Squad Breakdown: Team insights, Round 11

2020 NRL SuperCoach runner-up Tim Williams analyses all the key SuperCoach ins and outs following the release of Round 11 teams.

Squad Breakdown

I’ve said time and time again in 2021 that jumping places in the overall race will be easier than ever before, so don’t panic trade if you’re down the rankings just yet.

Round 10 was a great example of that, with anyone who skippered Nathan Cleary for his record-breaking 225 likely seeing big rises.

Furthermore, James Tedesco went huge as a POD fullback, while another decently owned fullback in Ryan Papenhuyzen went down injured very early on in his game.

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His replacement Nicho Hynes almost broke the SuperCoach record himself and is available at CTW!

Get a POD right, better yet, a POD skipper, and you can jump quickly.

The Cooma Stallions have found a bit of form in recent weeks, scoring 1,515 to rise up into 4,706th place overall. Getting more respectable, but hopefully more rises to come!

Let’s take a look at the Round 11 teams.

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COWBOYS v KNIGHTS

Thursday, 7.50pm, QCB Stadium, Townsville

Cowboys: 1. Valentine Holmes 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Javid Bowen 4. Connelly Lemuelu 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Scott Drinkwater 7. Jake Clifford 8. Tom Gilbert 9. Reece Robson 10. Jordan McLean 11. Shane Wright 12. Mitch Dunn 13. Jason Taumalolo

Bench: 14. Jake Granville 15. Lachlan Burr 16. Francis Molo 17. Heilum Luki

Reserves: 18. Corey Jensen 19. Daejarn Asi 20. Ben Condon 21. Kane Bradley

Analysis: Not a lot to report from Cowboy land with Val Holmes still ticking along okay.

Jason Taumalolo played an encouraging 64 minutes again, backing up his 71 from the week prior.

It didn’t equate to scoring too well with just 53 points, but we know he’ll deliver over time provided minutes are there. Lock him in as a Round 14 buy.

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Knights: 1. Tex Hoy 2. Starford To’a 3. Enari Tuala 4. Bradman Best 5. Brayden Musgrove 6. Kurt Mann 7. Phoenix Crossland 8. David Klemmer 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Daniel Saifiti 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Mitchell Barnett

Bench: 14. Connor Watson 15. Jacob Saifiti 16. Sauaso Sue 17. Brodie Jones

Reserves: 18. Simi Sasagi 19. Josh King 20. Gehamat Shibasaki 21. Blake Green

Analysis: Bradman Best won’t be helped by Kalyn Ponga’s absence.

He’s disappointed with a 5RA of just 46.3PPG. His base is still amazing at 36BPG which is among the elite of the CTWs, he’s just not getting the attacking stats with no tries or try-assists since Round 2!

He’s dirt cheap at $442k with a breakeven of 77 and has a nice match up this week, but the Knights inconsistent form and KP’s absence aren’t doing him any favours.

At this stage, I’ll be looking to get him in at a bargain price come Round 13 as a valuable extra bye round number.

Mitch Barnett has played just 47 and 44 minutes the past two weeks, what’s doing? Ownership bias aside, he’s 100 mile-an-hour and adds plenty of attacking upside to the side. Of that 47, he had a huge 49 in base.

I’d be surprised if his minutes don’t rise to 60+ in coming weeks, but who really knows?

While getting that time, he’s no longer a certain play in your 17 despite another friendly match up.

I’m holding until Round 13 where he should play 80 in Tyson Frizell’s absence. Ideally he’ll get minutes back and is probably a keeper, otherwise he’ll be a Round 14 sell. He possibly takes over goal-kicking from Texy Hoy too.

Connor Watson again played just 51 minutes which was actually up on the fortnight prior. He scored 70 points, and if you’ve held this long you may as well just stick with him until Round 13 as an extra number.

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WARRIORS v TIGERS

Friday, 6pm, Central Coast Stadium, Gosford

Warriors: 1. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 2. Marcelo Montoya 3. Adam Pompey 4. Euan Aitken 5. Ken Maumalo 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Chanel Harris-Tavita 8. Jamayne Taunoa-Brown 9. Wayde Egan 10. Kane Evans 11. Jack Murchie 12. Ben Murdoch-Masila 13. Tohu Harris

Bench: 14. Jazz Tevaga 15. Leeson Ah Mau 16. Bunty Afoa 17. Reece Walsh

Reserves: 18. Eliesa Katoa 20. Taniela Otukolo 21. Edward Kosi 22. Sean O’Sullivan

Analysis: Josh Curran scored 64 points in just 33 minutes aided by a try. Gee the man knows how to pop up in the right place at the right time!

