Niko's watchlist: Trades, breakevens, and tags, Round 20


<p>Hovering would be a good term to use for my current season rank and status of my side. </p>



<p>Posting a 2609 this week moved me up a few places to 1112.&nbsp; I just can’t field a full premium side and I have that sinking feeling it won’t happen.&nbsp;</p>



<p>That week I took a 75 from Dev Rob instead of trading in Houston will haunt me&#8230;&nbsp;</p>



<p>It was Laird out this time, and now I most likely must trade Walsh who was on track to beat Gawn’s feats of Round 18. </p>



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<p>There just seems to be carnage all around and those who have played it safe and held onto trades are in a great position.&nbsp; Rowan Marshall was nearly a late out too and played under duress, will he be okay with the 7-day break?&nbsp; Will Laird be fit for the showdown?&nbsp;</p>



<p>My care factor is starting to wain a little, not going to lie.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The Walsh injury has seriously deflated me, especially when I opted for him over LDU for the “smaller re-injury risk”.&nbsp; Oh, the irony.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Watchlist</strong></h2>



<ul><li><strong>Jack Steele (MID $553.9k) –</strong> Officially back with a 3-round average of 135.</li><li><strong>Zak Butters (MID/FWD $529.1k) – </strong>Not in the best of form but a ceiling of 184 has him in the conversation.</li><li><strong>Patrick Cripps (MID $518.9k) – </strong>Four straight hundreds before resting a corkie.  Cushy run home.</li><li><strong>Jack Macrae (MID/FWD $513.5k) –</strong> I don’t like his role, only 30% CBA’s this week but still averaging 105 for the season.</li><li><strong>Touk Miller (MID $506.9k) – </strong>Zero clearances on the weekend, not even a stoppage clearance.  I don’t know what’s going on with the Suns midfield setup so must pass despite my love for him as a Supercoach stud.</li></ul>



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<ul><li><strong>Angus Brayshaw (DEF/MID $506k) – </strong>Pretty sure he’s on my never again list, but he’s got a good role with Clarry out.</li><li><strong>Josh Kelly (MID $504k) – </strong>His pathetic 23 will drop out this week and we know his ceiling is huge.</li><li><strong>Callum Mills (MID 462.2k) –</strong> Ticking over nicely since returning from injury, but only 2 games at home remain.</li><li><strong>George Hewett (MID 292.5k)</strong> – I could just straight swap Dev Rob to him as my M9 and keep Walsh if his scans are clear.</li></ul>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Break-even Analysis</strong></h2>



<p>BUBBLE BOY’S</p>



<ul><li><strong>Joel Hamling (DEF $169.6k B/E -6) –</strong> Inflated price, poor scoring, and job security.  Pass.</li></ul>



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<p>CONSIDER</p>



<ul><li><strong>Callum Ah Chee (MID 281.3k B/E -46) – </strong>I’m leaning to his 140 against the Cats being a one-off.</li><li><strong>George Hewett (MID $292.5k B/E -36) – </strong>The injuries to the Blues midfielders has really opened the door for him.</li><li><strong>Sam Banks (DEF/MID $169.4k B/E -36) – </strong>A nice 82 but will he keep his spot when Short returns?</li><li><strong>Corey Wagner (DEF/MID $206.8k B/E -12) – </strong>Maybe an option if named again.</li><li><strong>Andrew Gaff (MID $337.1k B/E -6)</strong> – The subbing has sparked something.</li></ul>



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<ul><li><strong>Harry Schoenberg (MID $224k B/E 0) </strong>– Shined on the MCG but Laird back will hurt his scoring.</li><li><strong>Sam Flanders (MID/FWD $467k B/E 31) </strong>– The coach obviously loves him.  Another boost in the CBAs to the detriment of Rowell, Anderson, Humphrey, and to my disgust Miller.</li><li><strong>Jeremy Cameron (FWD $327</strong>.<strong>8k B/E 35)</strong> – Not sure he’s going well enough, but 3 out of 5 at home to come.</li><li><strong>Lachie Whitfield (DEF/MID $493</strong>.<strong>6k B/E 36)</strong> – What year is this?  Feel like I’ve gone back in time.</li><li><strong>Jack Steele (MID $553.9k B/E 54) –</strong> As already mentioned, he’s back.</li></ul>



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<p>TRADE OUT OPTIONS</p>



<ul><li><strong>Tom Mitchell (MID 465.5k B/E 190) – </strong>Press T as fast as you can.</li><li><strong>Rowan Marshall (RUC $568.3k B/E 145)</strong> – If he’s confirmed out could be a good trade out to someone like big Max.</li><li><strong>Jack Ziebell (DEF/FWD $366.6k B/E 144)</strong> – What a fall from grace.&nbsp; As cast as you can get.</li><li><strong>Will Ashcroft (MID 510</strong>.<strong>3k B/E 136)</strong> – What a tragedy for the young lad.&nbsp; Hopefully we see him bigger and better in 12 months’ time.</li><li><strong>Kieren Briggs (RUC $499k B/E 118)</strong> – His first price drop.&nbsp; I think he may be due a rest soon…</li><li><strong>Sam Walsh (MID $525.9k B/E 113) – </strong>I’m assuming we are looking at the standard minimum 3 weeks out with a hammy, so a must trade.&nbsp; Fingers crossed for better news.</li></ul>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Tag Watch</strong></h2>



<p><strong>Jack Steele / Jack Sinclair – </strong>One will<strong> </strong>get the Maginness treatment this week, probably Sincs.&nbsp; Steele might get Conor Nash.</p>



<p><strong>Rory Laird / Jordan Dawson</strong> – Willem Drew will do a job in the showdown no doubt.</p>



<p><strong>Nick Daicos</strong> – Ed Curnow perhaps, not confident he will succeed though.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading"><strong>Potential Trades</strong></h2>



<p>Sam Walsh to Jack Steele for my last trade, only $800 leftover in the kitty.</p>


Niko’s watchlist: Trades, breakevens, and tags, Round 20

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