Steven Nikolovski
2021 AFL SuperCoach runner-up
Money movers: Players to trade/target to up cap value, Round 19
2021 AFL SuperCoach runner-up Steve Nikolovski assesses all the key players set to make big cash, and those set to plummet in value.
AFL
July 22, 2022
Another cheeky little rank rise for me last week, which was nice considering I don’t have Bontempelli and had to field two rookies to cover Rich and Oliver.
It was lovely to see Khamis return for the Dogs, and play defence, to avoid a donut.
It’s so frustrating still not ever fielding a full premium team this season, especially coming out of the byes with only the one upgrade required which was always meant to be Bont… Now I only have the one trade left and no money to get him…
Enough about me and my struggles. If you do have trades and money let’s see what bargains you can get looking at breakevens.
Embed from Getty ImagesRookies to consider trading in:
| Player | Pos | BE | Price | Projected Score | Proj $ Change |
| Noah Cumberland* | M/F | -91 | $123,900 | 62 | +$77.2k |
| Luke Cleary* | D | -67 | $117,300 | 68 | +$60.5 |
| Jase Burgoyne* | D/M | -64 | $117,300 | 67 | +$58.7k |
| Josh Carmichael* | M/F | -50 | $102,400 | 55 | +$46.9k |
| Jai Culley | M/F | -49 | $102,400 | 90 | N/A |
| Sam Skinner* | D/F | -21 | $123,900 | 49 | +$31.1k |
| Zane Trew* | M | -19 | $123,900 | 46 | +$29.1k |
| Ashley Johnson | F | -18 | $123,900 | 67 | N/A |
| Tyler Sonsie | M | -12 | $117,300 | 59 | N/A |
| Elijah Hollands | M/F | 24 | $123,900 | 23 | N/A |
* Indicates player is on the bubble
Top Trade in’s:
- Noah Cumberland – It’s refreshing to see some great options this week, but also depressing seeing players like Hollands being ruined as a 2023 starting option. Cumberland is the pick of the bunch this week on breakevens. 101 last week which will stay in his scoring cycle for a few weeks. Obviously has good scoring potential and the Tigers still have injury concerns.
- Josh Carmichael – DPP flexibility which is a big plus when trading at this time of the season, and bargain basement price to maximise your upgrade money. Would’ve gone massive if he used the ball well last week. I think the Pies keep giving him games and hopefully he cleans up his ball use.
- Jai Culley – Big wraps on him as the #1 mid-season draft rookie and he delivered with a 90 last week. Also has DPP and bargain basement price. Probably a coin toss between him and Carmichael but leaning to the bubble boy.
Players to consider trading in:
| Player | Pos | BE | Price | Projected Score | Proj $ Change |
| Blake Hardwick | D | -8 | $352,200 | 74 | +$36.7k |
| Josh Battle | D/F | 4 | $391,100 | 95 | +$40.9k |
| Robbie Fox | D | 11 | $387,500 | 83 | +$32.0k |
| Rhys Mathieson | M | 13 | $337,500 | 67 | N/A |
| Riley Thilthorpe | F | 13 | $316,400 | 64 | +$22.8k |
| Adam Cerra | M | 16 | $380,600 | 81 | +$28.8k |
| Luke Breust | F | 19 | $343,900 | 72 | +$23.6k |
| Ed Richards | D | 21 | $364,700 | 74 | +$23.6k |
| Dane Rampe | D | 23 | $324,700 | 62 | +$17.5k |
| Sam Draper | R | 24 | $367,500 | 76 | +$23.3k |
| Tom Papley | F | 33 | $457,300 | 91 | +$25.8k |
| Jeremy Howe | D | 34 | $389,800 | 72 | +$17.0k |
| Keidean Coleman | D/F | 37 | $468,100 | 101 | +$28.8k |
| Brodie Smith | D | 41 | $444,000 | 83 | +$19.0k |
| Hugh Greenwood | M | 42 | $399,900 | 74 | +$14.4k |
| Callum Wilkie | D | 42 | $393,600 | 75 | +$14.7k |
| Dylan Shiel | M | 45 | $491,300 | 105 | +$26.8k |
| Isaac Heeney | M/F | 48 | $452,200 | 92 | +$19.6k |
| Todd Goldstein | R/F | 50 | $521,900 | 113 | +$28.1k |
| Connor Rozee | M/F | 51 | $549,000 | 145 | +$42.1k |
| Dylan Moore | F | 52 | $513,500 | 98 | +$20.5k |
| Jy Simpkin | M | 52 | $472,700 | 110 | +$25.8k |
| Scott Pendlebury | D/M | 58 | $476,200 | 103 | +$20.0k |
| Sam Taylor | D | 60 | $464,800 | 97 | +$16.7k |
| Chad Warner | M | 62 | $544,600 | 121 | +$26.3k |
| Nick Daicos | D/M | 63 | $555,200 | 114 | +$23.1k |
| Jordan Ridley | D | 75 | $477,900 | 90 | +$6.6k |
| Zach Merrett | M | 77 | $615,500 | 121 | +$19.8k |
| Mason Redman | D | 77 | $565,700 | 122 | +$20.2k |
| Marcus Bontempelli | M/F | 78 | $615,400 | 124 | +$20.7k |
| Callum Mills | M | 83 | $576,500 | 95 | +$5.4k |
| Jack Steele | M | 87 | $562,200 | 104 | +$7.8k |
Top Trade in’s:
- Marcus Bontempelli – If trading players in at this time you want to be targeting the best, and this guy is the best forward by a mile. DPP is handy too.
