Raiders: 1. Caleb Aekins 2. Bailey Simonsson 3. Sebastian Kris 4. Curtis Scott 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. George Williams 8. Ryan James 9. Tom Starling 10. Emre Guler 11. Corey Harawira-Naera 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Ryan Sutton
Bench: 14. Siliva Havili 15. Joe Tapine 16. Corey Horsburgh 17. Hudson Young
Reserves: 18. Matt Timoko 19. Sia Soliola 20. Matt Frawley 21. Dunamis Lui
Analysis: The Raiders are battling and so are their SuperCoach contingent.
Jordan Rapana has been the shining light with a 68PPG average, including a ton in Round 7.
He’s busted 43 tackles this season, including nine in three different games. He’s also had 18+ runs the past three weeks.
While looking great and ticking plenty of boxes, the way Canberra are playing I’m not keen to invest as I think they’re extremely clunky in their backline. I’m amazed Rapa has scored so well considering, look out if they hit form!
Tom Starling hit 90 in his first start of the season, but with plenty of strong hooking options and Josh Hodgson due back soon he can’t really be considered.
Storm: 1. Nicho Hynes 2. Reimis Smith 3. Tom Eisenhuth 4. Justin Olam 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Brandon Smith 10. Christian Welch 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Tui Kamikamica
Bench: 14. Harry Grant 15. Dale Finucane 16. Chris Lewis 17. Ryley Jacks
Reserves: 18. Aaron Pene 19. Dean Ieremia 20. Trent Loiero 21. Isaac Lumelume
Analysis: With Craig Bellamy stating this week Ryan Papenhuyzen is still two or three weeks away minimum, leading into a probable Origin berth, I’ll likely be selling this week to Tommy Turbo.
He’s fine to hold, it’s just a lot of money sitting on the bench. That trade will bank you almost $300k which is absurd.
Beware though, not owning Papy could come at a serious price! That’s the gamble of the fullback position this year.
Nicho Hynes is interesting at $296k with a -5 breakeven and more importantly CTW availability. He’ll also likely play fullback in Round 13 where they face the Broncos.
But is it a trap if Papy comes back early sending Hynes to the bench? You’d almost prefer Hynes to be dropped entirely on Papy’s return from a financial gain perspective. I’ll avoid, but it could reap big rewards.
Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Anthony Don 3. Brian Kelly 4. Phillip Sami 5. Corey Thompson 6. Ash Taylor 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Mitch Rein 10. Moeaki Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. David Fifita 13. Tyrone Peachey
Bench: 14. Erin Clark 15. Jaimin Jolliffe 16. Herman Ese’ese 17. Sam McIntyre
Reserves: 18. Beau Fermor 19. Tanah Boyd 20. Jai Whitbread 21. Darius Farmer
Analysis: David Fifita has smoked me for the last time. I’ll be shifting him into my side finally for a ridiculous $850k, ouch! What a freak…
Corey Thompson is on fire, scoring 110 without a try!!!
He had 15 tacklebreaks against the Rabbitohs, who said there’s no place for the little man in the current game? The quicker game is playing into the hands of these little blokes and it’s great to see.
He’s had double figure points from tacklebusts in his last four games and he has great base.
He hasn’t scored under 50 this season and plays Round 13 and looks a terrific trade in target.
Tyrone Peachey is too much of a rollercoaster for me to entertain.
Brian Kelly scored 64 and was okay. He’s not tacklebusting too often and his base has been down, so you’d want to see a little more before grabbing.
He’s cheap at $475k and has a breakeven of 77, so keep a close eye on him in coming weeks.
Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Charlie Staines 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Matt Burton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Api Koroisau 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo
Bench: 14. Tyrone May 15. Spencer Leniu 16. Matthew Eisenhuth 17. Liam Martin
Reserves: 18. Scott Sorensen 19. Mitch Kenny 20. Robert Jennings 21. Brent Naden
Analysis: Charlie Staines has a breakeven of 87 having made an underwhelming $52k for his masses of owners. He’s worth upgrading to a fallen gun sooner rather than later.
It is an enticing day game against a rejuvenated Manly side this weekend, but we’ve been down this path before with Charlie…
While he’s been ordinary this year by SuperCoach standards, Stephen Crichton looks much better back at centre and is just $382k with early bye coverage.
It’s probably too early to be eyeing a fifth CTW, but at the price he could be a great buy to play based solely on match up. Definitely a luxury trade.
Jarome Luai and Nathan Cleary are excellent captaincy picks this week.
As usual, Brian To’o remains a must. He has a low score of 55 this season. He had 27 runs against the Knights, and incredibly it was the first time all season he didn’t register double digit tacklebreak points (with 8).