Unfortunately he faces an extended period out due to injury. Pending news, he’s probably a sell having actually been benched for kick-off anyway.

With a breakeven of 21 there’s a bit more money to be made, but how many minutes does he get on return if the pack are all on deck?

He’s a very strong SuperCoach scorer so there’s an argument to hold until Round 17 if he’s not out too long, but I’d be cashing in for a tidy $187k profit.

With Round 13 looming very quickly, I’d be a little more focused on bye coverage players at this point unless you’re very well set up.

As such, I’d wait until Round 14 to buy Tohu Harris.

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Tigers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. David Nofoaluma 3. Adam Doueihi 4. Joey Leilua 5. Tommy Talau 6. Moses Mbye 7. Luke Brooks 8. James Tamou 9. Jacob Liddle 10. Alex Twal 11. Luke Garner 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Joe Ofahengaue

Bench: 14. Jock Madden 15. Shawn Blore 16. Alex Seyfarth 17. Thomas Mikaele

Reserves: 18. Michael Chee-Kam 19. James Roberts 20. Stefano Utoikamanu 21. Tom Amone

Analysis: David Nofoaluma is proving a little hard to catch this season. His base of 29BPG is down on last year, scoring 54 points which included a try. 

He’s $542k with a breakeven of 31 and remains a strong buy anytime between now and Round 13 at a discount.

Adam Doueihi’s move to right centre should be excellent for him. It’ll immediately become their strike edge in attack, and he’s got the passing game and awareness to put Nofa away. 

I like this a lot for Nofa and will probably get him in this week purely as a result of Doueihi’s move.

Nofa is owned by 26% of the top 100 ranked teams, and 19% of the top 10,000, so he’s around the POD range. We know he can go big with four tons last year and an 76PPG average, so he looks a great trade.

Speaking of, Doueihi owners were quiet when he stayed at centre come game day, fortunately he was the opposite to quiet, amassing another ton in the outside backs.

Frustrating for anyone who held off buying due to his positional switch.

I still much prefer him at 5/8 and his scores are likely to be impacted negatively going forward, but early signs are certainly reassuring making it pretty hard to knock buying him despite the shift.

He’s very much the Zac Lomax of 2020 as a hard working, goal-kicking centre.

The Tigers big win is bad news for owners of the dumped Jake Simpkin who are crossing their fingers he finds himself back in the top grade for Round 13.

With games against the Warriors and Dragons to come the Tigers present some extra interest at the moment, however Nofa, Doueihi and to a lesser degree Luciano Leilua are the only real relevant players.

Shawn Blore played 23 minutes in his first game of the season in the top grade.

Benching Daine Laurie is a strong anti-POD option every week due to his masses of owners.

Note that the Tigers do play the Panthers, Eels, Storm and Rabbitohs followed by the bye from Round 13 onwards, so most players will be sells after that week.

The likes of Nofa/Doueihi may be holds, but will become big sit candidates for anyone who does hold through that period.

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SHARKS v DRAGONS

Friday, 7.55pm, Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Mawene Hiroti 3. Josh Dugan 4. Will Chambers 5. Connor Tracey 6. Matt Moylan 7. Chad Townsend 8. Aiden Tolman 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Aaron Woods 11. Briton Nikora 12. Wade Graham 13. Toby Rudolf

Bench: 14. Braydon Trindall 15. Teig Wilton 16. Jack Williams 17. Andrew Fifita

Reserves: 18. Shaun Johnson19. Billy Magoulias 20. Franklin Pele 21. Jenson Taumoepeau

Analysis: With no Round 13 coverage, I can’t find a single SuperCoach point of interest in this Cronulla side.

Shaun Johnson is an option for Round 13 but injury niggles will make him tough to consider.

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Dragons: 1. Cody Ramsey 2. Max Feagai 3. Jack Bird 4. Billy Burns 5. Jordan Pereira 6. Corey Norman 7. Ben Hunt 8. Blake Lawrie 9. Andrew McCullough 10. Paul Vaughan 11. Josh Kerr 12. Jackson Ford 13. Poasa Faamausili

Bench: 14. Kaide Ellis 15. Jaiyden Hunt 16. Daniel Alvaro 17. Junior Amone

Reserves: 18. Adam Clune 19. Billy Brittain 20. Hayden Lomax 21. Gerard Beale

Analysis: Again, there’s almost no SuperCoach relevance at the Dragons. A special shout out to Mikaele Ravalawa who belted out 136 points in a 12-man Dragons side who were smashed by the Storm.

