Panthers: 1. Stephen Crichton 2. Charlie Staines 3. Paul Momirovski 4. Matt Burton 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nathan Cleary 8. Moses Leota 9. Mitch Kenny 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Isaah Yeo
Bench: 14. Tyrone May 15. Spencer Leniu 16. Matthew Eisenhuth 17. Liam Martin
Reserves: 18. Scott Sorensen 19. Robert Jennings 20. Api Koroisau 21. Dylan Edwards
Analysis: Nathan Cleary continues to sizzle with a season average of 99PPG. He looms as a sneaky straight captain again this week.
Halves partner Jarome Luai remains an excellent purchase.
Charlie Staines scores well against gun sides and is terrible against poor sides. With a breakeven of 26 I’ll likely give him one more week, then sell next round if he goes low again.
Brian To’o managed 64 points without a try or try-assist. He had 10 tacklebreaks and 24 runs, animal! Get him in your team.
Issues under the high ball also have question marks over a potential Origin call up (along with Tommy Turbo’s starring return), so hopefully he’s an extra number for Round 13 if he misses out.
Stephen Crichton is proving frustrating for owners, incredibly he’s just $380k and has a breakeven of 57. I wouldn’t be selling as there’s no value in the trade, while Penrith’s upcoming draw is quite friendly. His highest score all season is just 51 points!
Kurt Capewell got himself off the chopping bloke for the time being with 82 points in 80 minutes, he’ll likely be a sell before Origin comes calling, but there’s no rush at all.
Dylan Edwards and Api Koroisau have been named on the extended bench, that’s a concern for Matt Burton owners.
Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Anthony Don 3. Brian Kelly 4. Patrick Herbert 5. Corey Thompson 6. Ash Taylor 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Mitch Rein 10. Moeaki Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. David Fifita 13. Tyrone Peachey
Bench: 14. Erin Clark 15. Jaimin Jolliffe 16. Sam Lisone 17. Sam McIntyre
Reserves: 18. Beau Fermor 19. Herman Ese’ese 20. Jonas Pearson 21. Phillip Sami
Analysis: David Fifita finally had a down week, kind of… The Titans didn’t score a point, yet he still smashed out 78 points thanks to 17 runs and 7 tacklebreaks.
He has a breakeven of 58 which will rise significantly next week when his 147 drops out, unless he goes big again this week which is obviously a strong possibility.
Tino Fa’asuamaleaui has been very frustrating to owners. He now has two weeks out due to suspension and looks like a sell with a breakeven of 110. Unfortunately there aren’t many good replacements in the front-row, Payne Haas is the obvious one though at a discount on his starting price.
Tyrone Peachey scored just 39 points in 56 minutes and doesn’t excite me too much. He’s a hold for the time being for owners, and the minutes are encouraging, but I wouldn’t be buying at this stage.
Corey Thompson scored 52 points, mostly in base with six tacklebusts. As defenders attract to David Fifita more and more I can see the Titans playing out the back into plenty of space, with Brian Kelly and Thompson hopefully the benefactors.
Reserves: 18. Haze Dunster 19. Jordan Rankin 20. Keegan Hipgrave 21. Ryan Matterson
Analysis: Blake Ferguson has two sub 50 scores in a row and is a potential sell in coming weeks with a breakeven of 101.
However, his base was again excellent against the Raiders with 21 runs.
Dylan Brown’s absence cruelled his try-scoring opportunities, but his return this week against a feeble Broncos defence is cause for excitement.
He plays Round 13 and the Eels have a dream run before that time, so I’ll likely hold onto him.
Reed Mahoney continues to cause hooking headaches with his third ton of the season. With that early bye coverage he has to come into consideration.
Junior Paulo has absolutely hit the skids, recording back-to-back sub 40 scores in just 50 minutes of game time.
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He has a breakeven of 114 and would likely be a sell, but the lack of FRF options and suspension to Tino makes it hard.
If you can turn him into Payne Haas it’d make sense, I’ll just hold him for the time being.
Isaiah Papali’I continues to get it done for those lucky owners. He scored a double against the Raiders and now has a 3RA of 110 and a -7 breakeven.
What happens if and when Ryan Matterson finally returns? At $633k I hesitantly think it’s too much to pay for a bench forward, but he’s getting the job done each and every week and is looking sublime in the process, so it’s hard to knock anyone wanting to buy.
