Stat Breakdown: Key numbers shaping Round 9

Stat man Maty Broom takes a deep dive into the key numbers to consider when making your Round 9 trades.

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Round 9 is shaping as a tricky round with potential weather around for some of the games, while the Strikers and Heat have a double game week.

Originally I’d written an extensive spiel on Scorchers options, but the changing Big Bash fixtures and hence altered SuperCoach draw now has the Scorchers on the single game week.

As a result, I’ll leave out the Scorchers info for now, while the Heat are reported to have been heavily impacted by COVID, so I’ll avoid those player too.

Instead we’ll focus on Strikers players and some other interesting options on the single game week.

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Rashid Khan is the first option to look at from the Strikers. For anyone who doesn’t have him, he has to be one to strongly consider trading in.

It’s no fluke that he’s been one of the best T20 bowlers for a while.

Whilst his Supercoach numbers have been slightly down on previous seasons where he has averaged 63.6, 67.2 and 70.6, he’s still averaging 51 this BBL campaign, which shows how good he is if that is considered a below average season so far.

He’s taken 11 wickets at an economy of 6.8 which is still solid numbers and makes him a potential captaincy option too.

Interestingly however, he only averages 28.9 in seven games against the Hurricanes with a highest score of 67, comfortably his worse numbers against any team and also 59.2 against Stars.

He does play both DGW fixtures at his home venue of Adelaide Oval where he averages 71.5 which might see him score better against the Hurricanes in particular as most of his games against the Hurricanes have been played in Tasmania.

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Peter Siddle has been poor this BBL by his standards. After a good score in round 1 he averaged just 26 per game from rounds 2 to 7. He bounced back somewhat in round 8 with 82 points after a 3/36 performance with the ball.

He has conceded 40+ runs on five occasions and has only picked up an economy bonus twice in eight games so far, which also means less dot ball points along with building less pressure for other bowlers to capitalise on.

Being captain he won’t get rotated out or dropped and will continue to bowl himself at important times, including the death overs, so there’s safety in his role and he continues to be a wicket-taking chance. He will be cheap and should be considered at his price.

After averaging 57.1 in BBL09, we have seen a decline with averages of 47.8 last season and 39 so far this BBL which might be a sign of his age.

He’s coming towards the end of his career being 37-years-old as we usually see players decline as they get past the mid-30s.

He averages 50.8 against the Hurricanes and his 116 average against the Stars comes with an asterisk as it’s from only two games of data on the site. He does average 58.9 at Adelaide Oval.

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Matt Short started the first three rounds with the bat but has struggled since, failing to reach 20 in any game since round 3, but he hasn’t been far away from the strike-rate bonus.

He is averaging just 22.8 from round 4 onwards, but continues to open the batting giving him maximal opportunity to accumulate runs and points.

He has bowled at least one over in every game so far, but only has the 1 wicket, so any points from his bowling should be seen as bonus rather than something to rely on.

He did however bowl four overs last game with the Strikers in a desperate situation on the ladder and trying different things going with just the four main bowlers after dropping Garton.

Whether this continues remains to be seen, Garton is leaving, but Daniel Worrall could also come back in at any stage.

They did play at Sydney Showground last game too which has favoured spinners in the past, another reason they might have left out the extra pace bowler and turned to Short’s bowling.

He hasn’t been much of a Supercoach factor in the past, but with an improved batting role and the possibility now of bowling more overs, he should be one to consider with that role and at a reasonable price too.

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He averages 12.5 against the Stars and 24.2 against the Hurricanes along with 26.6 at Adelaide Oval, but it’s hard to look at those stats too much as he hasn’t had a very Supercoach friendly role in the past.

Matt Renshaw has hit some form with a three round average of 67. He has also passed 20 runs in all five of his innings so far.

With the Strikers depleted batting line-up this season, more responsibility has fallen to Renshaw at number three and he seems to be one of the few Strikers players in-form.

He averages 50.3 against the Hurricanes and 41.5 against the Stars, which are two of the top three teams he averages best against. He averages 43.3 at Adelaide Oval, one of his top three venues as well.

