Ownership analysis: Pain and gain points, Round 2

Data analyst Joe Kenny breaks down the key statistics to help give your side an edge on AFL SuperCoach rivals.


Time for another edition of why you are ranked where you are!

A better scoring round with a high par around the 2,200 mark as popular rookies and mid-priced players outperformed their price points.

Hitting most of these and avoiding a few dud premium scores likely saw you have solid week.

For all the detail on who drove the rankings, read on below!

Per last week, I will use a metric called “Pain/Gain points” – see explainer here

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The Gainers

  • Another good week for the hype boys as Daicos (149), Gulden (107) and Tom Green (106) all delivered. These three are a big driver for those at the top – you’ll likely need to jump on board to keep up.
  • The winning ruck setup is looking like any combination of English (139), Darcy Cameron (137) and Marshall (129). If you’re trading them in, look at Cameron as a point of difference to the top 1,000 coaches.
  • Setterfield (147) misses the list below as he was only in around 5% of teams (this is now at 20% and rising) – i.e. he hasn’t hurt you too much yet by not owning him, but that is about to change if his form continues. Ziebell is in a similar boat but has fewer coaches making that bet so far (13%).

The Painful

  • Ruck roulette continued in round two with Darcy (41) and Gawn (0) stopping any owners in their tracks. Imagine owning both!
  • Horne-Francis rewarded the roughly 20% of coaches (35k people) that traded him in with a score of 45. A lesson not to chase points.
  • Docherty impacted the largest number of owners and those in the top 1,000 with a below par score, but I wouldn’t be trading him out just yet.
  • Neale and Macrae are a couple expensive midfielders that have not had the start you would want. Macrae is a particular worry, having only 41% CBAs and spending time up forward – a fair trade-out before he loses significant value.

The Top 1,000

  • Interesting to see 14 players above 80% ownership, showing you how similar the top teams are.
  • Docherty dropping out is the key change here from last week. Otherwise, the play looks much the same – pay up for rookies, nail your rucks and avoid the injury and midfield premium carnage.
  • Davies-Uniacke has jumped out of the blocks but was in only 26% of the top 1,000 teams and 6% of teams overall. A solid starting pick and potentially one with ownership low enough to help you climb the ranks if his form continues.
  • Compared to the rest of the comp, the top 1,000 tend to be more likely to own the likes of Bontempelli, English, Coniglio, Worpel and D. Cameron.

We’ve linked up with Betr for the 2023 footy season! Each week of the AFL season we’ll be delivering our SC Playbook unique market, with the integration of AFL Fantasy (not to be confused with AFL Supercoach, slightly different point system). This week, Brennan Cox & Luke Ryan to combine for 20+ marks and 200+ AFL Fantasy points! FOLLOW HERE

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