Niko’s watchlist: Trades, breakevens, and tags, Round 20

Hovering would be a good term to use for my current season rank and status of my side. 

Posting a 2609 this week moved me up a few places to 1112.  I just can’t field a full premium side and I have that sinking feeling it won’t happen. 

That week I took a 75 from Dev Rob instead of trading in Houston will haunt me… 

It was Laird out this time, and now I most likely must trade Walsh who was on track to beat Gawn’s feats of Round 18. 

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There just seems to be carnage all around and those who have played it safe and held onto trades are in a great position.  Rowan Marshall was nearly a late out too and played under duress, will he be okay with the 7-day break?  Will Laird be fit for the showdown? 

My care factor is starting to wain a little, not going to lie. 

The Walsh injury has seriously deflated me, especially when I opted for him over LDU for the “smaller re-injury risk”.  Oh, the irony.

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Watchlist

• Jack Steele (MID $553.9k) – Officially back with a 3-round average of 135.
• Zak Butters (MID/FWD $529.1k) – Not in the best of form but a ceiling of 184 has him in the conversation.
• Patrick Cripps (MID $518.9k) – Four straight hundreds before resting a corkie.  Cushy run home.
• Jack Macrae (MID/FWD $513.5k) – I don’t like his role, only 30% CBA’s this week but still averaging 105 for the season.
• Touk Miller (MID $506.9k) – Zero clearances on the weekend, not even a stoppage clearance.  I don’t know what’s going on with the Suns midfield setup so must pass despite my love for him as a Supercoach stud.

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• Angus Brayshaw (DEF/MID $506k) – Pretty sure he’s on my never again list, but he’s got a good role with Clarry out.
• Josh Kelly (MID $504k) – His pathetic 23 will drop out this week and we know his ceiling is huge.
• Callum Mills (MID 462.2k) – Ticking over nicely since returning from injury, but only 2 games at home remain.
• George Hewett (MID 292.5k) – I could just straight swap Dev Rob to him as my M9 and keep Walsh if his scans are clear.

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Break-even Analysis

BUBBLE BOY’S

• Joel Hamling (DEF $169.6k B/E -6) – Inflated price, poor scoring, and job security.  Pass.

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CONSIDER

• Callum Ah Chee (MID 281.3k B/E -46) – I’m leaning to his 140 against the Cats being a one-off.
• George Hewett (MID $292.5k B/E -36) – The injuries to the Blues midfielders has really opened the door for him.
• Sam Banks (DEF/MID $169.4k B/E -36) – A nice 82 but will he keep his spot when Short returns?
• Corey Wagner (DEF/MID $206.8k B/E -12) – Maybe an option if named again.
• Andrew Gaff (MID $337.1k B/E -6) – The subbing has sparked something.

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• Harry Schoenberg (MID $224k B/E 0) – Shined on the MCG but Laird back will hurt his scoring.
• Sam Flanders (MID/FWD $467k B/E 31) – The coach obviously loves him.  Another boost in the CBAs to the detriment of Rowell, Anderson, Humphrey, and to my disgust Miller.
• Jeremy Cameron (FWD $327.8k B/E 35) – Not sure he’s going well enough, but 3 out of 5 at home to come.
• Lachie Whitfield (DEF/MID $493.6k B/E 36) – What year is this?  Feel like I’ve gone back in time.
• Jack Steele (MID $553.9k B/E 54) – As already mentioned, he’s back.

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TRADE OUT OPTIONS

• Tom Mitchell (MID 465.5k B/E 190) – Press T as fast as you can.
• Rowan Marshall (RUC $568.3k B/E 145) – If he’s confirmed out could be a good trade out to someone like big Max.
• Jack Ziebell (DEF/FWD $366.6k B/E 144) – What a fall from grace.  As cast as you can get.
• Will Ashcroft (MID 510.3k B/E 136) – What a tragedy for the young lad.  Hopefully we see him bigger and better in 12 months’ time.
• Kieren Briggs (RUC $499k B/E 118) – His first price drop.  I think he may be due a rest soon…
• Sam Walsh (MID $525.9k B/E 113) – I’m assuming we are looking at the standard minimum 3 weeks out with a hammy, so a must trade.  Fingers crossed for better news.

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Tag Watch

Jack Steele / Jack Sinclair – One will get the Maginness treatment this week, probably Sincs.  Steele might get Conor Nash.

Rory Laird / Jordan Dawson – Willem Drew will do a job in the showdown no doubt.

Nick Daicos – Ed Curnow perhaps, not confident he will succeed though.

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Potential Trades

Sam Walsh to Jack Steele for my last trade, only $800 leftover in the kitty.