Joe Kenny
Data analyst, SuperCoach gun
Data analyst Joe Kenny breaks down the key statistics to help give your side an edge on AFL SuperCoach rivals.
AFLWe are one bye week down and have two to go. However you scored, it’s a new week and we have another opportunity to surge up the rankings or watch it all go up in flames.
You would have wanted to score around 1,900 last week with anything over that a bonus. This was fairly achievable if you had Max Gawn and avoided the handful of premium players that scored poorly (Stewart, Darcy, B. Smith, Petracca). The playbook this week is fairly simple – trade in a round 12 premium (as they have already had their bye), pray for kindness at the selection table and try and field a full team.
To help you prepare for this week, let’s check in on how the top 1,000 are structured heading into the most difficult bye round.
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The table below shows the average number of players and points that the top teams would field in each bye round with their current teams.
Byes | Rd 12 | Rd 13 | Rd 14 |
Avg. no. of Scoring Players* | 19.7 | 16.9 | 20.2 |
Premium / Keeper Players | 13.7 | 12.4 | 12.9 |
Scoring players points avg. | 1958 | 1678 | 1887 |
*Scoring player equals played in team’s most recent game
Premium/Keeper= FWD, DEF avg. > 90 | MID avg. > 105| RUC avg. > 100
Embed from Getty ImagesIn terms of team structure, we can see the count per line of premium players for our top teams.
Structure | DEF | MID | RUC | FWD | Total |
Avg. no. of Scoring Players* | 7.3 | 10.5 | 2.3 | 7.4 | 27.5 |
Premium / Keeper Players | 5.4 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 19.6 |
Scoring players points avg. | 640.4 | 922.2 | 227.7 | 591.9 | 2382.2 |
Based on the most selected premiums and non-premiums, we can form a consensus top 1,000 team.
Consensus Top 1000 Team | ||||
Avg | Avg | |||
George Hewett | 118 | Lachie Neale | 131 | |
James Sicily | 117 | Clayton Oliver | 126 | |
Tom Stewart | 113 | Jack Macrae | 119 | |
Jack Sinclair | 113 | Touk Miller | 118 | |
Jayden Short | 107 | Patrick Cripps | 115 | |
Jack Crisp | 104 | Andrew Brayshaw | 113 | |
Patrick McCartin | 73 | Christian Petracca | 107 | |
Buku Khamis | 40 | Greg Clark | 69 | |
Robbie McComb | 57 | |||
Cooper Stephens | 52 | |||
Mitch Owens | 46 | |||
Avg | Avg | |||
Josh Dunkley | 112 | Max Gawn | 120 | |
Will Brodie | 107 | Jarrod Witts | 120 | |
Luke Parker | 104 | Sam Hayes | 73 | |
Zak Butters | 93 | |||
Stephen Coniglio | 93 | |||
Sam De Koning | 66 | |||
Malcolm Rosas | 59 | |||
Maurice Rioli | 55 |
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