Final word: Captains, weather forecast, POD watch Rd 4

Supercoach Big Bash round 4 has arrived, the final week where we have multiple teams on the double game week.



As always, maximise those double game week players from the Adelaide Strikers and Melbourne Renegades because the game is about to change dramatically as we enter a host of single game weeks.



The Cooma Stallions are sitting nicely in 472nd overall, with nine players on the double this week.



As a result of the decent start cash generation has been strong, so hopefully we are well placed to continue the charge up the leaderboard.



Let’s take a look at Supercoach BBL Round 4 that starts tonight in Sydney.



PRICE DROP! Subscribe to our premium content for BBL14, now just $20! Get access to additional articles throughout the season. Gain access to our Whatsapp community with team news for every game, team feedback, and contributor trade and skipper plans every week and plenty more. <a href="https://scplaybook.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">SUBSCRIBE NOW</a>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Weather Watch</h2>



All weather is courtesy of the Bureau of Meteorology as of Monday, 4PM. All times are in AEDT. Forecasts are subject to change.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="819" height="1024" src="http://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1-819x1024.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-2399634" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1-240x300.jpg 240w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1-768x960.jpg 768w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1-640x800.jpg 640w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Blue-Modern-Weather-Forecast-Instagram-Post-1080-x-1350-px-1.jpg 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 770px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Looking ahead</h2>



This week, the Strikers and Renegades are on the double making them the priority trade options.



After this week, three of the final five rounds have no teams on the double.



The remaining teams on the double are the Sydney Thunder in round 6 and the Hobart Hurricanes in round 8, so look to hold any of their players if you currently own.



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="753" src="http://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--1024x753.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-2399199" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--1024x753.jpg 1024w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--300x220.jpg 300w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--768x564.jpg 768w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--1536x1129.jpg 1536w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--640x470.jpg 640w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket--1200x882.jpg 1200w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/SC-Cricket-.jpg 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 770px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Breakevens</h2>



Each week we’ll list the top players with both the highest and lowest breakevens, plus a few additional players worth noting, to help track your cash movement.



The breakeven number is the score required in the upcoming round for a player to make or lose money.



Lowest breakeven (Money-makers)



Mitch Owen -61



Todd Murphy -50



Ben Duckett -48



Sam Billings -47



Josh Philippe -46



James Vince -41



Wes Agar -23



Spencer Johnson -20



Kurtis Patterson -17



Cameron Bancroft -16



Ashton Turner -14



Tim David -9



Tom Andrews -5



Jason Sangha -4



<a id='22AQEN66T9JI6PJBACYPCA' class='gie-single' href='http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/2191159671' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;' rel="noopener">Embed from Getty Images</a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'22AQEN66T9JI6PJBACYPCA',sig:'bJ5PxjHYKwpxl2AkSlAbwcvmQOVdS_XHaWNfQQ4fZdw=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'2191159671',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});</script><script src='//embed-cdn.gettyimages.com/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async></script>



Highest breakeven (Likely price drop)



Note that the substantially high Strikers and Renegades breakevens are the scores across both games of their double.



Tim Seifert 133



Matt Short 132



Glenn Maxwell 132



Will Sutherland 131



Xavier Bartlett 125



Lloyd Pope 125



Akeal Hosein 117



Jamie Overton 114



Chris Green 113



Chris Lynn 112



Henry Thornton 111



Jake Weatherald 109



Jake Fraser-McGurk 94



Finn Allen 93



Josh Brown 92



Aaron Hardie 90



Daniel Sams 90



<a id='SBn1xhNBQrlvY834lbiEfQ' class='gie-single' href='http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/2191543382' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;' rel="noopener">Embed from Getty Images</a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'SBn1xhNBQrlvY834lbiEfQ',sig:'8tXRxD1MYZacd1T6YVXqpnTZBQ9FIERfV4vfBawqBEM=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'2191543382',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});</script><script src='//embed-cdn.gettyimages.com/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async></script>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Super PODs</h2>



In the Final Word, we’ll look at the super POD options, the players at under 5% ownership (among the top 10% ranked coaches) that could send you soaring (or falling) up the overall ranks.



They come with big risk, but the reward is immense if it comes off.



Last week, Akeal Hosein was underwhelming at 4.5% ownership, scoring just 63 points on the double for the Sixers.



