I understand that coming back from a serious injury is a concern, but as a front-rower it should have less of an impact.
With Payne Haas out for the first three rounds it’s enormous for the minutes of Lodge.
He’s cheap having only played six games in 2020, averaging 38PPG in 42MPG.
Look back to 2019 where he averaged 63PPG, in 57MPG at an output of 1.1PPM.
If he can get back to an average of even 50PPG which I think he’s very capable of, that’d see him make around $150k, lovely!
Furthermore, he’s a fairly safe pick to play in your 17 in the early stages of the year rather than some of the CTW cheapies with terrible base.
Chances: Should start at prop in Round 1 unless eased back from injury from the bench.
Matt Moylan // $253,600 // FLB-5/8
Oh Moyza, please stay fit! At least until owners make our cash…
He played just eight games last season and 11 in 2019. The lack of footy means he’s dirt cheap at just over $250k.
Go back a few years when stringing a decent amount of games together and the numbers are good.
His SuperCoach averages from 2016-18 were 63, 59 and 52PPG.
If he can produce an average of 50PPG that’d net him $200k in profit.
I really like him for Round 1 at the price, but whether or not I start with him in my 17 due to injury history is another question!
Chances: Will start at 5/8.
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Daine Laurie // $223,200 // CTW-FLB
The Tigers recruit is expected to be catapulted into the starting fullback role for Round 1.
In one 80 minute game last season he scored 71 points with a ridiculous 45 in base!!!
A one game sample size shouldn’t be read into too much, but if he is starting come Round 1 you can’t ignore him.
Chances: Is a strong chance at starting at fullback in Round 1.
Charlie Staines // $297,700 // FLB-CTW
Staines averaged a ridiculous 112PPG across his two games last season, leading to a largely inflated price to start 2021.
It’s a huge shame for SuperCoach purposes he averaged that because it puts him outside of genuine cheapie range.
He had six tries in his two outings, producing scores of 158 and 66.
He’s hard to assess due to the small sample size, however on the snippet we’ve seen and the fact the Panthers released Mansour to promote him can only mean good things.
His 18BPG is pretty appalling, but again, small sample size…
Playing in a red-hot Panthers outfit he should score well, but with a recent history of hamstring injuries he’s not necessarily a play for Round 1 in 17s.
Chances: Will start on the wing.
Shawn Blore // $210,500 // 2RF
Blore played five games last season, averaging 26PPG in 26MPG.
He looks an absolute star and is pushing for a starting spot in Round 1 (pending injury) which would make him a must-have.
Even off the bench you’d think he’s shown enough in limited opportunity to warrant an increase on his 26 minutes from last season.
If he’s off the bench he’ll make a fairly slow burning cow and is probably still a buy, if he’s starting he’ll make cash fast.
Blore was injured during the Tigers recent trial game, and may miss a few rounds. If out for 1-2 weeks I’d probably still pick, if any longer I’ll be waiting. Let’s wait for more information.
Chances: He’s fighting for a starting spot, with the trial against the Sea Eagles sure to give us a greater idea.
Leeson Ah Mau // $291,000 // FRF
I’m not convinced Ah Mau will start in Round 1, but he’s a good chance.
He averaged 47MPG last season at just 0.78PPM.
I can’t see him increasing his minutes this season, but interestingly in the season prior he played the same minutes for a 1.08PPM and 51PPG average.
He played just two games last season hence the deflated price.
He had an output of over 1.14PPM in the two seasons prior, so if he can match this in decent time there’s money to be made.
Jacob Liddle // $247,200 // HOK or Jake Simpkins // $173,700 // HOK
Simpkins and Liddle are fighting for the starting hooker role at the Tigers, with one to play off the bench.
It’s early days, but I suspect the victor will play around 50 minutes and the loser to play around 30.
This means that I’d steer away from Liddle if he starts as he’s awkwardly priced with a terrible injury history.
If it’s Simpkins he’d be a lock in even if playing just 50 minutes.
It’s a massive watch in the trial against the Sea Eagles which will hopefully give us a fair idea.
Chances: Likely to play together, trial to have a big impact on who starts.
Bailey Simonsson // $205,000 // CTW-FLB
Simonsson played just six games last season due to injury, averaging just 59MPG as a result.
In four 80 minute games he had scores of 26, 53, 19 and 44. It makes for okay reading, but very respectable when you look at his $205k price tag.
In 2019 he played 18 games, averaging 70MPG and 38PPG.
If he’s playing 80MPG on the wing we can expect him to average approximately 40-42PPG, although it’s obviously harder to predict the scoring of wingers, which would have him priced at around $350k for a $140k price rise.