Spy Talk: Mid-season musings for Supercoach BBL13


<p>Troops,</p>



<p>Happy New Year!</p>



<p>It’s Saturday morning here at Spy Headquarters and I’m still reveling in another Fraser-McGurk stunner.</p>



	 <div style="display:none"><div>Name: Nicholas Hynes</div></div>



<p>Gee that kid is talented, and with that it leads me into the first point of my mid-tournament musings.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Jake Fraser-McGurk</strong></h2>



<p>This kid could be absolutely anything and I can’t wait to see where his career takes him.</p>



<p>Bowlers will employ strategies of course as they try to work him out and identify weaknessess, but will it be enough?</p>



<p>He seems to have the composure to match his talent.</p>



<p>From a Supercoach perspective I think there was a lesson in amongst all of this.</p>



<p>Before we get to it, I have absolutely no issues trading out a guy who has no more doubles, bat only, a high breakeven and is coming off a couple of poor scores, but if we delve deeper into his tournament so far I personally saw value in holding for a few more rounds given his immense upside.</p>



<p><strong>Game 1 – 48 off 24 balls</strong></p>



<p>Game 2 – Abandoned</p>



<p><strong>Game 3 &#8211; 55 off 23 balls</strong></p>



<p><strong>Game 4 – Golden Duck (It happens!)</strong></p>



<p>Game 5 – 2 (Runout off bowler’s boot), ignore.</p>



<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"><div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">The Rooster 🐓<br><br>Jake Fraser-McGurk has 50 off just 22 rocks! <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BBL13?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BBL13</a> <a href="https://t.co/XWwaWv2guZ">pic.twitter.com/XWwaWv2guZ</a></p>&mdash; KFC Big Bash League (@BBL) <a href="https://twitter.com/BBL/status/1740683706258382916?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 29, 2023</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</div></figure>



<p>At this stage I broke it down into three genuine innings. Two were stunners and one was a failure.</p>



<p>Given he was not yet worth $100k there appeared to be merit in holding Fraser-McGurk for another run of what I hoped would be two quick fire half centuries that would be great for scoring but also reignite a price boost.</p>



<p>So when assessing when to drop or sell I was only looking at the bold matches above and backed the talent.</p>



<p>Game 6 last night yielded 70 off 37 balls. Will the next two matches pay off for holders or reward the sellers?</p>



<p>As with all batsmen only we have no idea and it’s that volatility that means a trade to a double game week player or allrounder did make sense.</p>



<p>My thoughts though are just be wary of trading someone with this kind of upside at a cheap price where you can’t always get much in return. If possible, trade a lower upside player first.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Quinton de Kock</strong></h2>



<p>Here is a guy that is destined for a quick fire half century at worst and ideally a scintillating ton if all goes well.</p>



<p>He has been dead set unlucky early and I am holding tight until he leaves the tournament because a bloke of this class could win you a round and maybe the SuperCoach title!</p>



<p>After getting caught down leg side last night, please, please do it before you head back home Quinny or my faith may prove unwarranted.</p>



<p>Only time will tell, but strap in if he gets going because it’s going to be a pleasure to watch..</p>



<p>Side note – Trades may dictate that he swaps for Inglis on his double but I’d like to hold if possible for a long as I can.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Boosting</strong></h2>



<p>Before I get to the Melbourne Stars I wanted to run through a scenario that I was faced with yesterday.</p>



<p>At the start of the round I had traded in Big Pauly Walter for his mammoth score of 5, but was able to thankfully have him on my bench as an emergency and avoid it.</p>



<p>That was until Kane Richardson was ruled out and I was stuck with Walter’s score.</p>



<p>As such a decision had to be made about whether or not to use my first boost to remove Kane Richardson and bring in someone who could potentially score well this week.</p>



<p>Given how late it was in the week options were not good. Overton was just out of reach. Bugger!</p>



<p>Cam Boyce I thought ahead of his double? Nah. It was looking like I had to take a 5, but given Kane Richo had no more doubles incoming I had a further look around the grounds.</p>



<p>Jack Edwards…. Single games only. Not ideal I thought. However, on further analysis and some 3-5 minutes before lockout and in the midst of taking the dog for a walk I came up with this.</p>



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<p>Jack Edwards has a brekaven of -13, dual role and batting at 6 as things stand, meaning a higher chance of a decent score, money to make and importantly someone I don’t need to spend much money on that is playable as a single game week player.</p>



<p>I liked it more and more but the clock was down to 1 minute. What to do?!</p>



<p>I didn’t want to lose a boost that could give me an extra double game week player down the line or cover an injury, but then it came down to this thought.</p>



<p>Edwards would get 1 extra game this week and has a dual role which means to be a successful boost it would come down to Edwards score this round + a single game week in the future v one round of a cheaper double game round player in the future.</p>



<p>That’s two games total either way and given Edwards bats and bowls (4 chances to score) and doesn’t cost a lost of money I liked the odds and decided the pull the trigger 30 seconds out.</p>



<p>Yep it was a very hectic five minute period!! Let’s go Jacky my boy…</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Melbourne Stars</strong></h2>



<p>A quick thought on the Stars.</p>



<p>I currently own Maxy (elite), Stoinis (surely due 1 decent score please) and I held Steketee over Haris Rauf in the hope of him coming back in for the double round when Rauf leaves.</p>



<p>That doesn’t leave a lot, but I do get the feeling Webster could be worth it despite a 0 this round in rain effected conditions.</p>



<p>He is quite simply a class above most of the Stars batsmen and could well bowl again.</p>



<p>If he doesn’t score however he could lose a bunch of cash because his breakeven will be huge off the back of two lower scores.</p>



<p>It’s a conundrum and may come down to how your cash generation is going. But he is the pick of them with regards to points potential. Others..</p>



<ul>
<li>Tom Rogers doesn’t have a great record in terms of consistency but has shown glimpses that he could punch out a couple of quick 30s.</li>



<li>Hilton Cartwright is an option but has limited upside. He does love a catch though which is a boost. I don’t hate him as a one round play.</li>



<li>Maybe the new recruit Dan Lawrence, but given he may not bowl he again doesn’t look overly tempting.</li>
</ul>



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<p>It’s a bit grim isn’t it! Maybe three Stars are plenty? I might push for four with Webster and try and maximise scoring potentially but it may be worth trading ahead for future double game weeks.</p>



<p>All the best with it guys and girls. Remember it’s ups and downs galore in the BBL so just go with it because it will turn soon either way!</p>



<p>Punters Knock (my new team name) are into 1800<sup>th</sup> and are in the midst of a very good round so hopefully we’ll be top 1,000 heading into the Stars double.</p>



<p>Enjoy the cricket!</p>


Spy Talk: Mid-season musings for Supercoach BBL13

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