Another shoutout to Tyrell Fuimaono who belted out -8. Matt Dufty may be back as soon as next week, so don’t consider Cody Ramsey.

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TITANS v BULLDOGS

Saturday, 3pm, Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Anthony Don 3. Brian Kelly 4. Esan Marsters 5. Phillip Sami 6. Tanah Boyd 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Mitch Rein 10. Moeaki Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Beau Fermor 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui

Bench: 14. Erin Clark 15. Sam Stone 16. Jaimin Jolliffe 17. Sam McIntyre

Reserves: 18. Jai Whitbread 19. Jayden Campbell 20. Toby Sexton 21. Ash Taylor

Analysis: I wouldn’t read too much into the Titans SuperCoach performances against a far superior SC killing outfit in Penrith.

Beau Fermor was the only played to score over 56 points.

Brian Kelly showed some good signs in attack for 47 points and remains a close watch ahead of Round 13 at just $439k.

Despite nice attacking signs this season, nobody really interests me outside of Kelly, Peachey and Tino (post Origin). Even then, I’ll still likely avoid all.

If you held David Fifita on the weekend I’d hold onto him long-term. The time to sell was last week.

Continuing on with the sin-bin/send-off enforced negative scoring, a special mention to Herman Ese’ese for his -11. A tough one to stomach for his surprisingly large 1,145 owners…

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Bulldogs: 1. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 2. Nick Cotric 3. Will Hopoate 4. Aaron Schoupp 5. Nick Meaney 6. Brandon Wakeham 7. Jake Averillo 8. Ava Seumanufagai 9. Sione Katoa 10. Luke Thompson 11. Matt Doorey 12. Chris Smith 13. Renouf Atoni

Bench: 14. Brad Deitz 15. Corey Waddell 16. Adam Elliott 17. Dylan Napa

Reserves: 19. Tuipulotu Katoa 20. Joe Stimson 21. Kyle Flanagan 23. Ofahiki Ogden

Analysis: Another almost completely SuperCoach irrelevant team. It’s going to be a big back half of the round for popular SuperCoach players!

Luke Thompson is the only player worth mentioning with a season average of 68.2PPG. 

He continues to chug along nicely in big minutes, basically all in workrate. With no ceiling, in an ordinary team, with no Round 13 coverage, I’m still not interested.

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ROOSTERS v BRONCOS

Saturday, 5.30pm, SCG, Sydney

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Josh Morris 4. Joseph Manu 5. Matt Ikuvalu 6. Lachlan Lam 7. Sam Walker 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Ben Marschke 10. Issac Liu 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Victor Radley

Bench: 14. Adam Keighran 15. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 16. Nat Butcher 17. Siosiua Taukeiaho

Reserves: 18. Naufahu Whyte 19. Fletcher Baker 20. Egan Butcher 21. Joseph Suaalii

Analysis: Teddy repaid patient owners, and anyone with half a brain shouldn’t be surprised to see him belt out 131 points against the Cowboys.

At $526k with a breakeven of 7 he’s a great option this week, but it’ll be hard to find the right fullback to trade him out for. A top dollar Clint Gutherson would be a viable option, but surely you hold for Round 13?

Teddy is a huge captaincy option against the Broncos in Sydney this week.

Daniel Tupou tonned up and now has a season average of 63PPG and remains affordable at $575k. Unfortunately he’s unavailable for Round 13, and there’s the chance of an Origin call up on top of that.

Sam Walker is a definite hold for this week at least. He could go huge against the Broncos and should be a play in every 17.

If he goes low, we can consider a potential trade to Jahrome Hughes next week. 

Anyone who sold Angus Crichton will be filthy after he scored a double and 119 points. At $585k he’s very cheap for any non-owners as he’s a season-long keeper. But with Origin looming he’s not a straight forward trade.

Siosiua Taukeiaho played just 35 minutes for 24 points against the Cowboys. He’s averaging just 57PPG and has lost the goal-kicking duties to Sam Walker. 