I think Kurt Capewell is a trade before Round 13. He’ll play Origin, and with Penrith’s back-row depth including Liam Martin and Viliame Kikau who won’t play Origin, he’s a prime candidate for early rests.
I won’t be trading anytime soon as he’s hardly a concern, but a move to someone like Nofa or Thompson just before that bye round looks a decent play.
Spencer Leniu is plodding away and has peaked for the time being having made just $58k. He has a breakeven of 53 that he probably won’t reach.
I’m thinking of just holding till Round 13 as an extra number, but if he punches out 25 points it’ll hardly be worth it.
If you can move him onto a gun FRF just go for it, otherwise it’ll be a patient wait for money that’s far from guaranteed.
Reserves: 18. Zac Saddler 19. Tevita Funa 20. Christian Tuipulotu 21. Ben Trbojevic
Analysis: Tommy Turbo, gee it’s good to see the legend back in full flight.
My goodness he tore apart the Tigers. Back-to-back tons in his first two games back from injury make him so hard to ignore at a bargain discount of just $593k.
There’s lots to consider though. Firstly, there remains the terrifying injury risk. Secondly, you’re bringing him in for a brutal clash against Penrith, so a sub 60 odd score is very possible, so don’t expect the world this week.
As good as he’s looked, the defence of the Tigers and Titans was dismal, he won’t get that every week.
With a breakeven of -5 and a potential bank of $300k to be made from a Papy trade it looks enticing.
After this clash, the Sea Eagles face the Warriors and Broncos, yes please!
Alternatively, Teddy is obviously in huge doubt this week, but should at very least be back next week.
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Teddy has lost so much value so I’m tempted to trade Papy to Turbo.
Jason Saab has finally started to turn a corner, not surprisingly coinciding with the return of Turbo.
He has four tries in his last three games, but still only has a 3RA of 42PPG, yuck!
He’s now made $35k for the season with a breakeven of 9. A sub 20 score v Penrith is likely, so the cash generation might be short lived. Let’s hope he jags a try to continue with a few more rises before moving on.
Don’t let him anywhere near your top 17! With Turbo back, Reuben Garrick has back-to-back tons and is kicking goals, but with no Round 13 coverage and the possibility of Manly regressing badly at any point there’s better options.
Josh Schuster is on fire with a 5RA of 73PPG. He’s made $265k and has a breakeven of just 3. Surprisingly he only had six runs on the weekend.
Those who avoided him will be rueing the decision.
Hold for another few weeks, then decide whether to turn into a gun 5/8 with a higher ceiling.
Bulldogs: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Nick Cotric 3. Will Hopoate 4. Corey Allan 5. Tuipulotu Katoa 6. Jake Averillo 7. Kyle Flanagan 8. Dylan Napa 9. Sione Katoa 10. Luke Thompson 11. Adam Elliott 12. Chris Smith 13. Corey Waddell
Bench: 14. Brad Deitz 15. Renouf Atoni 16. Ava Seumanufagai 17. Matt Doorey
Analysis: King Gutho is firing with a season average of 82.3PPG. Apologies for not giving him more credit in this write up, it just appeared that Teddy/Papy was the season long fullback option for the first stage of the season that he was definitely overlooked!
He scored 124 against the Broncos, and Parra’s upcoming draw against the Dogs, Roosters, Warriors and Sea Eagles is very enticing.
I’m still happy to have Turbo and Ponga ahead of him in the fullback trade pecking order, but with just one score under 74 this season he’s impossible to knock.
Maika Sivo always has a monster score in him, that was on the weekend with 157 points. He’s priced at just $477k with a breakeven of -37 with Round 13 coverage.
He has three scores under 35 this season, so he’s extremely reliant on tries. With that nice draw he’s a massive POD for anyone convinced Parra will continue on a tear.
Blake Ferguson scored 75 without a try or assist on the weekend. He had 21 runs, seven tacklebreaks and a pair of offloads.
With his excellent base, I think he’s a comfortable hold before being moved on after the Round 13 bye week.
Isaiah Papali’I has five tries in four games, my word. At $700k and a breakeven of 42 with Ryan Matterson looming on the bench I definitely think the ship has sailed now.
The tries have to dry up (I think), so let’s target him when we get a bit of a price drop as he’ll be a huge play for Round 13. I also really want to see his minutes with Matto back on deck.
Analysis: Kalyn Ponga is a great option for anyone looking to move on Tedesco or Papenhuyzen. The upcoming draw against the Roosters and Raiders isn’t great, but both are either depleted or battling so it’s not as bad as it appears.
