Squad Breakdown: Analysing the Round 10 teams

2020 NRL SuperCoach runner-up Tim Williams analyses every squad dropped on team list Tuesday.

NRL

The previous round delivered a host of monster individual scores, led by the glorious Nicho Hynes with 185 points despite playing alongside a decimated team.

It also delivered a host of poor individual scores to highly owned players such as Kotoni Staggs, Xavier Coates and popular purchases Isaiah Tass and Te Maire Martin.

Unfortunately the Cooma Stallions saw a down turn in form after a lengthy run of green arrows.

We dished out 1,199 points to drop 1,000 spots into 1,800th overall! We’re still well placed, but it certainly wasn’t a week to savour despite finally bringing in Nicho and also owning Teddy.

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With Ryan Papenhuyzen injured, joining David Fifita last week, there’s plenty of money being splashed around.

We’re also closing in on the bye and Origin period, so planning for that should be in full swing and will become a staple of this article in coming months.

Head-to-head focused players need not worry too much about the bye period, plan to get the best 17 you can as quick as possible, while saving trades for finals time in the back end of the season.

For example, someone like Brian To’o who is probably an avoid for overall focused players, may be a serious option for head-to-head players prior to the Origin period.

Likewise, while Izack Tago is a hold for overall, head-to-head players may want to move on if that’s the best decision for your squad.

Do note that there’s a mountain of rain forecast for Brisbane for Magic Round, so take this into consideration across the weekend with your captaincy and sit v start decisions.

Let’s take a look at the round 10 SuperCoach teams analysis, squads courtesy of ESPN.

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BULLDOGS v KNIGHTS

Friday, 6pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Bulldogs: 1. Matt Dufty 2. Brent Naden 3. Jake Averillo 4. Aaron Schoupp 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Matt Burton 7. Kyle Flanagan 8. Luke Thompson 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Paul Vaughan 11. Corey Waddell 12. Tevita Pangai Junior 13. Josh Jackson. 

Interchange: 14. Bailey Biondi-Odo 15. Joe Stimson 16. Max King 17. Chris Patolo. 

Reserves: 19. Josh Cook 20. Jackson Topine 21. Brandon Wakeham 22. Jayden Okunbor 23. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 24. Paul Alamoti 25. Ava Seumanufagai

Analysis: There’s not a lot to be said about the Bulldogs, however they do play the first major bye round in Round 13.

Tevita Pangai Jnr is the only target I’ll consider, he’s been a little different to most years, with some fairly consistent scoring.

Normally it’s the good with the bad with TPJ, but he’s scoring pretty frequently around his season average of 61 points.

Due to his injury/suspension history, he’s one I’m happy to wait until Round 13 to properly consider buying just in case something goes wrong.

He’s a borderline keeper in the FRF position, albeit that spot is probably taken up by Payne Haas and Isaiah Papali’i long-term.

Max King has scored between 40 and 55 in all bar one game this season. He’ll likely linger around that $400k mark for the season.

I plan to hold him until Round 13, bank his 45 points that week, then move on immediately after.

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Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Edrick Lee 3. Enari Tuala 4. Bradman Best 5. Dominic Young 6. Tex Hoy 7. Adam Clune 8. David Klemmer 9. Chris Randall 10. Daniel Saifiti 11. Mitchell Barnett 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Leo Thompson. 

Interchange: 14. Phoenix Crossland 15. Jacob Saifiti 16. Pasami Saulo 17. Mathew Croker. 

Reserves: 18. Simi Sasagi 19. Sauaso Sue 20. Brayden Musgrove 21. Jaron Purcell 22. Krystian Mapapalangi 23. Kobe Rugless 24. Ben Talty

Analysis: Not a lot to be said about the Knights who are struggling for form and won’t play Round 13.

However they do have a friendly three games against the Bulldogs, Broncos and Warriors leading into that bye round.

