Quantium data analysis: True player ownership stats, Round 5

Actuary Adam Driussi provides player ownership breakdowns to allow you to differ your side from those atop the rankings.


What a weekend of footy!  A draw, a golden point win to the Bulldogs and a 20 point comeback from the Warriors – it’s sure been a great start to the season.

One of the best aspects of the season so far from a Supercoach perspective has been the emergence of several new guns. 

Guys like Reece Walsh, Jacob Kiraz, Lachlan Miller, J’maine Hopgood, Jacob Preston and Wayde Egan can all lay claims to being keepers – which is great for getting more team variations. 

BREAK AWAY FROM THE PACK with Quantium, Australia’s premier data science and artificial intelligence company. Create your own career power play and join the team today. Visit our website for more information. CEO Adam Druissi is a contributor to SC Playbook.

Each of those guys are heavily owned by leading teams even though most would not have been owned at all entering round one.

Let’s take a look at the true player ownership stats entering Round 6 – remember that these stats are prior to any trades made this week.

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The table below sets out the proportion of teams in the top 100, top 1,000, top 5,000, top 10,000, top 20,000 and top 100,000 that own each fullback. 

Reece Walsh just continues to tear it up for the Broncos.  He could have scored anything on Saturday night.  As a non-owner it is killing me to watch!  Amongst the top 20,000 teams, 97% have Turbo and 73% have Walsh.  Is it too late to bring him in?  Personally I’m saying yes and will wait for Teddy to drop in price and then upgrade the likes of AKP to Teddy.  I’d have to do too much other work to my team to upgrade to Walsh right now


CTW is super interesting this year – in particular, who teams will be targeting as their final top 4 CTWs.  In previous years a guy like Brian To’o would have been firmly in that conversation.  I’m not so sure right now.

Right now the highest averaging CTWs (with a min of 2 games) are Greg Marzhew, Reuben Garrick, Jacob Kiraz, Lachlan Miller, Jamayne Isaako and Jaxson Paulo – all averaging over 76.  In contrast, Val Holmes and Brian To’o average 61 and 58 respectively.


Five eighth on the other hand is proving to be a bit of a Supercoach nightmare.  With Cameron Munster and Dylan Brown still out of the price range for most teams, Adam Doueihi is still owned by around 40% of leading teams but no doubt causing headaches.  Since Round one, Matt Burton has outscored Doueihi.

Munster averages 72, Brown 64 and then Cody Walker, Tyson Gamble, Adam Doueihi, Ezra Mam, Luke Keary and Jackson Hastings all average between 52 and 54.

Personally I’m looking at Dylan Brown in a few weeks due to his amazing bye coverage.

Half Back

The last week saw some major consolidation in half back ownership. 

Last week, just 15% of the top 20,000 teams owned both Nathan Cleary and Nicho Hynes – that is now at 40%.  55% of the top 1,000 teams own both. 

16% of the top 10,000 teams brought in Jonah Pezet.  That one surprises me.  I know it’s a grab for cash, but I’m surprised it is that high.  In a blast from the past, 7% of the top 100 own Shaun Johnson.  He is certainly playing well!


100% of the top 5,000 teams now own J’maine Hopgood.  I wonder if that will change after this round.

Jacob Preston is now owned by 82% of the top 20,000 teams and has overtaken J’maine Hopgood as the highest cash cow so far this season.   

13% of the top 1,000 brought in Zac Hosking last week.


Payne Haas is now owned by 78% of the top 1,000 teams and 88 of the top 100.  In contrast, Joseph Tapine is owned by just 30%. 


Wayde Egan actually has the highest average at hooker with 81.  Harry Grant is second at 79 with Reed Mahoney, Reece Robson and Damien Cook each averaging between 62 and 64.  We know Harry can keep that up but can Egan?  The leading teams certainly hope so, with Egan owned by 37 of the top 100 versus 18 for Mahoney. 

Round 5 Captaincy Selection

After his performance in round 4, Nicho Hynes dominated captaincy selections in round 5 with a whopping 78% of the top 1,000 teams captaining him.  Bearing in mind 7% of the top 1,000 don’t own him, that means that 78 out of 93 teams who owned him gave him the armband.

10% of the top 1,000 captained Turbo whilst 3% captained each of Cleary and Walsh.  3 of the top 100 looped for Nathan Cleary.

After a roller coaster weekend, in the end each scored pretty close to each other, so no one’s season turned as a result.

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