Ben McDermott – 1.5% ownership



The wicket-keeper slot is about to get interesting as the bulk double game rounds wrap up.



There’s no real standout in the position so it’ll be pivotal for the run home to get it right, especially with looping options.



McDermott is a Supercoach gun of the past and will be a key buy for the Hurricanes double in round 8.



He can go very big on his day, so it may be worth a little gamble to go early on him.



He has a breakeven of 6 so there’s also likely to be some good cash incoming at $123,000.



Do note that the Hurricanes play late most rounds, so he’s not ideal for looping purposes.



Perhaps though if a WKP scores well early in the round you can sit him outside your starting team.



He also plays his next two games at home in Hobart which is ripe for run-scoring with the short square boundaries.



<a id='1m-W_4rsRoVzN01Cqk5c1Q' class='gie-single' href='http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/2191553663' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;' rel="noopener">Embed from Getty Images</a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'1m-W_4rsRoVzN01Cqk5c1Q',sig:'R3A2AIh2cxgykD7r_AiIpbXONVtv6vJtcwatlcCaC1E=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'2191553663',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});</script><script src='//embed-cdn.gettyimages.com/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async></script>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Captains</h2>



The Renegades play in the opening game so they’re the obvious vice-captain play, with the captain on a Strikers player should your VC fail.



Averaging a monstrous 93.3 Supercoach points this season, Will Sutherland is probably the obvious pick.



He’s bowled at the death and is batting generally at number 7.



He’s currently at 50.6% VC which is enormous, there’s genuine opportunity to opt for a POD skipper such as Tom Rogers.



Rogers is bowling death and is guaranteed to bowl his four overs, unlike Sutherland.



<a id='mn9ECqbqQPpKbAeI846eMA' class='gie-single' href='http://www.gettyimages.com/detail/2191148133' target='_blank' style='color:#a7a7a7;text-decoration:none;font-weight:normal !important;border:none;display:inline-block;' rel="noopener">Embed from Getty Images</a><script>window.gie=window.gie||function(c){(gie.q=gie.q||[]).push(c)};gie(function(){gie.widgets.load({id:'mn9ECqbqQPpKbAeI846eMA',sig:'cQoXrUER11fgtCgbD5h7Y-EEy7Mty5qmqp9cq2c-ft8=',w:'594px',h:'396px',items:'2191148133',caption: true ,tld:'com',is360: false })});</script><script src='//embed-cdn.gettyimages.com/widgets.js' charset='utf-8' async></script>



I’m genuinely tempted to go the POD route with Rogers. If Sutherland goes decent it’ll mean people bypass Overton or Short which is even more exciting.



The Strikers have arguably the two best Supercoach players in the game in Matt Short and Jamie Overton, so you’d probably wanted your vice-captain to score 75+ to loop.



Particularly considering Short and Overton scored 120 and 131 respectively last round.



So who to skipper of the two?



It looms as one of the biggest captaincy decisions of the season.



Looking for the best rate on your home loan? Paddy and his team at Mortgage Choice SCW can get you the best rate possible. It’s a super easy process, so flick them a message. Better yet, save $129 by<a href="https://www.instagram.com/patandgeorgemortgagechoice/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> mentioning SC Playbook for a FREE CONSULT!</a>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="http://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-1024x576.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-2399227" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-300x169.jpg 300w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-768x432.jpg 768w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-640x360.jpg 640w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-1200x675.jpg 1200w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1-800x450.jpg 800w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/YouTube-Thumbnail-SC-2024-1.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 770px" /></figure>



Overton is the in-form player with the perfect role bowling death and batting at number six.



He’s averaging a monstrous 99 Supercoach points this season.



Short has the pedigree and the enormous ceiling, currently averaging 69 Supercoach points this season.



It’s tough, very tough…



Adelaide Oval is a road for Short, however Marvel in game two isn’t as bat friendly.



I’m narrowly leaning towards Overton who has been exceptional with both bat and ball this season.

Final word: Captains, weather forecast, POD watch Rd 4

Discussion (0)

NRL Supercoach Grand Final | Final Word

Subscriber only podcast: Supercoach grand final captaincy deep dive

NRL Grand Final 2025 teams: Melbourne Storm v Brisbane Broncos, analysis

Subscriber only podcast: Supercoach finals week three captaincy deep dive