- Zach Merrett / Dylan Shiel – Both guys are flying in Parish’s absence. Obviously, Merrett is the better pick, but if you’re cash strapped no issues with taking a gamble on Shiel. Especially with Parish basically being ruled out for the season.
- Jack Steele – Looks ready to explode after playing a few games now after injury. Safe as houses pick.
- Todd Goldstein –If you need a forward, or R2, this guy fits the bill nicely.
- Rowan Marshall – Not on the list because he is projected to lose money, but if you have Darcy Cameron this trade is a no brainer. Ryder out for the Saints, Grundy back for the Pies. One is going up and the other down.
Players to consider trading out, or wait for them to bottom out and trade in later:
| Player | Pos | BE | Price | Projected Score | Proj $ Change |
| Jacob Hopper | M | 202 | $527,700 | 85 | -$52.5k |
| Jordan Dawson | D/M | 180 | $602,200 | 118 | -$27.7k |
| Max Gawn | R | 174 | $551,100 | 104 | -$31.4k |
| Dayne Zorko | D/M | 170 | $391,900 | 64 | -$47.4k |
| Adam Saad | D | 169 | $519,300 | 97 | -$32.0k |
| Tim English | R/F | 168 | $540,800 | 97 | -$31.8k |
| Reilly O’Brien | R | 163 | $550,100 | 89 | -$32.8k |
| Tom Green | M | 160 | $442,800 | 63 | -$43.2k |
| Toby Nankervis | R | 160 | $507,000 | 76 | -$37.7k |
| Bailey Smith | M/F | 153 | $532,000 | 100 | -$23.7k |
| Josh Dunkley | M/F | 151 | $501,000 | 112 | -$17.3k |
| Ollie Wines | M | 150 | $523,400 | 98 | -$23.2k |
| Josh Kelly | M | 149 | $550,000 | 99 | -$22.6k |
| Ben Keays | M | 147 | $530,100 | 88 | -$26.3k |
| Liam Baker | D/F | 144 | $470,700 | 93 | -$22.9k |
| Lachie Neale | M | 143 | $604,100 | 104 | -$17.5k |
| Will Brodie | M/F | 137 | $528,100 | 92 | -$20.0k |
| James Sicily | D | 136 | $585,700 | 107 | -$13.1k |
| Brodie Grundy | R | 136 | $544,500 | 108 | -$12.6k |
| Matt Rowell | M | 133 | $475,400 | 95 | -$16.9k |
| Daniel Rich | D | 131 | $538,500 | 104 | -$12.0k |
| Darcy Cameron | R/F | 130 | $515,000 | 99 | -$13.9k |
| Jade Gresham | M/F | 124 | $427,300 | 72 | -$23.1k |
| Stephen Coniglio | M/F | 119 | $559,000 | 84 | -$15.5k |
| Patrick Cripps | M | 117 | $500,800 | 82 | -$15.5k |
| Angus Brayshaw | D/M | 116 | $505,100 | 89 | -$12.2k |
| Brad Crouch | M | 109 | $493,900 | 72 | -$16.4k |
| Jack Crisp | D/M | 108 | $472,300 | 87 | -$9.4k |
Top Trade out Targets:
- Darcy Cameron – As mentioned prior, Brodie Grundy is back so that will likely kill Cameron’s scoring potential. Ideal trade out option.
- Josh Kelly – Will definitely miss this week and has a massive breakeven after that. I’d look to trade to someone like Jack Steele.
- Jade Gresham – If you held last week to see if he’d make his breakeven you lost. He has definitely reached his peak price and time to move him on.
- Will Brodie / Patrick Cripps / Jack Crisp / Matt Rowell – All continue to be great luxury trade out options.
Final Say
We’re at the business end of the season. Trades are like gold from here on out so use them wisely. I’d recommend having two coming into Supercoach finals. One for a long-term injury (think Tom Stewart last year), and one for a luxury that might give you an edge in the last couple of rounds.
I’ve written this prior to Thursday teams coming out so adjust accordingly.
As always, good luck this weekend!
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