Chris Randall jagged a try and 78 points to initiate another timely round of cash generation.

He’s now $429k with a breakeven of 9 and can be moved on anytime before the first bye having done a wonderful job for those who held strong.

For anyone considering Kalyn Ponga at $509k as a Papenhuyzen replacement, he’s scored above 50 just once this season (122 points v Dragons).

He’s always so tempting, but with Origin looming and the Knights form you’d have to see a little more to take that gamble.

David Klemmer is finding SuperCoach form of old with three 70+ scores in has past four games.

He’s scored 76 and 72 in the past fortnight with 58 and 56 in base stats in 65 minutes of game time.

Great numbers, but with no early bye coverage I’m not interested and prefer forwards with higher ceilings, such as TPJ.

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SEA EAGLES v BRONCOS

Friday, 8.05pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Christian Tuipulotu 3. Ben Trbojevic 4. Tolutau Koula 5. Reuben Garrick 6. Kieran Foran 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Josh Aloiai 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Sean Keppie 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Ethan Bullemor 13. Jake Trbojevic. 

Interchange: 14. Dylan Walker 15. Andrew Davey 16. Martin Taupau 17. Toafofoa Sipley. 

Reserves: 18. Kurt De Luis 19. Morgan Harper 20. Kaeo Weekes 21. James Roumanos 22. Josh Schuster 23. Jamie Humphreys 24. Jacob Sykes

Analysis: With Round 13 coverage, Manly are very relevant having hit their straps recently, along with the return of Tommy Trbojevic.

Turbo to me looks the logical Papy replacement.

He’s $908k with a very achievable breakeven of 130, with a decent match up against the Broncos.

Manly do face the Eels and Storm after that though, before Origin comes up for Turbo, so there’s a genuine case to look elsewhere.

Further to that, the wet weather also raises question marks.

However, the options at fullback are surprisingly fairly dour, so why not just lock in the best player in SuperCoach?

It’s a big decision looming for plenty, and one that I’m also torn on.

However, as a non-Munster owner and with Te Maire Martin currently at five-eighth I might just plug him in so I can stop closing my eyes when Melbourne play.

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Reuben Garrick is a prime target prior to Round 13, averaging 63 points this season, and now his main man Turbo is back to feed him try after try.

Christian Tuipulotu has been a gift for anyone who jumped on early, rising to $377k with a breakeven of -31.

He’ll be the one that got away for most, but with that bye coverage I think you can still buy if interested.

Tolutau Koula has a big score coming, he’s a gun and will provide valuable coverage up until Round 13.

Ben Trbojevic is a bit of a funny one, he looks an absolute lock as dual 2RF-CTW (perfect for Tass and Talakai come round 12 when duals kick in), at $188k with a breakeven of -51 and will play round 13.

All signs point to buying, but job security is a concern with Morgan Harper lurking.

Burbo could easily revert to a bench role and become a trap, his defence wasn’t great against the Tigers so I’m a little hesitant.

Wanting to stray away from the crowd? As a Papy replacement, anyone with Hynes at halfback could flick him to fullback and bring in Daly Cherry-Evans at halfback, just a thought…

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Broncos: 1. Te Maire Martin 2. Corey Oates 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Selwyn Cobbo 6. Tyson Gamble 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Corey Jensen 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Kurt Capewell 12. Jordan Riki 13. Patrick Carrigan. 

Interchange: 14. Cory Paix 15. Kobe Hetherington 16. Thomas Flegler 17. Keenan Palasia. 

Reserves: 18. Brenko Lee 19. TC Robati 20. Rhys Kennedy 21. Ezra Mam 22. Jordan Pereira 23. Ryan James 24. Jake Turpin

Analysis: Payne Haas returns in a relief for owners.

Pat Carrigan was immense in his absence, playing 64 minutes for 92 points with 62 in base stats.

With no Round 13 coverage and a potential Origin selection looming I’m not keen, but monitor down the track.

