Sit v start: Who to play in your final 17, Rd 24?


<p>Below are my thoughts for this week, with plays listed in priority order. I&#8217;ll let the table speak for itself, but I’ve included ‘key rankings factors’ to explain where I&#8217;ve moved a player up or down the rankings.</p>



<p>I&#8217;ve left out the super elite types (Hynes, Teddy, Murray etc.), on the assumption that they&#8217;re plays every week.</p>



<p>Thanks as always to the legendary <a href="http://nrlsupercoachstats.com/">nrlsupercoachstats.com</a>, whose website I&#8217;ve utilised for position vs team analysis and various stats breakdowns.</p>



<p>A general note to keep an eye on the weather leading into the round and across the weekend. For rain-affected matches I’d slightly favour forwards over backs.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Start</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Projected score*</strong></td><td><strong>Ground</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Key ranking factors</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>PPM</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>&nbsp;Exp Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup PPM</strong></td></tr><tr><td>1</td><td>Fifita, D</td><td>72</td><td>Home</td><td>Knights</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>67</td><td>77</td><td>50</td><td>0.92</td><td>73</td><td>80</td><td>0.88</td></tr><tr><td>2</td><td>Brown, D</td><td>64</td><td>Away</td><td>Broncos</td><td>Upside, form</td><td>74</td><td>96</td><td>42</td><td>0.93</td><td>80</td><td>80</td><td>0.66</td></tr><tr><td>3</td><td>Lane</td><td>71</td><td>Away</td><td>Broncos</td><td>Form</td><td>68</td><td>81</td><td>53</td><td>0.88</td><td>77</td><td>80</td><td>0.9</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>Cook</td><td>72</td><td>Home</td><td>Cowboys</td><td>Form</td><td>75</td><td>82</td><td>56</td><td>0.96</td><td>79</td><td>80</td><td>0.83</td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>Crichton, A</td><td>68</td><td>Away</td><td>Storm</td><td>Form</td><td>65</td><td>104</td><td>54</td><td>0.88</td><td>74</td><td>80</td><td>0.81</td></tr><tr><td>6</td><td>Olakau&#8217;atu</td><td>64</td><td>Away</td><td>Raiders</td><td>Upside</td><td>66</td><td>54</td><td>51</td><td>0.9</td><td>73</td><td>73</td><td>0.85</td></tr><tr><td>7</td><td>Kikau</td><td>63</td><td>Home</td><td>Warriors</td><td>Upside but possible early shower</td><td>64</td><td>44</td><td>41</td><td>0.84</td><td>76</td><td>75</td><td>0.84</td></tr><tr><td>8</td><td>Koloamatangi</td><td>65</td><td>Home</td><td>Cowboys</td><td>Form</td><td>67</td><td>79</td><td>53</td><td>0.85</td><td>78</td><td>80</td><td>0.77</td></tr><tr><td>9</td><td>Douehi</td><td>60</td><td>Home</td><td>Dragons</td><td>Upside</td><td>55</td><td>53</td><td>33</td><td>0.79</td><td>70</td><td>80</td><td>0.72</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>May</td><td>58</td><td>Home</td><td>Warriors</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>62</td><td>41</td><td>38</td><td>0.77</td><td>80</td><td>80</td><td>0.69</td></tr><tr><td>11</td><td>Tago</td><td>58</td><td>Home</td><td>Warriors</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>60</td><td>42</td><td>38</td><td>0.75</td><td>80</td><td>80</td><td>0.69</td></tr><tr><td>12</td><td>Lomax</td><td>58</td><td>Away</td><td>Tigers</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>59</td><td>48</td><td>36</td><td>0.74</td><td>79</td><td>80</td><td>0.7</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="1024" src="http://13.210.220.211/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-1024x1024.png" alt="" class="wp-image-1962905" srcset="https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-1024x1024.png 1024w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-300x300.png 300w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-150x150.png 150w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-768x768.png 768w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge-640x640.png 640w, https://blog.scplaybook.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2022/06/Captains-challenge.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 639px) 98vw, (max-width: 1199px) 64vw, 770px" /></figure>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Consider</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Projected score*</strong></td><td><strong>Ground</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Key ranking factors</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>PPM</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>&nbsp;Exp Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup PPM</strong></td></tr><tr><td>13</td><td>Robson</td><td>65</td><td>Away</td><td>Rabbitohs</td><td></td><td>63</td><td>72</td><td>49</td><td>0.85</td><td>75</td><td>80</td><td>0.78</td></tr><tr><td>14</td><td>Matterson</td><td>62</td><td>Away</td><td>Broncos</td><td>Form turnaround?</td><td>68</td><td>62</td><td>62</td><td>1.19</td><td>57</td><td>57</td><td>0.98</td></tr><tr><td>15</td><td>Koroisau</td><td>61</td><td>Home</td><td>Warriors</td><td>Matchup but possible early shower</td><td>64</td><td>71</td><td>44</td><td>0.9</td><td>71</td><td>70</td><td>0.83</td></tr><tr><td>16</td><td>Tapine</td><td>57</td><td>Home</td><td>Sea Eagles</td><td>Form</td><td>68</td><td>71</td><td>63</td><td>1.31</td><td>51</td><td>50</td><td>0.98</td></tr><tr><td>17</td><td>Haas</td><td>63</td><td>Home</td><td>Eels</td><td></td><td>64</td><td>56</td><td>62</td><td>1.04</td><td>61</td><td>60</td><td>1.07</td></tr><tr><td>18</td><td>Johnston</td><td>57</td><td>Home</td><td>Cowboys</td><td>Form</td><td>71</td><td>78</td><td>27</td><td>0.88</td><td>81</td><td>80</td><td>0.54</td></tr><tr><td>19</td><td>To&#8217;o</td><td>56</td><td>Home</td><td>Warriors</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>56</td><td>39</td><td>42</td><td>0.72</td><td>78</td><td>80</td><td>0.69</td></tr><tr><td>20</td><td>Talakai</td><td>58</td><td>Home</td><td>Bulldogs</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>62</td><td>42</td><td>44</td><td>0.83</td><td>75</td><td>80</td><td>0.62</td></tr><tr><td>21</td><td>Mulitalo</td><td>56</td><td>Home</td><td>Bulldogs</td><td>Matchup, upside</td><td>60</td><td>52</td><td>33</td><td>0.77</td><td>78</td><td>80</td><td>0.62</td></tr><tr><td>22</td><td>Cherry-Evans</td><td>59</td><td>Away</td><td>Raiders</td><td></td><td>65</td><td>49</td><td>33</td><td>0.82</td><td>80</td><td>80</td><td>0.65</td></tr><tr><td>23</td><td>Holmes</td><td>59</td><td>Away</td><td>Rabbitohs</td><td></td><td>67</td><td>64</td><td>33</td><td>0.84</td><td>80</td><td>80</td><td>0.64</td></tr><tr><td>24</td><td>McInnes</td><td>55</td><td>Home</td><td>Bulldogs</td><td></td><td>57</td><td>61</td><td>53</td><td>1.03</td><td>56</td><td>55</td><td>0.97</td></tr><tr><td>25</td><td>Smith, B</td><td>51</td><td>Home</td><td>Roosters</td><td></td><td>46</td><td>68</td><td>36</td><td>0.93</td><td>50</td><td>55</td><td>0.91</td></tr><tr><td>26</td><td>King, M</td><td>52</td><td>Away</td><td>Sharks</td><td></td><td>51</td><td>52</td><td>50</td><td>1.12</td><td>46</td><td>50</td><td>0.96</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Sit</strong></h2>