At $445k he’s lost any value he had, so is it worth the trade? Surely he returns to some larger minutes soon, but he’s been fairly underwhelming.

As the Roosters continue to see troops return from injury, we’ll see there SuperCoach capabilities return to what we’ve seen in the past.

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Broncos: 1. Jamayne Isaako 2. Xavier Coates 3. Herbie Farnworth 4. Jesse Arthurs 5. David Mead 6. Albert Kelly 7. Tyson Gamble 8. Matt Lodge 9. Jake Turpin 10. Payne Haas 11. Keenan Palasia 12. Tevita Pangai Junior 13. Thomas Flegler

Bench: 14. Kobe Hetherington 15. John Asiata 16. Ethan Bullemor 17. Rhys Kennedy

Reserves: 18. TC Robati 19. Dale Copley 20. Brendan Piakura 21. Danny Levi

Analysis: Tyson Gamble had red flags all over him heading into the round, but he was still recruited by a stack of coaches, only to deliver 8 points.

Another tough game against the Roosters awaits, owners will just be praying he holds onto that spot for Round 13.

Jamayne Isaako continued his great season with a solid 61 points. Despite that, I’d strongly consider sitting him outside your 17 this week due to the tough match up.

If Manly can put 50 on the Broncos at Suncorp, what will the Roosters do to them in Sydney?

Payne Haas and TPJ both struggled in the big loss, but are both arguably indefinite holds for the season at this stage.

Tom Flegler played a decent 51 minutes for 45 points. At $303k with a breakeven of 9 and Round 13 coverage he’s a decent buy, however not without risk.

If you are keen, I think it’s this week or never.

With Jordan Riki out, Keenan Palasia starts in the back-row and is one to monitor in coming weeks.

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RAIDERS v STORM

Saturday, 7.35pm, GIO Stadium, Canberra

Raiders: 1. Caleb Aekins 2. Bailey Simonsson 3. Sebastian Kris 4. Curtis Scott 5. Semi Valemei 6. Sam Williams 7. George Williams 8. Dunamis Lui 9. Tom Starling 10. Emre Guler 11. Corey Harawira-Naera 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Hudson Young

Bench: 14. Brad Schneider 15. Ryan Sutton 16. Corey Horsburgh 17. Ryan James

Reserves: 18. Matt Timoko 19. Sia Soliola 20. Siliva Havili 21. Harry Rushton

Analysis: All hopes of a Bailey Simonsson price surge were dashed with just 16 points against the Bulldogs.

He has a breakeven of 3 which will skyrocket if he goes low against Melbourne, very likely.

At which point he’ll be a sell to someone with Round 13 coverage.

Corey Harawira-Naera delivered for those who jumped on with 71 points thanks to a try, 33 tackles and 13 runs.

His 50 in base on the weekend was great to see for owners rightly concerned about his workrate.

He’s played 80 minutes in all four of his games this season and now has a breakeven of 23.

Whether or not he’s a buy I’m still unsure. He won’t play Round 13 and job security is always a huge threat in this Raiders pack. Two tough games await against the Storm and Roosters, so you could argue he’s only a borderline play in 17s anyway.

On the flip side, his upside is huge, particularly if the Raiders can hit some form. Due to the run ahead, I think the ship has sailed, but I can see why you’d be tempted.

If he holds his 80 minute role through till Round 17 he’ll be a perfect 17th/18th man at worst.

Ryan James to someone like Tom Flegler wouldn’t be the worst trade. But it may be worth sussing his minutes with Josh Papalii missing the next three weeks.

Sam Williams comes in for his first start of the season for the suspended Jack Wighton, on ya son! Timely opposition…

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Storm: 1. Nicho Hynes 2. George Jennings 3. Reimis Smith 4. Justin Olam 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Chris Lewis 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Brandon Smith 10. Christian Welch 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane

Bench: 14. Aaron Pene 15. Tui Kamikamica 16. Tom Eisenhuth 17. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

Reserves: 18. Aaron Booth 19. Cooper Johns 20. Trent Loiero 21. Dean Ieremia

Analysis: Nicho Hynes, my word! He went from being a likely benching, to starting 5/8, then back to fullback all within about 20 minutes!

He went bonkers with 182 points in an unbelievable effort for those who jumped on. The injury crisis in Melbourne’s spine now means he’ll likely start through till Round 13 which Melbourne play, well played to fortunate owners…

With dual CTW-FLB positioning he remains a strong buy despite being $582k. His negative -65 breakeven means he’ll make big money and can likely be sold in Round 14 for huge profit with massive scoring potential in the meantime. 