For the same reasons above, Kotoni Staggs, the FIFO worker as Nick Moon likes to call him, is a potential sell for anyone with minimal headaches in their side.

We know how big he can go, but geez he’s hard to nail and has some serious down weeks in between.

You can hardly even play him based on match ups as he seems to go large against gun teams!

I’m holding as I have other players I’m happy to focus on upgrading, however at $550k with a breakeven of 83 it is worth some thought, he’s only averaging 52 points.

Te Maire Martin flopped for new owners with a score of just 16, plenty will be hoping he produces a decent score to initiate more price rises before a likely Round 13 upgrade.

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WARRIORS v RABBITOHS

Saturday, 3pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Warriors: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Viliami Vailea 4. Adam Pompey 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Daejarn Asi 7. Shaun Johnson 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wayde Egan 10. Matt Lodge 11. Euan Aitken 12. Tohu Harris 13 Jazz Tevaga. 

Interchange: 14. Aaron Pene 15. Ben Murdoch-Masila 16. Bunty Afoa 17. Jack Murchie. 

Reserves: 18. Eliesa Katoa 20. Rocco Berry 21. Pride Petterson-Robati 22. Edward Kosi 23. Junior Ratuva 24. Ronald Volkman 25. Freddy Lussick

Analysis: Despite providing round 13 coverage, I have no interest in Warriors players on current form.

This could of course change before the bye round kicks into gear, but for now I’ll be avoiding.

Euan Aitken is a hold until then for any owners, while Tohu Harris will be a close watch on return having been named in the starting side.

With likely reduced minutes, he could be a bargain pick up before Round 13.

Viliame Vailea will be hoping he does enough to hold his spot for that round, although with a base of just 17 he really needs tries to produce a worthwhile score.

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Rabbitohs: 1. Blake Taaffe 2. Alex Johnston 3. Jaxson Paulo 4. Campbell Graham 5. Taane Milne 6. Cody Walker 7. Lachlan Ilias 8. Tevita Tatola 9. Damien Cook 10. Thomas Burgess 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Jacob Host 13. Jai Arrow. 

Interchange: 14. Kodi Nikorima 15. Davvy Moale 16. Siliva Havili 17. Liam Knight. 

Reserves: 18. Peter Mamouzelos 19. Isaiah Tass 20. Josh Mansour 21. Shaq Mitchell 22. Dean Hawkins 23. Trent Peoples 24. Josiah Karapani

Analysis: South Sydney just don’t look themselves and will be desperate for Latrell Mitchell to return to inject some life back into them.

While we knew he was a sell pre-round 13 anyway, Jai Arrow managed just 28 points in 58 minutes against the Broncos to sit with a breakeven of 77.

He’s a sell any time in coming weeks but isn’t urgent as such, particularly as he may play bigger minutes with Cam Murray out for up to a month.

The move to lock bodes well for him, so I’m keen to see how he goes there. I suspect he’ll play 60 odd minutes and could punch out some huge numbers.

With upcoming games against the Warriors, Raiders and Tigers, the Bunnies have the chance to find some form in both NRL and SuperCoach.

On form I wouldn’t be keen to invest, but the likes of Walker, Graham, Tass, AJ and Taaffe are all holds for the time being.

A lesson in terms of selling players before they peak in price, I moved on Taaffe last week well before he was due to peak in price which would seem against the norm.

It was to get in Nicho Hynes who scored 185 points. Basically, never be afraid to move a cash cow on early if it means getting a proven gun into your side.

Isaiah Tass has been dropped for anyone who jumped on last week, although dropped entirely is a better result than on the bench.

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TITANS v DRAGONS

Saturday, 5.30pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Titans: 1. Jayden Campbell 2. Phillip Sami 3. Brian Kelly 4. Esan Marsters 5. Jamayne Isaako 6. AJ Brimson 7. Toby Sexton 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Erin Clark 10. Jarrod Wallace 11. Isaac Liu 12. Beau Fermor 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui. 

