After a belting couple of rounds, the Cooma Stallions saw a big drop to 1,344th overall off a score of 1,407 points, oh how the times have changed in SuperCoach land!
Almost all my players delivered in style, however the decision to drop Tommy Turbo for the two weeks between Origin 1 and 3 came back to bite me big time.
I’m praying he gets a rest this week against the Bulldogs where he could punch out another double ton, I might just have to bite the bullet and get him back in earlier than expected despite the fact he will likely miss Manly’s next two games after this week.
Thursday, 7.50pm, McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Josh Morris 4. Joseph Manu 5. Matt Ikuvalu 6. Lachlan Lam 7. Sam Walker 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Sam Verrills 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Isaac Liu
Bench: 14. Adam Keighran 15. Egan Butcher 16. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 17. Fletcher Baker
Reserves: 18. Drew Hutchinson 19. Ben Thomas 20. Freddy Lussick 21. Joseph Suaalii
Analysis: With Round 17 coverage the Roosters become very appealing, however with a tough clash with the Storm this week and a few high breakevens I think next week is the time to pounce.
Although, with five trades at our disposal we may have to go a touch earlier than we’d hope.
Daniel Tupou has been high on my radar and will probably come into my team next week. If there’s an injury to either NSW winger before Game 3 he could receive the call up, although Campbell Graham is also in strong contention.
I see him as a top four CTW for the run home.
He’s $523k with a breakeven of 111, so he should be well under $500k next week which is a bargain.
He’s averaging 60PPG this season with an excellent 31BPG.
After this week, the Roosters face the Bulldogs, Cowboys and Knights which is an excellent run.
I think James Tedesco is a hold for owners even if he does miss out this week.
Should Joseph Suaalii come into the team this week, I wouldn’t play him in my 17. For potential owners, he’s ideally a buy for next week with a breakeven of 42. Especially with Billy Smith having made a successful comeback in NSW Cup last week.
Siosiua Taukeiaho is ridiculously cheap at $399.6k and he played 71 minutes last game.
While he’s below the elite FRFs this season, as a Round 17 coverage player who can act as a back up for the run home when required he’s a decent buy.
For those looking to replace TPJ, I probably prefer Adding Fonua-Blake at a similar price.
Storm: 1. Nicho Hynes 2. George Jennings 3. Reimis Smith 4. Justin Olam 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cam Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Brandon Smith 10. Christian Welch 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenny Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane
Bench: 14. Aaron Booth 15. Tui Kamikamica 16. Chris Lewis 17. Aaron Pene
Reserves: 18. Cooper Johns 19. Jordan Grant 20. Dean Ieremia 21. Trent Loiero 22. Marion Seve 23. Tepai Moeroa
Analysis: To hold or sell Nicho Hynes?
He’s $824k with a breakeven of 137 and has a tough match up this week, before missing Round 17.
Ryan Papenhuyzen is due back Round 18-20 sometime, so while Nicho is ideally a hold, we may need his cash to finance our trades over the next two/three rounds.
Once Papy returns, Hynes will likely return to the bench where he will plummet cash and obviously won’t be a play in 17s. I’ll probably sell, but it could reap big rewards to hold if he gets multiple games in after Origin 3 where the Storm face the Knights and Cowboys.
Despite inflated scores due to seven tries in his past seven games, Brandon Smith has proven himself a season-long keeper.
He’s not a must-have by any means, but non-owners can consider strongly after the Storm’s Round 17 bye, ditto Jahrome Hughes and Cam Munster.
Warriors: 1. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Adam Pompey 4. Marcelo Montoya 5. Edward Kosi 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Chad Townsend 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Wade Egan 10. Kane Evans 11. Eliesa Katoa 12. Ben Murdoch-Masila 13. Tohu Harris
Bench: 14. Jazz Tevaga 15. Leeson Ah Mau 16. Bunty Afoa 17. Bayley Sironen
Reserves: 18. Rocco Berry 20. Jack Murchie 21. Taniela Otukolo 22. Sean O’Sullivan
Analysis: Reece Walsh is still unavailable due to injury.
I wasn’t keen anyway as I don’t see him in the top two fullbacks in the run home so I think it’s a waste of trades.
Kodi Nikorima doesn’t have a score under 50 since Round 7 against the Storm.
He’s averaging a strong 69PPG this season and already has three tons.
Aside from two tough games against the Panthers and Rabbitohs in Round 18/19, the Warriors have a friendly draw for the remainder of the season, making Nikorima a very viable POD option for the run home with Round 17 coverage.
Addin Fonua-Blake looks a great replacement for anyone wanting to replace the suspended Tevita Pangai Jnr.
He’s super cheap at just $419k and is a front-runner with a decent ceiling which is what I love about him. That’s well evidenced by his 142 point monster score against the Sharks last season.
He’s had plenty of injuries in recent years which is a concern, but at the price it’s one I’m willing to take.
He’s averaged over 60PPG the past two seasons and can find the try line and the odd try-assist, while his offloading ability is exceptional.