<figure class="wp-block-table"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Ranking</strong></td><td><strong>Player</strong></td><td><strong>Projected score*</strong></td><td><strong>Ground</strong></td><td><strong>Vs</strong></td><td><strong>Key ranking factors</strong></td><td><strong>Avg</strong></td><td><strong>3RA</strong></td><td><strong>Base + Power &#8211; Negs</strong></td><td><strong>PPM</strong></td><td><strong>Avg Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>&nbsp;Exp Minutes</strong></td><td><strong>Matchup PPM</strong></td></tr><tr><td>27</td><td>Walker, C</td><td>53</td><td>Home</td><td>Cowboys</td><td></td><td>58</td><td>73</td><td>21</td><td>0.72</td><td>81</td><td>80</td><td>0.6</td></tr><tr><td>28</td><td>Taumalolo</td><td>50</td><td>Away</td><td>Rabbitohs</td><td>Reduced role</td><td>59</td><td>50</td><td>53</td><td>1.07</td><td>55</td><td>50</td><td>0.94</td></tr><tr><td>29</td><td>Drinkwater</td><td>62</td><td>Away</td><td>Rabbitohs</td><td>Change in position</td><td>71</td><td>72</td><td>31</td><td>0.92</td><td>78</td><td>80</td><td>0.62</td></tr><tr><td>30</td><td>Tass</td><td>51</td><td>Home</td><td>Cowboys</td><td></td><td>55</td><td>61</td><td>36</td><td>0.74</td><td>75</td><td>80</td><td>0.54</td></tr><tr><td>31</td><td>Mam</td><td>55</td><td>Home</td><td>Eels</td><td></td><td>56</td><td>44</td><td>27</td><td>0.71</td><td>79</td><td>80</td><td>0.66</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>



<p>*Projected score = ((Player PPM x expected minutes) + (Matchup PPM x expected minutes)&nbsp;</p>


Sit v start: Who to play in your final 17, Rd 24?

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