Worst case scenario you can always sell at over $700k if his minutes drop significantly on Matto’s return.
Broncos: 1. Jamayne Isaako 2. Xavier Coates 3. Herbie Farnworth 4. David Mead 5. Corey Oates 6. Brodie Croft 7. Tom Dearden 8. Matt Lodge 9. Jake Turpin 10. Payne Haas 11. Alex Glenn 12. Tevita Pangai Junior 13. Pat Carrigan
Bench: 14. Danny Levi 15. Thomas Flegler 16. Ethan Bullemor 17. Jordan Riki
Reserves: 18. Rhys Kennedy 19. Tyson Gamble 20. John Asiata 21. Jesse Arthurs
Analysis: With a breakeven of 60 I’d be looking to move Jamayne Isaako onto the likes of To’o or Nofoaluma.
Matt Lodge only played 39 minutes but was very efficient in the process with 15 runs, three offloads and seven tacklebreaks.
At $336k he may be a cut-priced FRF option for Tino owners who could get you through till Round 13 which Brisbane play.
Payne Haas has dropped $30k and should hopefully drop more with breakeven of 97. Get ready to swoop when he bottoms out, but there’s no harm in going early on him this week. He’s averaged 63 in base the past two weeks, mammoth!
Tevita Pangai Jnr played 80 minutes on the edge which is very exciting, although he only scored 61 points with a try included.
With a breakeven of 89 he’s a close watch. As mentioned in previous weeks, he just somehow manages to fall out of SuperCoach relevance for absurd reasons so I’m hesitant to invest despite his upside when he gets game time.
Sharks: 1. Will Kennedy 2. Mawene Hiroti 3. Josh Dugan 4. Jesse Ramien 5. Connor Tracey 6. Matt Moylan 7. Chad Townsend 8. Braden Hamlin-Uele 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Aaron Woods 11. Briton Nikora 12. Teig Wilton 13. Toby Rudolf
Bench: 14. Billy Magoulias 15. Shaun Johnson 16. Jack Williams 17. Siosifa Talakai
Reserves: 18. Braydon Trindall 19. Will Chambers 20. Franklin Pele 21. Jenson Taumoepeau
Analysis: Teig Wilton has made $123k in just two weeks and has a breakeven of 19. He’s churned out 48BPG and has been a reliable play in 17s each week. The ship has definitely sailed on him as a buy though.
Wade Graham has been left out of the squad following his concussion which is huge news for Wilton owners who should again see 80 minutes.
With a breakeven of 58 Matt Moylan has peaked and can be sold. Although if tempted to hold for one more week for the Dogs clash you could do so.
Chad Townsend has snuck under the radar with a 65PPG average, and a 3RA of 85PPG.
Cowboys: 1. Valentine Holmes 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Justin O’Neill 4. Connelly Lemuelu 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Scott Drinkwater 7. Ben Hampton 8. Coen Hess 9. Reece Robson 10. Jordan McLean 11. Shane Wright 12. Ben Condon 13. Lachlan Burr
Bench: 14. Jake Granville 15. Mitchell Dunn 16. Francis Molo 17. Corey Jensen
Reserves: 18. Esan Marsters 19. Peter Hola 20. Jake Clifford 21. Tom Gilbert
Analysis: Val Holmes smashed out 95 points against the Dogs and has a 5RA of 69. The Cowboys have an okay upcoming run, but I’m still concerned his attacking opportunities will be somewhat limited in a struggling side.
To be fair, they’ve put on plenty of points the past fortnight so there are serious signs of life.
Regardless, at $533k at 6% ownership he’s a serious POD option. With a breakeven of 50 and a tough clash with a Raiders outfit who will be looking to make up for a woeful performance last week the trade can perhaps wait a week?
Ben Condon played 71 minutes for 71 points which included a try. He made $73k this week and with a breakeven of -39 he looks set to make similar again.
He looks a great buy again this week, but job security is always going to be an issue. Jason Taumalolo’s injury setback should help him enormously though.