He’ll cost you $120k more than Tommy Turbo, but perhaps that peace of mind around injury concern is worth the extra cash!
Both are great options in my opinion, each with their own cons.
I sold Connor Watson last week and so far so good with the decision. It was a move to get Jake Simpkin into my side who plays Round 13 and looks a decent bench option for 17s each week.
That being said, there’s no reason why you can’t hold Watson long-term, at least through till Round 13.
It’s just with the tough upcoming draw and a concern over minutes with Lachlan Fitzgibbon returning soon having now been named on the extended bench, I wanted to bank the safety of Jayden Brailey who I’ve held.
Bradman Best scored 65 without any real attacking stats aside from a linebreak. He had 19 runs, 16 tackles and two offloads. With a breakeven of 94 and two tough match ups to come, he should be significantly discounted in a fortnight in prep for Round 13.
Mitch Barnett was solid again in a well beaten side and remains a hold through till Round 13.
David Klemmer has plummeted this season, more so in recent weeks with a 3RA of just 46.7PPG.
He’s played just 42 and 50 minutes the past two weeks. With a poor ceiling for an elite FRF option, he needs to be playing 60+ minutes to warrant buying despite the tempting price of just $489k.
Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Josh Morris 4. Joseph Manu 5. Brett Morris 6. Drew Hutchinson 7. Sam Walker 8. Isaac Liu 9. Sam Verrills 10. Lindsay Collins 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Victor Radley
Bench: 14. Ben Marschke 15. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 16. Nat Butcher 17. Siosiua Taukeiaho
Reserves: 18. Fletcher Baker 19. Matt Ikuvalu 20. Egan Butcher 21. Joseph Suaalii
Analysis: I can’t justify selling Teddy at under $600k, despite the 157 breakeven there’s such little value.
The Roosters face the Cowboys and Broncos just before Origin, I’ll be holding and hopefully cashing in on those games.
However, with question marks over his availability this week I do understand a move to Turbo at the same price.
At $480k, Daniel Tupou has just about bottomed out in price. With a breakeven of 70 though there’s no rush.
Sam Walker’s sensational long passing game is magic for Tupou’s try-scoring prospects going forward.
Walker is phenomenal, what a star. Lock him into your 17s most weeks.
Sitili Tupouniua is ripe for picking at $367k with a breakeven of 2. If I didn’t have to prioritise David Fifita this week he’d be coming into my team.
I don’t mind the idea of cashing in Brett Morris for a $200k+ profit for a fallen gun at CTW.
Taukeiaho has been named on the bench but remains in doubt due to injury.
Tigers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. David Nofoaluma 3. Joey Leilua 4. James Roberts 5. Tommy Talau 6. Adam Doueihi 7. Luke Brooks 8. James Tamou 9. Jake Simpkin 10. Alex Twal 11. Luke Garner 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Joe Ofahengaue
Bench: 14. Moses Mbye 15. Stefano Utoikamanu 16. Alex Seyfarth 17. Thomas Mikaele
Reserves: 18. Michael Chee-Kam 19. Zane Musgrove 20. Tom Amone 21. Jacob Liddle
Analysis: David Nofoaluma has dropped to just $556k and has a breakeven of 81.
While it’s probably worth waiting, he is a serious trade target this week. He has a hefty ceiling and could be the man to help you jump rankings significantly.
He has three tries in six games and is averaging a tick under 60PPG.
Now benched, Stefano Utoikamanu has peaked at a $166k profit and a breakeven of 60.
Yes the Round 13 bye coverage is tempting, but if you can turn him into a gun FRF I’d make the move.
I’ll look to make him Payne Haas in coming weeks.
Luciano Leilua has a 65.7PPG average and remains enticing as a big score appears around the corner.
But when the Tigers are dishing up rubbish performances like the weekend it limits his scoring potential so significantly.
If they can find more consistency as a club I’d be far more intrigued by them.
Jake Simpkin looks a great buy this week at $173k and a breakeven of -38.
He played 82 minutes on debut, then 70 minutes on the weekend. With Round 13 coverage he’s extremely hard to pass up.
The obvious issue is job security with Billy Walters and Jacob Liddle both looming. With the obvious price gains I think it’s worth making the move despite the risk.
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SUPERCOACH TERMINOLOGY KEY
MPG = Minutes per game
PPG = Points per game
PPM= Points per minute
BPG = Base per game (point accrued in tackles + runs + missed tackles)
POD = Point of difference
3RA = Three round average
5RA = Five round average
BREAKEVEN (B/E) = The score a player must record to earn a price rise.