Should injuries strike, he may find himself as a regular in the starting side which would make him a keeper.

Commiserations to those who held Ryan Papenhuyzen, that’s SuperCoach at its absolute cruellest.

With a ridiculous breakeven of 185 and a 23 in his rolling average he’s probably a sell. Especially now there’s some word he may miss Round 12 too.

The only temptation though is that the Storm play the Broncos next week which he may be right for, then there’s a decent chance he misses Origin selection and plays Round 13. Plenty to ponder…

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Jahrome Hughes continues to get it done as a super POD with 74 points against the Dragons leaving him with a 5RA of 100PPG.

He’s $714k with a breakeven of 82. I’m strongly considering Sam Walker to him next week.

Josh Addo-Carr has three tons in his past four games. Further to that, he has four scores under 42 and six under 54. Talk about rocks or diamonds…

He’s now a whopping $668k with a breakeven of -34. Melbourne are going to continue to belt opposition sides, even with players out, so he could have more diamonds than rocks this season.

But at that price with Origin looming I won’t be paying up for a bloke that can go very low.

At $467k with Round 13 coverage Justin Olam is a serious play with upcoming games against the Raiders, Broncos and Titans.

I’ll be considering him strongly next week.

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RABBITOHS v PANTHERS

Sunday, 2pm, Apex Oval, Dubbo

Rabbitohs: 1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston 3. Dane Gagai 4. Braidon Burns 5. Josh Mansour 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Thomas Burgess 9. Damien Cook 10. Tevita Tatola 11. Keaon Koloamatangi 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Liam Knight

Bench: 14. Benji Marshall 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Jacob Host 17. Jai Arrow

Reserves: 18. Dean Hawkins 19. Hame Sele 20. Patrick Mago 21. Campbell Graham

Analysis: Cody Walker bounced back from a stinker with 81 points against the Sharks.

However, Penrith will provide seriously stiff opposition this week, likely resulting in low SuperCoach scoring for the Bunnies.

The likes of he, Alex Johnston and Dane Gagai are all options to keep outside your 17 this week.

Jai Arrow played just 52 minutes, but scored well with 82 points thanks to a try and a big workload.

With an Origin spot inevitable, and minutes not great, he’s not an option as it stands. Bennett just doesn’t seem to want to play him in lengthy stints.

Surprisingly there’s not a lot happening elsewhere at the Bunnies.

With upcoming games against the Panthers and Eels, before missing Round 13 with the bye, it’s hard to encourage buying anyone from the team.

Particularly as most of their key SuperCoach options are big chances at Origin call ups.

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Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Charlie Staines 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Matt Burton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Api Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo

Bench: 14. Tyrone May 15. Scott Sorensen 16. Matthew Eisenhuth 17. Liam Martin

Reserves: 18. Spencer Leniu 19. Mitch Kenny 20. J’Maine Hopgood 21. Paul Momirovski

Analysis: You could nearly write an essay on the SuperCoach credentials of Penrith’s outfit every week.

Particularly as they have Round 13 availability.

Nathan Cleary obliterated the SuperCoach record with 225 points against the Titans. It was 246 prior to down dates.

Nothing really to be added on the star halfback as everyone already owns. 

It’s been interesting to see Penrith shift their attack from predominantly a left-side focused team to right side.

In saying that, I don’t think the focus has changed as much as it appears, they’re just having greater success down the right edge due to opposition over the past two weeks.

It’s been much to the benefit of Charlie Staines who has five tries in the past two weeks.

He’s now a tick under $400k with a breakeven of -43. For those who held, he’s a vital extra number for Round 13 before being sold for onwards of $500k! Patience has paid off on that one.

However, he’s capable of getting a single digit score in that all-important bye round, so let’s not go the early crow on him.

The right side success has been at the demise of the left edge.

Incredibly, Jarome Luai (23) and Brian To’o (34) failed to get in on the action.

Luai is getting far cheaper at just $570k with a breakeven of 102. If he misses Origin selection, he’ll be a must-have come Round 13, but I’ll be waiting as I think he probably gets the call up to Freddy’s Blues.

James Fisher-Harris has come to life, finally jagging some elusive attacking stats.