Interchange: 14. Tanah Boyd 15. Sam Lisone 16. Herman Ese’ese 17. Sam McIntyre. 

Reserves: 18. Greg Marzhew 19. Corey Thompson 20. Paul Turner 21. Jaimin Jolliffe 22. Aaron Booth 23. Sosefo Fifita 24. Kevin Proctor

Analysis: Despite the Round 13 coverage, I have no interest in the Titans at the moment due to some abysmal form.

Like the Warriors, this could easily change with a few good performances, but we’ll want to see something before investing.

If you’ve held this long, Beau Fermor will be a handy man for Round 13 and he managed to salvage 67 points with a try against the Roosters.

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Dragons: 1. Moses Mbye 2. Mathew Feagai 3. Moses Suli 4. Zac Lomax 5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Talatau Amone 7. Ben Hunt 8. Francis Molo 9. Andrew McCullough 10. Jack de Belin 11. Jack Bird 12. Josh Mcguire 13. Tariq Sims. 

Interchange: 14. Jayden Sullivan 15. Blake Lawrie 16. Aaron Woods 17. Tyrell Fuimaono. 

Reserves: 18. George Burgess 19. Cody Ramsey 20. Jack Gosiewski 21. Tyrell Sloan 22. Josh Kerr 23. Jackson Ford 24. Tautau Moga

Analysis: Aside from Zac Lomax who gets a write up as Mr Reliable every week here, the Dragons have very minimal SuperCoach interest even when winning games.

With no Round 13 coverage I won’t be considering any of their players before then.

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STORM v PANTHERS

Saturday, 7.45pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Storm: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Dean Ieremia 3. Marion Seve 4. Justin Olam 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Harry Grant 10. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenny Bromwich 13. Josh King. 

Interchange: 14. Brandon Smith 15. Tyran Wishart 16. Trent Loiero 17. Chris Lewis. 

Reserves: 18. Cooper Johns 19. Jordan Grant 20. Tom Eisenhuth 21. Jayden Nikorima 22. Alec MacDonald 23. Tui Kamikamica 24. William Warbrick

Analysis: As per previous weeks, Melbourne’s entire side is relevant so I’m not going to whip up the 1,000+ words they require.

Note that they don’t play Round 13.

Grant, Munster = Must-haves.

Hughes = Sneaky replacement for injured Papy if flipping Hynes to fullback? Draw hurts.

Coates = Breakeven 47, potential sell prior to Round 13. Sit outside 17s this week v Penrith in the wet.

B.Smith = Could be a bargain buy from Round 14 through Origin period with bigger minutes.

Meaney = POD option at fullback with Papy out, -5 breakeven, but prefer others with Panthers, Cowboys, Manly and bye coming up.

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Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Taylan May 3. Izack Tago 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Apisai Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Liam Martin 13. Isaah Yeo. 

Interchange: 14. Mitch Kenny 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Jaeman Salmon. 

Reserves: 18. Robert Jennings 19. Chris Smith 20. J’maine Hopgood 21. Sean O’Sullivan 22. Matt Eisenhuth 23. Soni Luke 24. Charlie Staines

Analysis: Penrith have three tough weeks against the Storm, Roosters and Cowboys coming up, before facing the Bulldogs without their Origin contingent in Round 13.

Brian To’o returned with a bang, scoring 81 including 51 in base, seriously?

With a breakeven of 116 and a tough draw, I’ll be eyeing him for Round 14 onwards.

Taylan May and Izack Tago are absolute holds until Round 13, we can then consider selling afterwards.

I thinking May is a season-long keeper, while Tago I’ll probably move on afterwards.

However, we don’t necessarily need to play them in 17s every week pending match ups.

Viliame Kikau will be a handy Round 13 number for owners, while Liam Martin is starting to hit the skids and is likely to play Origin, therefore can be moved on any time.

