Stat Breakdown: Key numbers shaping Round 3

Stat man Maty Broom takes a deep dive into the key numbers to consider when making your Round 3 trades.

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Let’s take a look at the statistical side of some of the relevant upcoming double game week (DGW) options, starting with Glenn Maxwell who will be a popular option for Round 3.

Please note this article was written prior to the Stars win over the Thunder last night, who they’ll face again in the double game week.

It’s been updated with scoring, but some averages will be very slightly skewed.

Already highly owned at 60%, more will pick him up understandably as he is a strong captaincy option. Prior to last night’s failure, he averaged 48.3 against the Thunder and 80.2 against the Sixers.

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He averages 64.2 in 15 games at the MCG and 62.5 in two games at the Sydney Showground Stadium.

Nathan Coulter-Nile might be a risky option especially at his high price of 189.8k given his injury history and the risk of getting rested in a DGW.

He does have upside especially being a death bowler and occasionally a pinch-hitter, however he has struggled against the Sixers with a 38.3 average in six games and 46.4 in five games against the Thunder in the past.

He averages 44.8 in nine games at the MCG and 33 in two games at the Sydney Showground, not great reading for a premium priced player.

He did provide a promising return to the BBL with a top score of 73 points.

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Adam Zampa will be another popular trade in given his usual consistency. He loves playing the Thunder with a 64.1 average in eight games.

Prior to Friday night’s game he had never scored under 46 against them and he averages 54.6 in seven games against the Sixers.

He averages 63.9 in 14 games at the MCG and 54 in two games at the Sydney Showgroun. He’s a potentially safe captaincy option. He also bowled the final over of the game against the Thunder.

It’s been confirmed Marcus Stoinis won’t be bowling yet which obviously hurts his output, but he certainly still is a capable batsman.

He averages 70.1 and 71 against the Thunder and Sixers with 75.6 at the MCG and 43 at the Sydney Showground, those averages might need to lowered if considering him just batting.

He’s still reasonably priced and is a definite option only batting, coming off an injury niggle and not bowling we need to lower our expectations now for his Supercoach scoring. He looked in touch prior to being run out on Friday.

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Matt Kelly started Round 1 with a bang scoring 121, the inclusion of Tymal Mills could negatively impact Kelly’s role and less likely could force Kelly out of the starting 12.

Mills could take over as a death bowler which could be a blow for Kelly, so there’s obvious risk there getting him now.

It’s a little hard to get a read on his scoring as he scored 3 and 5 in his two games against the Hurricanes so far, but if he manages to hold onto this improved role then he becomes a good option.

Andrew Tye is another who is still reasonably priced and he bowls at important times.

He does average his lowest against the Hurricanes at 32.4 in five games, albeit one of those games being rain affected, he averages 18 in two games at Blundstone Arena.

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He might be one to avoid this round, but is certainly a target for his Round 4 DGW and he still has scoring upside as a genuine wicket-taker along with the added responsibility with Jhye Richardson absent on Australian duties.

Ashton Agar is a value option, although he has struggled at times in Supercoach as he bats down the order and is more of an economical bowler rather than a genuine wicket-taker.

However he averages his best against the Hurricanes with 64 in three games and a score of 58 in his only game at Blundstone Arena so far is enticing, so there’s potential there. Being dual position is also handy and he is already in a quarter of all teams.

Colin Munro struggled in Round 1 but similar to last season it took him a few games to get going.

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He scored only 25 against the Hurricanes last season but is currently opening the batting this year which gives him the best chance to score the maximal runs.

Maybe one to target for the Round 4 DGW with a few games under his belt. He averaged 70 points through the middle part of last season so he has potential to score well once he gets going.

Ashton Turner is a cheap option to monitor for his upcoming DGW. He might be a risky option especially batting at number 5.

He averages only 15.2 in five games against the Hurricanes with a top score of 32, he might be best to just avoid.

He does however possess a lot of batting power and can certainly score over 100 points on his day.

He’s a guy to keep in mind for the upcoming DGW having started in Round 1 well enough at his price with a 43 point effort.

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