkwater</td><td>Panthers</td><td>13th</td><td>76</td><td>59</td><td>29</td><td>77</td></tr><tr><td>&nbsp; 8</td><td>King (J)</td><td>Manly</td><td>1st</td><td>55</td><td>51</td><td>49</td><td>63</td></tr><tr><td>9</td><td>Coates</td><td>Manly</td><td>8th</td><td>52</td><td>18</td><td>20</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>Starling</td><td>Eels</td><td>3rd</td><td>54</td><td>53</td><td>43</td><td>63</td></tr><tr><td>11</td><td>Taafe</td><td>Tigers</td><td>9th</td><td>49</td><td>51</td><td>15</td><td>78</td></tr><tr><td>12</td><td>King (M)</td><td>Dragons</td><td>2nd</td><td>44</td><td>36</td><td>44</td><td>38</td></tr><tr><td>13</td><td>Martin (T)</td><td>Titans</td><td>6th</td><td>34</td><td>27</td><td>16</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>14</td><td>Vailea</td><td>Knights</td><td>1st</td><td>31</td><td>35</td><td>17</td><td>81</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>Randall</td><td>Warriors</td><td>11th</td><td>46</td><td>46</td><td>43</td><td>67</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>Suaalii</td><td>Sharks</td><td>14th</td><td>54</td><td>65</td><td>31</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>Tuipulotu</td><td>Storm</td><td>12th</td><td>53</td><td>59</td><td>36</td><td>80</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<p>Those who’ve held onto Penisini were rewarded with his highest score of the season last week. I like him as a play again, with a nice CTW matchup vs the Raiders.</p>



<p>The Panthers young guns have shown they can score against anyone, so they’re still well up my rankings. Arrow, I expect to continue to be solid, especially whilst Murray is out.</p>



<p>Drinkwater has a tough matchup but he’s class! Think he can be played if needed. Josh King always has sneaky upside in the Storm and gets a favourable matchup vs Manly.</p>



<p>Coates’ ceiling may well be worth a punt. You’ll need to accept the high-risk level though with his low floor.</p>



<p>Starling always has attacking upside so isn’t the worst play. Taafe can be hard to pick but does have a three-round average over 50 coming into a decent matchup vs the Tigers.</p>



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<p>Max King’s output has dropped off as of late. The only things in his favour are a favourable matchup vs the Dragons and an intriguing move to the edge.</p>



<p>For someone who has been a clear sit all season, Vailea could be a sneaky play this week. Knights concede the most of any team to CTWs. Don’t think I’d go there unless your desperate though.</p>



<p>Randall has been hard to catch and with Crossland on the bench i expect him to get a rest at some stage. He’s followed by Sualii and Tuipolotu, who are down the rankings due to matchups.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>SIT</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>Ilias</td><td>Tigers</td><td>6th</td><td>34</td><td>36</td><td>18</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>Koula</td><td>Storm</td><td>12th</td><td>32</td><td>36</td><td>28</td><td>66</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<p>Ilias, I have as a perma-sit, due to his low floor and game not being well suited to SC. Koula’s matchup against the Storm also has him as a clear sit for me.</p>



<p><strong><em>Pat and George from <a rel="noreferrer noopener" href="https://www.mortgagechoice.com.au/peter.k.johnson/" target="_blank">Mortgage Choice SCW</a> are experts in all types of loans, so if you’re looking to purchase your first home or chase the lowest refinance rate, call on (02) 9521 1611, mention ‘SC Playbook’ for your FREE tailored expert advice session!</em></strong></p>



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Sit v start: Who to play in your final 17, Rd 12?

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