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SHARKS v RAIDERS

Sunday, 1.50pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Sharks: 1. Nicho Hynes 2. Sione Katoa 3. Connor Tracey 4. Siosifa Talakai 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Matt Moylan 7. Braydon Trindall 8. Toby Rudolf 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Aiden Tolman 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Dale Finucane. 

Interchange: 14. Cameron McInnes 15. Jack Williams 16. Wade Graham 17. Royce Hunt. 

Reserves: 18. Mawene Hiroti 19. Andrew Fifita 20. Luke Metcalf 21. Lachlan Miller 22. Jayden Berrell 23. Jesse Colquhoun 24. Thomas Hazelton

Analysis: The Sharkies showed stunning resilience to down the Warriors with 12, and at one stage 11 men.

They have two nice matches coming up against the Raiders and Titans, before facing the Roosters into the bye.

Nicho Hynes is a must-have, obviously. Find a way as he could easily go 150+ again in the next two weeks. He’s a serious captaincy option.

Plenty are selling Siosifa Talakai, I think that’s crazy.

He’s about to get dual 2RF-CTW status and is a season long keeper. Yes he has a breakeven of 163, but imagine not owning the bloke on current form?

If the Sharks had 13 players the whole game against the Warriors he’d have scored 130, while it took some stunning Kotoni Staggs defence to keep him at bay the week prior.

With Dale Finucane back, Cam McInnes kept his starting role at lock and played 64 minutes for 63 points.

He’s a genuine option at 2RF-HOK now, likely for Chris Randall, although with no Round 13 coverage I’d probably lean towards someone like Reuben Cotter.

He has been named on the bench again but there’s every chance he starts come game day.

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Raiders: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Nick Cotric 3. Matthew Timoko 4. Sebastian Kris 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Matt Frawley 7. Brad Schneider 8. Josh Papali’i 9. Adam Elliott 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Hudson Young 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Corey Harawira-Naera. 

Interchange: 14. Tom Starling 15. Ryan Sutton 16. Xavier Savage 17. Corey Horsburgh. 

Reserves: 18. Harry Rushton 19. Trey Mooney 20. Sam Williams 21. Peter Hola 22. James Schiller 23. Emre Guler 24. Albert Hopoate

Analysis: Despite coming off a win, and providing Round 13 coverage, I’m not overly interested in any Raiders players.

Adam Elliott is the only real option at $428k with a -22 breakeven.

However, I don’t trust Ricky Stuart with his minutes all the way through till Round 13.

Further, the club are in the market for a hooker, so if they sign one before then his minutes are likely to reduce by a reasonable chunk.

Tom Starling remains a reluctant hold until Round 13 before being sold afterwards.

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ROOSTERS v EELS

Sunday, 4.05pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Paul Momirovski 4. Joseph Manu 5. Joseph Suaalii 6. Sam Walker 7. Luke Keary 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Connor Watson 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Victor Radley. 

Interchange: 14. Drew Hutchison 15. Fletcher Baker 16. Nat Butcher 17. Daniel Suluka-Fifita. 

Reserves: 18. Lachlan Lam 19. Naufahu Whyte 20. Ben Marschke 21. Ben Thomas 22. Kevin Naiqama 23. Adam Keighran 24. Tukupa Hau Tapuha

Analysis: The Roosters have a brutal upcoming run against the Eels, Panthers and Sharks, before playing the Raiders in Round 13.

After that, they face the Storm, Eels and Panthers into the Round 17 bye! That’s about as hard as it gets.

As such, I’d be very reluctant to invest in any players despite the early bye coverage.

James Tedesco has surged back to form with a three round average of 99 points, following his 128 point effort against the Titans.

Joseph Suaalii has made $100k and has more rises to come with a -14 breakeven, however with that draw I think the ship has sailed.

I’ll likely be sitting him outside my 17 up until Round 13.

