Draft targets: Overperforming vs underperforming

We take a look at the players you should be looking to trade or pick up cheaply in NRL SuperCoach Draft.

Draft Breakdown

All the underperforming CTW’s we mentioned last week bounced back great in Round 3, so hopefully you got a decent trade-off.

The Sharks underperforming player shouts didn’t go as well…

It was also good to see some of the regular SuperCoach guns put up monster scores after slower starts to the season.

This week we look at some more players that are over performing or underperforming, that you can look to trade in or out of your side for a sweet deal.

*Scroll down to the bottom of the page for a key on all SuperCoach relevant abbreviations.

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UNDERPERFORMING PLAYERS

Josh Papalii (FRF)

Papalii has been consistently a slow starter to the season for his whole career.

He is averaging 55PPG, which is by no means bad, but he consistently finishes every year with a 65PPG average.

You will have to pay some decent trade value to get him, but his score will only improve from here.

Origin being at the back end of the year is a big plus for Papalii as Sticky usually plays him off the bench or with reduced minutes around Origin time.

The attacking stats and tries will come soon as he is one of the best at the offloading for a support player and running that beautiful inside line for a meat pie!

Ryan Papenhuyzen (FLB)

After a lot of pre-season hype, Little Papi has started the year slowly averaging 54PPG.

A lot of people are giving up on him and maybe someone in your Draft league is as well.

Despite the low score, Little Papi has been a strong component in the Storm’s attack in all of the games.

He is very close to a big score and it could come from his own ability to bust through the line or a set play from the Storm.

Last week he was a whisker away from two tries, his time will come

Stephen Crichton (CTW)

Crichton has forced his way into the left centre spot at the Panthers, with coach Cleary confirming his form earned him a starting role.

He looks extremely dangerous with the ball and will be playing outside Kikau and inside Mansour, a great recipe for SuperCoach points.

He is currently averaging 43PPG which is well below what his potential could get him.

Crichton is worth trading for and may be still available as a free agent in a number of leagues.

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OVERPERFORMING PLAYERS

Ben Hampton (CTW)

Hampton is averaging 63PPG on the left wing for the Cowboys, which includes four tries

With no Morgan in the team, the Cowboys will send a lot of attack down the left side through Drinkwater and Holmes, and Hampton will be the beneficiary of a lot of this attack.

The tries will not be there this consistently throughout the season, and once Morgan comes back onto the right side, Hampton’s average will start to come back to earth.

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Isaiah Papali’i (2RF)

Papali’i is averaging 52PPG over 55MPG to start the season at the Warriors.

Whilst the Warriors are short on numbers, I think he has peaked for minutes and score output for the year.

Katoa, Murchie and Tevaga will all compete for his minutes on the field.

Nick Cotric (CTW)

Cotric is the most controversial nomination this week, currently averaging 58PPG.

He is getting some good scores through his tackle busting ability and the Raiders right side attack.

I think he will come back to his averages from previous years soon which were about 49PPG, mainly due to his low base, currently at 20BPG.

I really like the look of him as a player but I’m not confident it will translate to SuperCoach for him to maintain this average.

Last week he looked sensational against the Storm but managed just 63 with a try, linebreak and try-assist.

SUPERCOACH TERMINOLOGY KEY

MPG = Minutes per game

PPG = Points per game

PPM= Points per minute

BPG = Base per game (point accrued in tackles + runs + missed tackles)

POD = Point of difference

BREAKEVEN (B/E) = The score a player must record to earn a price rise.

*Please note all our stats are taken from the geniuses at nrlsupercoachstats.com

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