He’s scored the past two rounds for scores of 98 and 83. He’s only playing 51MPG though which is a worry, including just 48 and 35 the past fortnight.

At $558k with a breakeven of 20 he’s a decent option ahead of Round 13.

Kurt Capewell’s return pushes Liam Martin back to the bench.

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EELS v SEA EAGLES

Sunday, 4.05pm, Bankwest Stadium, Sydney

Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Tom Opacic 4. Waqa Blake 5. Blake Ferguson 6. Jakob Arthur 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Junior Paulo 11. Isaiah Papali’i 12. Ryan Matterson 13. Nathan Brown

Bench: 14. Oregon Kaufusi 15. Shaun Lane 16. Joey Lussick 17. Bryce Cartwright

Reserves: 18. Ray Stone 19. Keegan Hipgrave 20. Haze Dunster 21. Jordan Rankin

Analysis: King Gutho has regressed over the past fortnight with scores of just 58 and 47.

He’s $763k with a breakeven of 171, so he could start to haemorrhage cash. Normally I’d say trading was a serious option, but with decent enough games against the Sea Eagles, Rabbitohs then Knights in Round 13 he could continue to score well.

You’d have to think he’s unlikely for an Origin call-up, so cop the price drop and lock in a gun fullback for that vital Round 13.

Disregarding his injury impacted 7 in Round 3, Mitch Moses is averaging 63PPG.

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He’s in some very fine form at the moment and is a huge play at miniscule ownership.

Personally I’d go Hughes over him IF I was to trade Sam Walker, but the temptation may be there for some.

As predicted, Dylan Brown’s absence proved a huge blow to Blake Ferguson’s output. He’s no longer a lock in 17s whilst Brown is out. 

I’ll be holding through till Round 13 regardless before moving on.

I broke David Fifita a fortnight ago by bringing him in, and I’ve done the same to Isaiah Papali’i who had his lowest score of the year this week, apologies all.

With the pack back on deck he played just 59 minutes, which isn’t bad, but not ideal.

With a breakeven of 131 he should cheapen up for non-owners ahead of Round 13. 

Ryan Matterson scored 74 points thanks to a try, 33 tackles and 15 runs. He’s still very affordable at $585k with a breakeven of 53.

While rightly so he’ll be very popular this week, I’m still scared by the head knock concerns and will be waiting until Round 13 to bring him in, even at the fairly inevitable higher price.

Reed Mahoney is getting very cheap at $534k with a breakeven of 115. He’s right on my radar for Jake Simpkin in coming weeks, probably next.

That head knock from last week followed by a poor score of 45 will see him bottom out just in time for the bye week.

Round 9 aside where he had four, Junior Paulo seems to have put his offload away with just two offloads in his past five games. Free the arm son!

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Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jason Saab 3. Brad Parker 4. Morgan Harper 5. Reuben Garrick 6. Cade Cust 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Taniela Paseka 9. Lachlan Croker 10. Marty Taupau 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Josh Schuster 13. Jake Trbojevic

Bench: 14. Moses Suli 15. Zac Saddler 16. Sean Keppie 17. Toafofoa Sipley

Reserves: 18. Ben Trbojevic 19. Tevita Funa 20. Christian Tuipulotu 21. Jorge Taufua

Analysis: Tommy Turbo continued on his tear with his fourth ton in five games this season for an average of 122PPG.

He’s $830k with a -9 breakeven, crikey…

Those who held Jason Saab are reaping the rewards with 10 tries in his past six games, a big thank you to Turbo for that.

After looking like the flop of the season, he’s now $430k with a breakeven of -38. 

He should be well in excess of $500k and will potentially be a downgrade to the likes of David Nofoaluma before Round 13! Crazy…

While still quite raw, Josh Schuster is looking exceptional at NRL. He remains in the second-row despite the absence of Kieran Foran.

His SuperCoach output has taken a hit of late with a 3RA of just 51PPG.

I’m happily holding for a few more weeks before trading for a Round 13 target, but there’s no harm in going early.

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SUPERCOACH TERMINOLOGY KEY

MPG = Minutes per game

PPG = Points per game

PPM= Points per minute

BPG = Base per game (point accrued in tackles + runs + missed tackles)

POD = Point of difference

3RA = Three round average

5RA = Five round average

BREAKEVEN (B/E) = The score a player must record to earn a price rise.

*Please note all our stats are taken from the geniuses at nrlsupercoachstats.com

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