Angus Crichton played 80 minutes again, but with reports of him potentially moving on from the club, will the game time continue? I have no idea…

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Eels: 1. Clinton Gutherson 2. Hayze Perham 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Tom Opacic 5. Bailey Simonsson 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Isaiah Papali’i 13. Nathan Brown. 

Interchange: 14. Makahesi Makatoa 15. Ryan Matterson 16. Oregon Kaufusi 17. Bryce Cartwright. 

Reserves: 18. Wiremu Greig 19. Jakob Arthur 20. Mitch Rein 21. Sean Russell 22. Samuel Loizou 23. Elie El Zakhem 24. Brendan Hands

Analysis: With tough games against the Roosters and Sea Eagles coming up and no Round 13 coverage, it’s time to really consider whether Eels players are season long keepers or whether they should be moved on.

Granted this should have been a thought last week before the Penrith clash.

Isaiah Papali’i needs no deep dive, he’s a terrific buy and will be a must-have for Round 17, so there’s no harm in just locking him in now.

Will Penisini has more than done his job, but I don’t see him as a keeper and would be looking to move on if I still owned.

Ryan Matterson is on a tear, but he also hasn’t played over 56 minutes since Round 5. Add in a possible Origin call up and I can’t go near him unless he reverts to an 80 minute role.

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TIGERS v COWBOYS

Sunday, 6.25pm, Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Tigers: 1. Starford To’a 2. Asu Kepaoa 3. Oliver Gildart 4. Luke Garner 5. Ken Maumalo 6. Luke Brooks 7. Jackson Hastings 8. James Tamou 9. Jake Simpkin 10. Zane Musgrove 11. Kelma Tuilagi 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Joe Ofaheangaue. 

Interchange: 14. Tyrone Peachey 15. Alex Twal 16. Alex Seyfarth 17. Stefano Utoikamanu. 

Reserves: 18. Jacob Liddle 19. Jock Madden 20. Thomas Mikaele 21. Fa’amanu Brown 22. Junior Pauga 23. Junior Tupou 24. Tukimihia Simpkins

Analysis: No Round 13 coverage, and tough games against the Cowboys and Rabbitohs over the next three weeks, I’m not keen on any Tigers, particularly with David Nofoaluma not named again.

Stefano Utoikamanu could also be dirt cheap come Round 14 once back to full fitness and minutes.

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Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Valentine Holmes 4. Peta Hiku 5. Murray Tuilagi 6. Tom Dearden 7. Chad Townsend 8. Jordan McLean 9. Reece Robson 10. Reuben Cotter 11. Tom Gilbert 12. Jeremiah Nanai 13. Jason Taumalolo. 

Interchange: 14. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 15. Heilum Luki 16. Coen Hess 17. Griffin Neame. 

Reserves: 18. Jamayne Taunoa-Brown 19. Jake Granville 20. Connelly Lemuelu 21. Ben Condon 22. Emry Pere 23. Ben Hampton 24. Brendan Elliot

Analysis: The Cowboys have certainly proven themselves the real deal and thus warrant serious SuperCoach consideration.

While the Tigers match up is enticing, they then face the Storm and Panthers, prior to the Titans in the first bye round.

As such, I’m a little hesitant to invest prior to Round 13.

Scott Drinkwater will be a popular Papy replacement, averaging 85 for the season with a breakeven of 30.

For now, I think last week was the time to buy before he rose to $668k.

If not for the draw I’d be happy to invest now, but he’ll be a reluctant play the next two rounds post Tigers, so I’m happy to wait a few weeks then reconsider.

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I’m eyeing a Randall-Cotter trade in Round 13.

I’d go early due to Cotter’s excellent form, and the fact he’s played 75 and 80 minutes the past two weeks, however an Origin call up is possible so I’ll likely wait.

In those games he had a ridiculous 75 and 62 points in base stats.

While not a must, Jason Taumalolo should be a key target for Round 13.

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