Now might be a great time to pick him up for those without him as he will still be reasonably priced when lockout ends.

Wes Agar has been a tough one to read this season. He has had three good games, two poor games, has been rotated out of the starting team twice and has been X-factored out of a game. Despite this he is still averaging 49.5.

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When he’s on, he’s very good, with his eight wickets this season coming from three games, including a three wicket haul twice.

Garton leaving could be good news for Agar and potentially secure his spot in the team, along with more consistently bowling at the death.

He averages 41.7 against the Hurricanes and 45 against the Stars with 47.8 at Adelaide Oval.

He’s one worth considering as a POD, he comes with some risk but also has decent enough upside.

Jake Weatherald could be an avoid. He has never really fired in Supercoach and tends to struggle more often than not at T20 level. The past four seasons he has averaged between 34.4 and 42.9 along with 24 this BBL campaign.

He averages 41.7 against the Hurricanes and just 21.3 against the Stars, his worst against any team. He does average 43.6 at Adelaide Oval which might help him this round getting back to his home venue where he has a top score in Supercoach of 71 this season along with 31 and 31 from his three games there.

He will be cheap and should continue opening the batting which could be seen as positives for him, but given his form and history, he seems a high-risk option. It might be better to loop him off your bench if you have him, rather than rely on him on your field.

Harry Neilsen will be extremely cheap but for anyone looking for a cheap keeper option, I would be avoiding Neilsen, even on the double and coming off a 44 point score.

He has really struggled this season with the bat and just hasn’t looked up to the level and any runs he has scored haven’t come at a quick rate.

He has been moved down the order to number 6 and 7 now which is poison for Supercoach as a batsman.

Averaging 22 this season, I wouldn’t expect much from him again and for those who own him, I wouldn’t even play him on field in the DGW. Loop option at best.

There’s a few other guys not on the double but are still worth considering, Sean Abbott is one. He’s been an absolute gun for a while now and is showing that again this season.

His averages in recent years are 54.3 (from four games), 85.3, 67.9, 79.5 and again this season his average is right up there as one of the best in the league at the moment.

He averages 59.6 against the Scorchers which is actually his second lowest average against any team, again showing his quality. He already has three scores of 100+ from his five games this season.

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He bowls important overs and is a genuine wicket-taker, gun fielder and as a result fields in the hot spots, so he’s always a chance at bonus fielding points. He’s also a very handy batsman if required as we’ve witnessed recently. He’s always a captaincy option in rounds with no DGW teams too.

Kane Richardson continues to show what a Supercoach gun he is year after year and how important he is for the Renegades.

He’s averaging 67.5 this year and has two scores over 100 from his six games already.

Potential rain might be a reason to hold off getting him, but he does play against a struggling and likely heavily depleted Heat side should they get a game in. He also only averages 32.3 from three games at GMHBA Stadium, his lowest at any venue.

Jason Sangha is having a breakout season and continues to rise in price, he should be considered now especially with a Thunder DGW approaching in round 10.

He’s averaging 80.8 from his five games so far and he is in great form, especially with the bat. We’ve also seen him bowling the odd over in the last couple of games picking up three handy wickets.

If he continues to bowl then that only improves his role for Supercoach and he could be a great option.

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Further, with Sam Billings leaving Sangha will attain more responsibility in the middle order as the man in form.

Mohammad Hasnain is a POD option to consider now. He couldn’t of started any better, getting a triple wicket maiden with his very first over in the BBL. He finished with 117 points, the potential is there for him to be a good option.

He was given his opportunity with Mahmood missing and now that Mahmood along with Billings are leaving to England, that opens up an international spot in the starting team for Hasnain. He should hold his spot now.

Capable of bowling in excess of 150kmph and swinging the new ball, he will be a handful for any batsman early and he still has the unknown factor as none of our batsman here would rarely have had a look at him before.

He might also get the odd death or power surge over, making his SuperCoach role all the better.

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