We may have had a huge upset on Thursday night, but this fixture looks extremely one-sided. At least the Titans have ditched the (forced) move to play back-rowers at centre, but in dry conditions in Queensland this should be a mauling. Like most, I’ll be heavily favouring Melbourne players and targeting a few little combinations.
Betting play: Storm -18.5 / Over 43.5 points @ $3.25
An extremely large amount of Melbourne’s attack will come through this pair. I do think the Titans will be shot on the edges throughout the clash, so Smith will feed his halves plenty of early ball which may restrict his attacking output. But at the same time, he could kick seven or eight goals in the process. These two are must-haves for mine. Munster is back from injury, so it could be a huge differential play to slot Jahrome Hughes in ahead of Munster.
The Titans may well be doing plenty of defending, and Mo will be at the centre of it. The gun rookie is getting big minutes as a starter in a pack void of depth and will score well.
STARS TO AVOID
Honestly there’s not too many players at big prices in this game. There’s stacks of value and it’s hard to advise against any specific Storm players, so go for broke…
Lil Papy has hit his straps over the past few weeks and is
primed for a big score here. Melbourne have had a greater dependency to utilise
him in attack in Munster’s absence, so he may see a bit less ball. However, if
the score line is what is expected, he’ll get ample opportunity to accrue
attacking stats and looks value at just over $11k.
Not a heap to be said here. JAC is accurately priced at just $7,600 as he’s not an overly strong Draftstars player due to lack of work rate. But if Melbourne go big, he naturally can too. I’m hoping he bags a few tries and easily exceeds his value.
Pick an edge
The way to win these contests is to get the combo plays that
reward you with the try and try-assist, hopefully on multiple occasions. Note
that Draftstars award the try-assist for whoever throws the last pass, whereas
SuperCoach is more subjective and is generally based on who has the greatest
influence on a play.
The play here is to go heavy on either Melbourne edge, with the left likely being Munster, K.Bromwich, Olam and JAC. The right should line up as Hughes, Kaufusi, Lee and Momirovski.
Like most Brisbane games, this clash could produce any sort of result. Disregarding last week, I do think that on form the Tigers will have too much class back home at Leichhardt Oval. I’m certainly not convinced, but I will be favouring their attacking players. It’s damp and windy in Sydney, and this contest is stacked with workhorses, so I’ll be paying up big for the middle men.
Grant is the pick of the hookers by an absolute mile, and
with Walters starting in the halves he should play the entire 80. Get him in…
Filling in for the injured Alex Twal at lock, Eisenhuth is
playing 65-70 minutes and has a seriously impressive work ethic. He’s set for
big game time again and is an extremely safe scorer with some attacking upside.
STARS TO AVOID
A tough omission, particularly as he’s priced as best as he’s been all season at $18,420. However, his minutes have become a little unreliable over the past month for a guy that requires such a huge investment. He reverted back to just 62 last week, while teammate Pat Carrigan played the 80. I’m happy to save cash and go with the likes of Carrigan, Eisenhuth, Leilua.
Tevita Pangai Jnr
TPJ was enormous last week, but he only played 50 minutes.
He scored big, but it was aided by a host of attacking stats to his name. At
just under $15k I’m keen to avoid due to the minutes and reliance on attacking
stats. I’m also tipping he’ll be a popular pick up.
Granted he’s since had a switch in edges, but Leilua thrived
early in the year with Brooks out of the side. Brooks has been demoted to the
bench, so I’m hoping the 80-minute man Leilua can rediscover his attacking mojo
with Benji and Walters in the halves.
Adam Doueihi and David Nofoaluma
If you can afford the expensive middle men and Nofoaluma, I think this is your combination. Nofa is in career best form, while the affordable Doueihi is coming into his own at fullback. Hopefully the surface is relatively dry come kick off, and Doueihi finds his flying winger with a few cut out balls for tries.