Tohu Harris should be in every team by now, he scored 91 last round with an utterly ridiculous 75 in base!
A seriously tough blow for those who held Josh Curran who will miss the next two games due to covid protocol alongside Euan Aitken as a result of a flight they were on.
Panthers: 1. Charlie Staines 2. Brent Naden 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Tyrone May 5. Brian To’o 6. Matt Burton 7. Jarome Luai 8. Moses Leota 9. Api Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11.Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo
Bench: 14. Mitch Kenny 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Liam Martin
Reserves: 18. Izack Tago 19. Jaeman Salmon 20. Matthew Eisenhuth 21. Taylan May
Analysis: This team list could change significantly come Friday pending those who back up from Origin.
With no Round 17 coverage I’m not overly interested in buying any Panthers as such, however I will reconsider a few once their bye is over.
I’m likely to just hold Matt Burton going forward to save a trade, however I don’t hate the idea of moving him onto someone like Shaun Johnson or Kodi Nikorima for bye coverage.
If you do it, you should be sticking with that player for the season as reserve halfback as I don’t think it’s worth trading Burton and using two trades as a result.
With Cleary now expected to miss at least Round 16 and 17 I find Burton far more appealing as a hold and play.
It’ll be a huge call on whether to hold or sell Cleary at $1.06m with a breakeven of 204!
At this stage he’s in massive doubt for Origin 3, and potentially a few more club rounds after that. Should we receive more news confirming a lengthy stint out, he’s a serious sell candidate, but do your planning because you’ll need him when he returns and trades will be very scarce by that stage.
After Origin, the Panthers have great match ups with the Warriors and Broncos, before facing the Storm and Roosters.
I’ll await more news before making any decisions on the man averaging 115PPG.
Reserves: 18. Will Penisini 19. Will Smith 20. Sean Russell 21. Jakob Arthur
Analysis: If Tom Trbojevic does face the Dogs this week, I’ll probably trade Clint Gutherson to him despite the fact I expect Turbo to miss the next two games afterwards.
Tommy will destroy the Dogs and I can’t watch it unfold again as a non-owner. Please have a spell Turbo!!!
Gutho has been excellent as a trade in replacement for me with a 3RA of 103PPG since recruiting, but I don’t think he has that 200+ ceiling like Turbo/Teddy/Papy.
Ryan Matterson has hit the skids a bit with just one score over 56 in his past five games, including three scores under 48.
He hasn’t played the full 80 minutes in the past six weeks, and played just 59 and 54 minutes the past two weeks with the Eels blowing out a few score lines.
It’s clear Brad Arthur is happy to manage his load when possible due to his head knocks which makes sense, they need him on deck come the back end of the season.
In a tough game this week he may well play 80 minutes if the score is tight enough.
At $510k with a breakeven of 96 I can see why people would consider selling, but if I owned I’d probably just hold onto him. Worst case scenario you can just play him if short on numbers for any reason as our squad depths should be looking pretty good by the end of this week’s trades.
Despite not playing Round 17, Isaiah Papali’i is a great replacement for anyone selling TPG. He’s elite…
Bulldogs: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Corey Allan 3. Will Hopoate 4. Falakiko Manu 5. Tuipulotu Katoa 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Jake Averillo 8. Jack Hetherington 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Luke Thompson 11. Jackson Topine 12. Matt Doorey 13. Josh Jackson
Bench: 14. Bailey Biondi-Odo 15. Joe Stimson 16. Ava Seumanufagai 17. Chris Patolo
Analysis: Tom Trbojevic is averaging 127PPG which is all we really need to say about him.
He’ll miss Round 17 due to Origin duty, then the Sea Eagles play just two days after Origin 3, so I expect him to miss that game also.
Despite that, I’m still tempted to trade him in this week at the risk of him belting out another double ton which is possible.
He likely be the next million dollar man after this week’s game with the Dogs if he does play.
Jason Saab looks a good play in 17s this week, especially if Turbo plays.
Along with I.Pap, Rueben Garrick has been the biggest surprise packet of the season, averaging 79PPG including five tons in his past nine games. That average with Tommy on board this season is significantly higher.
Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Phillip Sami 3. Brian Kelly 4. Patrick Herbert 5. Corey Thompson 6. Ash Taylor 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Erin Clark 10. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui 11. Kevin Proctor 12. David Fifita 13. Tyrone Peachey
Tigers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. David Nofoaluma 3. James Roberts 4. Adam Doueihi 5. Ken Maumalo 6. Moses Mbye 7. Luke Brooks 8. James Tamou 9. Jacob Liddle 10. Alex Twal 11. Luke Garner 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Alex Seyfarth
Bench: 14. Stefano Utoikamanu 15. Shawn Blore 16. Thomas Mikaele 17. Joe Ofahengaue
Reserves: 18. Michael Chee-Kam 19. Tom Amone 20. Fetalaiga Pauga 21. Jake Simpkin
Analysis: No interest at the Tigers with no Round 17 coverage and job security issues across the entire team.
I’d be selling anyone I owned from the side outside of David Nofoaluma who is a play only based on match up at the moment.