Raiders: 1. Caleb Aekins 2. Sebastian Kris 3. Jarrod Croker 4. Curtis Scott 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. George Williams 8. Ryan James 9. Tom Starling 10. Emre Guler 11. Hudson Young 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Ryan Sutton
Tigers: 1. Daine Laurie 2. David Nofoaluma 3. James Roberts 4. Michael Chee Kam 5. Tommy Talau 6. Adam Doueihi 7. Luke Brooks 8. James Tamou 9. Jake Simpkin 10. Stefano Utoikamanu 11. Joe Ofahengaue 12. Luciano Leilua 13. Alex Twal
Bench: 14. Moses Mbye 15. Luke Garner 16. Alex Seyfarth 17. Zane Musgrove
Reserves: 18. Jacob Liddle 19. Thomas Mikaele 20. Tom Amone 21. Joey Leilua
Analysis: Daine Laurie is ticking along nicely with three tries in a row. He’s probably a hold until Round 13 which the Tigers play. He’s a fairly safe option in the CTW each week too. With a very friendly draw coming up against the Sea Eagles, Dragons, Titans, Knights, Warriors and Dragons I’ll likely hold.
For the same reason, a bottomed out David Nofoaluma looks close to a must for the Round 13 coverage.
He’s dropped $110k on his starting price and is ripe for picking either this week or next with a breakeven of 58.
His 30BPG is down on last year, but remains extremely solid. It should increase if the Tigers continue to put on better performances such as the one on the weekend.
He’ll get stacks more runs in which lead into his brilliant tacklebreaking and offloading ability.
Jake Simpkin scored 56 on debut with a massive 58 in base. He’ll be a huge option either this week or next and should free up a stack of cash to spend elsewhere.
Even more exciting is the fact he played the full 82 minutes against the Rabbitohs. He scored stacks of tries in NSW Cup this year in a show of his attacking upside.
Roosters: 1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Josh Morris 4. Joseph Manu 5. Brett Morris 6. Drew Hutchinson 7. Sam Walker 8. Isaac Liu 9. Sam Verrills 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Angus Crichton 12. Sitili Tupouniua 13. Victor Radley
Bench: 14. Ben Marschke 15. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 16. Nat Butcher 17. Lindsay Collins
Reserves: 18. Fletcher Baker 19. Matt Ikuvalu 20. Egan Butcher 21. Tuku Hau Tapuha
Analysis: With a breakeven of 155, some are still looking at making the move of James Tedesco to the likes of Turbo or KP.
I get it, but I won’t be joining. While he’ll likely lose more money, I feel like the time to pull the trigger has narrowly passed. If you’re under the impression he’ll be outscored by KP/Turbo than by all means go for it.
However, the Roosters have a pretty nice upcoming run of games against the Dragons, Knights, Eels, Cowboys and Broncos. Tough one, but I’ll stick strong. Congrats to those who made the move in previous weeks.
Incredibly Daniel Tupou is down to $485k with a breakeven of 82, despite still having 32BPG this season. He’s scored just one try! I’m eyeing him off big time once he fully bottoms out, hopefully with the Roosters showing a little more.
Sam Walker scored just 21 against the Storm which wasn’t a surprise. He still has a -12 breakeven, and looks the goods, so I still think he’s a buy for anyone who held off.
Sitili Tupouniua is just $340k with a breakeven of 40, I’m seriously tempted, although a lack of Round 13 buy coverage doesn’t help. In his four 80 minute games this season he’s averaging 64PPG, although it should be noted he benefitted with two tries early on with a stronger Roosters side.
I rate his attacking upside immensely, so the stats can continue.
Taukeiaho has been named despite an injury concern. If he doesn’t take the field, you’d think Sam Walker takes the kicking duties, unless they give Teddy another go, probably not wise.
Analysis: No Papenhuyzen! Repeat, no Papenhuyzen!!
Nicho Hynes takes his place at fullback due to injury, huge.
Cam Munster continues to tick along solidly without going big, frustrating for owners, but hardly a concern. I’m backing him to go big without Papy, and he should kick goals.
Harry Grant, my word! 98 points in just 47 minutes against the Roosters of all teams!!
He is one of the best PODs of all time at 3% ownership which may not change too significantly due to the emergence of Jake Simpkin at bottom dollar at hooker, along with the likes of Jayden Brailey and Reed Mahoney who provide Round 13 coverage.
It looms as a massive play to go early on him, but at whose expense?